Undecided

It's time once again for Obama Poll Watch -- our monthly look back at Obama's approval ratings for the previous month.

November wasn't a particularly good month for President Obama in the polls. Not disastrous by any means, but not very cheerful either. For the first time, Obama's numbers flirted with going below 50 percent.

This month, the news for Obama fans is not bad. It's not get-up-and-cheer good, either, but it's a lot better than the news has been for the past two months.

The news for Obama fans continues to be bad this month. There may be a faint glimmer of a spark of hope in the numbers -- but that's about all I can promise here, sorry about that.

The news this month for Obama fans is not particularly good, as Obama has definitely ended his "honeymoon" period (which virtually all first-term presidents go through).

Obama's poll numbers have dropped this month -- a whopping one-and-a-half percentage points. Reports that the sky is falling may be overblown.

The stability of Obama's numbers (especially the approval rating) continued in May, which is remarkable compared to other presidents during the same time period in their terms.

Rather than looking at the overall picture of how Obama's doing in the polls, I have been noticing something interesting which I don't believe others have picked up on.

Will Obama's white voter support in the polls be higher than his actual support on Election Day? Will this be a regional factor, or a nationwide factor? And how big a factor is it?