Unless the number of jobs added in October turns out to be substantially higher or lower than September's, or the unemployment rate is way higher or lower than anticipated, the report should be treated merely as news cycle fodder.

Over at Foreign Policy, Daniel Drezner has gotten a look-see at the latest Niall Ferguson column in Newsweek, and finds that the "Civilization" author...

Is this what our political process and October Surprises have come to? We're trying to get the candidates to unveil their college applications and pin them for something they said in a divorce hearing in the early '90s? Give me a break.

Mark your calendars: An earth-shattering revelation about President Barack Obama or GOP presidential candidate Mitt Romney will be revealed on Monday ...

Arianna and Nicolle Wallace debate why Romney won and how Obama adjusts. But if your opponent is a quick-change artist and fibber, how should you reply in a non-whiny way? The women then agree about "media bias" and Fox's 2007 Obama "too black" tape.

Just think, for a minute, of the long list of "unpredictables" and "unexpecteds" that could, and probably will, affect the outcome of the 2012 election.

If a candidate's slogan is "Believe in America," shouldn't he invest in America? And will GOP governors really turn down 100 percent funding to cover free riders at hospitals?

It is becoming more and more apparent (at least to me) that Barack Obama is going to lose the election this fall. Firstly, Mitt Romney gives off the a...

Whatever happened to the bad old days of October surprises? The last lap of campaign '08 has seen its share of twists, but perhaps the biggest surprise of all is that no big shoe has dropped.

The LA Times has made its decision, whether one agrees or disagrees with it. But more importantly, the Obama campaign has played no role in the decision made by the paper.

As a lifelong Democrat who has seen my party lose winnable races, I can't help thinking about how things can go wrong this year. These are the four factors that keep me up at night.

As the one arrow left in McCain's quiver -- other than appealing to racists -- national security becomes the likeliest playing field for an October Surprise.

Experience tells us that it is in Osama bin Laden's best interests to assure a McCain presidency any way that he can.

John Kerry believes that the so-called al Qaeda Halloween videotape released days before the last presidential election in the United States affected ...

BOSTON — Heading into the final weekend of the 2004 presidential campaign, John Kerry was feeling good about his chances of winning the White Ho...

No, this campaign is going to come down to Obama vs. McCain, mano a mano. And right now, momentum is going Obama's way.

In five weeks, I hope look back on this column with a wry chuckle at my paranoia. If the system works, Barack Obama will take the White House. So why am I worried?