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Party Identification

Ariel Edwards-Levy

America's Record Number Of Independents Aren't As Independent As You Might Think

HuffingtonPost.com | Ariel Edwards-Levy | Posted 01.23.2014 | Politics

Forty-two percent of Americans now say they're political independents, a record high for the last 25 years, according to Gallup. With 31 percent of re...

Measuring GOP Extremism: What Carville and Greenberg's Latest Polling Reveals

Joe Conason | Posted 09.28.2013 | Politics
Joe Conason

It is becoming increasingly plain that the most formidable obstacle to national progress and global security is the Republican Party -- and specifically the extremist factions that currently dominate the GOP.

Democrats Regain Edge In Key Polling Measure

The Huffington Post | Ariel Edwards-Levy | Posted 01.10.2013 | Politics

Democrats ended 2012 with more supporters than Republicans, reversing a two-year virtual tie between the two parties, according to Gallup. On avera...

'Unskewed Polls' Critics Miss Key Lesson Of 2004

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 11.28.2012 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

WASHINGTON -- Eight years ago this week, I launched a new blog on political polling with a post on party identification. At the time, many Democrats w...

Democratic Party Identification At 22-Year Low

The Huffington Post | Emily Swanson | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics

Only two years after the proportion of U.S. adults who identified themselves as Democrats matched its highest level in 22 years, a new annual survey h...

Mark Blumenthal

Newsweek Poll 'Cooked?' Please

HuffingtonPost.com | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics

Is the latest Newsweek poll "fishy?" As we reported yesterday, their latest sample of registered voters split evenly on the question of whether they ...

Florida Senate: Playing 'What If'

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

We have been kicking around various "what if" scenarios on a potential three-way Senate race in Florida this afternoon. It's an incomplete and highly ...

How Tight is the Screen? (2010 Edition)

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Nate Silver has an interesting catch this morning: On the most recent USA Today/Gallup poll, conducted roughly a week after health care reform passed ...

A Teacup 80% (or More) Full

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

The analysis of Tea Party Movement released last week by the Republican polling firm the Winston Group and a USA Today/Gallup poll on the same subject...

Nick Wing

2010 Election Landscape: Most States Still Blue Despite GOP Gains

HuffingtonPost.com | Nick Wing | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics

A Gallup poll released Monday showed that there are still more blue states than red, but the findings also confirm that Democrats have lost some of th...

Rasmussen, Massachusetts and Party ID

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

This certainly seems like a banner week for blogging about pollster Scott Rasmussen, as I count at least three entry-worthy topics on the automated po...

Yet Another Fight Over Party ID

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Few things are more perennial in the survey world than partisan attacks on high profile polls that produce a result that partisans don't like. More of...

Brooks and the 'Obama Slide'

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

David Brooks' column in yesterday's New York Times has provoked considerable debate on both the Left and Right. It makes a number of assertions about ...

Party Identification "Outliers"

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Gallup reviews long term trends in their party identification data by gender and age (plus video). Jim Gimpel ponders the durability of party ID. Neil...

Party Weighting? - Democracy Corps and Resurgent Republic Respond

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Here is another follow-up on Monday's back-and-forth between Democratic pollster Stan Greenberg on behalf of the organization known as Democracy Corps...

Re: Pollster Smackdown

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

A quick follow-up on yesterday's back-and-forth between Democratic pollster Stan Greenberg on behalf of the organization known as Democracy Corps and ...

Pollster Smackdown: Greenberg Critiques Resurgent Republic

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Well, that didn't take long. Last week, we told you about a new Republican polling alliance, Resurgent Republic, modeled explicitly on the Democratic ...

New: Our Party ID Chart

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

This week, many columnists and bloggers took note of the apparent drop in Republican party identification on many of the recent national surveys, espe...

Seth Colter Walls

McCain Camp: "We're Pretty Jazzed Up"

HuffingtonPost.com | Seth Colter Walls | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics

On a Friday morning conference call with reporters, McCain campaign manager Rick Davis boasted that, in partnership with the RNC, he expects to have o...

Battleground Drops Party Weighting

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

We missed doing a "poll update" on the GWU Battleground Poll today, partly because we did not receive the usual PDF via email with the daily results. ...

Weighting by Party...and the CBS/New York Times Poll

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

My NationalJournal.com column for the week on the continuing debate over party identification, how pollsters measure it and what they should do when t...