iOS app Android app

Princeton Election Consortium

Election 2012: The Wisdom of the Crowd

Leighton Vaughan Williams | Posted 01.26.2013 | Politics
Leighton Vaughan Williams

While an expert may know more than anyone else in the room, he is unlikely to know more than the room as a whole, to be wiser or cleverer than the crowd.

Obama's Victory, Never Much in Doubt, Based on Populist Appeal to Swing Voters

Mark Weisbrot | Posted 01.12.2013 | Politics
Mark Weisbrot

Obama's silence on Social Security is a bad omen for the future, where political, media, and business leaders will be pressing for a "grand bargain" on budget issues that will screw the vast majority of Americans. It will take a lot of grassroots pressure to prevent the worst outcomes.

Who Is Winning the Race for the White House?

Leighton Vaughan Williams | Posted 12.30.2012 | Politics
Leighton Vaughan Williams

The conventional wisdom is that the betting markets are pointing to the re-election of the president while the polls apparently have Mitt Romney as the narrow favorite. So what's the evidence?

Political Junkies' Newest Fix: Election Modeling

Maria Ehsan | Posted 12.29.2012 | Media
Maria Ehsan

The numerous blogs that review elections start to increase postings on poll statistics this time of the year and really get followers engaged. The lure of a model that can provide probabilities of various election outcomes is downright exciting to wonks.