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Obama Poll Watch

Obama Poll Watch -- May 2014

Chris Weigant | Posted 08.02.2014 | Politics
Chris Weigant

In five out of the last six months, in fact, Obama's numbers have gotten better. He is now roughly where he was right before the impact of the Obamacare website rollout hit his approval rating.

Obama Poll Watch -- April 2014

Chris Weigant | Posted 07.05.2014 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Obama has gained back all the ground he had lost and then some (well, "and then a little bit more" would be more accurate...). He still hasn't quite made it back to where his poll numbers were before the Obamacare website rollout, but if the trendlines continue in May, he is at least within reach of this goal for the first time since October.

Obama Poll Watch -- March, 2014

Chris Weigant | Posted 06.02.2014 | Politics
Chris Weigant

President Obama's job approval polling was down a bit last month, ending three months of positive news. He didn't slip back much, but the reversal does bring up a serious question: is Obama stuck in a "new normal" of job approval numbers in the low-40s range?

Obama Poll Watch -- February, 2014

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.05.2014 | Politics
Chris Weigant

For the second month in a row, President Obama had an all-around positive month in the public polls. His job approval average was up, his job disapproval was down, and he has almost completely recovered from the dip his numbers took after the Obamacare website rollout fiasco.

Obama Poll Watch -- January 2014

Chris Weigant | Posted 04.05.2014 | Politics
Chris Weigant

As I accurately predicted last month, Obama was set to have a pretty good January -- and he did. To be fair, in absolute terms, this still is pretty dismal territory for Obama's polling. If you don't count the previous two months, Obama's January numbers would be the worst of his entire presidency.

Obama Poll Watch -- December 2013

Chris Weigant | Posted 03.08.2014 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Obama started the month of December at rock bottom. There's just no other "polite" way to put it, folks.

Obama Poll Watch -- May 2013

Chris Weigant | Posted 08.03.2013 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Barack Obama had a pretty bad month inside the Beltway, with Republicans on the warpath over multiple scandals. Outside Washington, Obama didn't have too bad a month at all, as his job approval ratings barely budged.

Obama Poll Watch -- March, 2013

Chris Weigant | Posted 04.03.2013 | Politics
Chris Weigant

President Obama lost almost all the ground he had gained late in the 2012 election season. He hit a new low in approval and a new high in disapproval for his second term, as the honeymoon bounce completely evaporated.

Obama Poll Watch -- February, 2013

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.06.2013 | Politics
Chris Weigant

As expected, Obama's "second honeymoon" in the polls is starting to fade. The election is long over, the inauguration is fading from memory, and now the real legislative struggles of Obama's second term have begun.

Obama Poll Watch -- January, 2013

Chris Weigant | Posted 02.06.2013 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Obama's "second honeymoon" period with the public may not last more than a few months, but for now seems to be holding steady. He's in a pretty good position right now in terms of "political capital," but this will likely change as legislative reality sets in.

Obama Poll Watch -- December, 2012

Chris Weigant | Posted 03.04.2013 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Obama is currently enjoying not only a vacation with his family in Hawai'i, but also a "second honeymoon" with the public at large. If history is any guide, the fiscal cliff deal could create another wave of approval on top of the "second honeymoon."

Obama Poll Watch -- January, 2012

Chris Weigant | Posted 04.02.2012 | Politics
Chris Weigant

While the overall trend is indeed extremely positive for Obama at this point, he's still got a long way to go to retain his job this fall.

Obama Poll Watch -- November, 2011

Chris Weigant | Posted 02.04.2012 | Politics
Chris Weigant

This month Obama poll watchers got some good news, and some bad news. This was capped off by the Washington punditocracy making a stupid comparison between polling for Obama and Carter.

Obama Poll Watch -- August, 2011

Chris Weigant | Posted 11.05.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

For August, Obama averaged 43.8 percent job approval and 50.7 percent disapproval. Among other records he set this month, this is the widest "underwater" gap he's ever posted, with a spread of 6.9 percent.

Obama Poll Watch -- June, 2011

Chris Weigant | Posted 09.05.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

[Program Note: Last month, we ran this column four days before the end of May, due to travel plans. We promised we'd update the preliminary numbers i...

Obama Poll Watch -- May, 2011

Chris Weigant | Posted 07.27.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

"What a difference a death makes." President Obama announced at the very beginning of the month that Osama bin Laden was dead, and his poll numbers reacted almost immediately.

Obama Poll Watch -- April 2011

Chris Weigant | Posted 07.04.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

April was a pretty miserable month for Barack Obama, mostly due to the high price of gasoline at the pump. But May is already shaping up to be one of Obama's best months ever, for one very obvious reason.

Obama Poll Watch -- March, 2011

Chris Weigant | Posted 06.04.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

While catastrophic world events dominated the news for most of the month, Obama's approval rating was being hit with a creeping domestic problem -- the rising price of gasoline.

Obama Poll Watch -- February, 2011

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

In terms of shifts in public opinion, January and February were the best two months President Obama has yet had during his entire presidency.

Obama Poll Watch -- January, 2011

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

When taken month-to-month, January, 2011, was Obama's best month of his entire presidency. Not only did he finally get his bump -- but it was a truly significant bump.

Obama Poll Watch -- December, 2010

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Obama once again charted an unbelievably stable month in terms of approval ratings. The mildly good news was in his disapproval rating, which dropped significantly over the course of December.

Obama Poll Watch -- November, 2010

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Obama just had his most stable month ever in the public opinion polls, capping off a remarkable year of polling stability. Were you to just read the headlines or listen to the soundbites, you may have a different impression.

Obama Poll Watch -- October 2010

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Obama's approval rating ended the month on somewhat of an upswing, at 46.1 percent.Obama's approval rating stayed remarkably steady all month long.

Obama Poll Watch -- September, 2010

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Last month I rashly wrote that since Obama was starting the month on an upswing, he had a good chance of posting largish gains in September. This didn't happen.

Obama Poll Watch -- August 2010

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Augusts haven't been very kind to Obama. Two years ago, August was "Reverend Wright" month. Last year, August was "death panel" month. By that measure, at least, this past August wasn't actually all that bad.