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Taylor Marsh

Taylor Marsh

Posted: October 22, 2010 01:43 PM

Jonathan Martin of Politico really touched a raw Palin nerve with "Hurricane Sarah". She tweeted Martin, calling him a liar, with Rebecca Mansour of Conservatives4Palin.com firing away, too.

Interesting that Mansour would cite "primary 2012." Nobody's flagged it, but it reads like a smoke signal sent before the charge. Here's a screen capture of her tweet:

2010-10-22-ScreenHunter_02Oct.2113.53.gif

From Martin's piece:

Recognizing the money Palin can raise, Grassley's team said it wanted to have her do a luncheon fundraiser. Palin, however, indicated that she didn't want to raise money, but preferred a "message" event on a policy issue. So no event took place.


Grassley aides remain puzzled as to why she would offer her help, then refuse to do what the veteran senator thought was most beneficial to his bid for a sixth Senate term.

"It says to me she's not serious about running for president," said a source close to Grassley, suggesting that a real White House hopeful would not have snubbed a figure like the senior senator in the state that begins the nomination process.

What's clear about Sarah Palin is that she's hoping the victories she's stoked in a 2010 House takeover by the Right will evolve into an incarnation of the Ronald Reagan revolution. However, the Republican she most resembles is Barry Goldwater, the Tea Party akin to the Goldwater grass roots movement more than anything else.

Segue to Barry Goldwater...

"Lee, we're not going to have that kind of crap in this campaign. This is going to be a campaign on principles, not of personalities. I don't want that kind of Madison Avenue stuff, and if you try it I will kick your ass out of this office." - from Rick Perlstein's "Before the Storm - Barry Goldwater and the Unmaking of the American Consensus"

I've read a lot about Goldwater, but one of the historians on whom I rely is author Rick Perlstein. He also reminded me (via email), when I asked him about how rough Goldwater was to manage on the campaign trail, that he insisted he would only run for president if he could sleep in his own bed in Phoenix at least once a week.

From the Politico piece:

The setup has cost her in goodwill, an important political currency. The disorganization and restrictions are viewed as rude by elected officials and operatives who are accustomed to national political figures who operate in a more conventional manner and are willing to assist as local campaigns see fit.

You want "rude"?

"A guy was peddling a canned soft drink with the unfortunate name of "Gold Water" ("The Right Drink for the Conservative Taste") from the tailgate of his truck. Goldwater was offered a sip. He spit it out. "This tastes like piss! I wouldn't drink it with gin!" (from Rick Perlstein's "Before the Storm - Barry Goldwater and the Unmaking of the American Consensus")


It doesn't seem that Jonathan Martin or the Republican whisperers, let alone the Democratic elite, have learned a damn thing from history. You know that old saying.

The dialectic sharpened as summer became autumn: America became more frightening, Goldwater's stature grew; that made the world appear to the Establishment all the scarier--and Goldwater's stature among those who distrusted the Establishment grew all the more in the shadow of the Establishment's denunciations.

No that's not from 2009 or 2010, it's once again from Rick Perlstein on Barry Goldwater.

This from "Hurricane Sarah":

"We were told it was going to happen in an hour, and she was going to tweet it," recounted an operative on the campaign. "But we waited and waited and waited, and it never happened. Then we never heard of it again."

"An operative of the campaign" evidently never heard of Barry Goldwater:

It felt like a campaign, but for the fact that he refused the basic technique of having a few aides tag along to build a card file of the names behind the hands he shook. "You leave me alone, he told the aide who suggested it. "I'm doing all right just popping around."


However, no one expects Sarah to be so honest as to admit "Doggone it. I'm not even sure that I've got the brains to be President of the United States." She can't afford the self-reflection that would be taken as an admission and blasted across the Huffington Post's front page, along with every major newspaper in the country.

Whose guiding principle are these, Goldwater or Palin's: "Peace through strength. Progress through freedom. Purpose through constitutional order"?

2010-10-22-ScreenHunter_03Oct.2113.59.gif

It gives you a clue why Patrick J. Buchanan loves Sarah Palin.

But Ms. Mansour and Palin's other supporters should be careful with graphics like the one shown here that appeared on Conservatives4Palin.com. When you get into the numbers of the Harvard study they're citing it reveals a complete distortion of the facts.


  • Barack Obama leads Newt Gingrich by 30 points, 44 percent to 14 percent;

  • Barack Obama leads Sarah Palin by 25 points, 48 percent to 23 percent; and

  • Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney by 25 points, 43 percent to 18 percent.

I guess it all depends what the definition of "outperform" is, as well "cuts into," especially when you're still getting your ass handed to you by the sitting president who's at his lowest approval since he hit phenom status.

Who was Robert Novak talking about when he wrote about "the closest thing to a spontaneous mass movement in modern American politics"? It was Barry Goldwater, but he never turned the House for Republicans, especially when they couldn't have done it for themselves.

This is exactly what Sarah Palin has done leading the Tea Party, with Sen. John Cornyn admitting in an interview that without the Tea Party Republicans would be screwed, although he was less indelicate. Of course, he'd rather choke on the teat of a cow than give Sarah Palin the credit, but we all know how hard it is for the old boys in the Senate to give a nod to a girl.

Barack Obama put together quite a movement in 2008. However, in less than two years the "movement" has stopped.

What Sarah is hoping for is something more like the Reagan revolution. A political earthquake that doesn't just move voters, but shakes the political foundation of the Right just like Reagan, and keeps on shaking it until a new political foundation is formed. To do so she'll have to do a lot more than just free-wheeling whistle stops. She'll have to commit, something that's still in doubt she's willing or interested in doing, while also jettisoning her fear of failing, something she knows intimately through her very public falls.

But no matter how the Republican Establishment snipes behind her back, floating anonymous quotes to their favorite online news sites, it won't mean a thing.

Today's Rockefeller Republicans like Mitt Romney, Mitch Daniels and New Gingrich have their hands full. However, they also have the benefit of history.

Sarah's problem is as much as she wants to turn Tea Party House victories into her own Reagan style revolution, the more she looks like Barry Goldwater. And we all know what happened when he ran for president.

Taylor Marsh is a political analyst and veteran national political writer out of Washington, D.C.

 

Follow Taylor Marsh on Twitter: www.twitter.com/taylormarsh

 
 
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10:19 PM on 10/24/2010
I doubt the nation can endure two years of this crap. All she does is debase her followers and they don't even realize it. I know Joe six pack doesn't care, but surely conservative mothers don't see themselves as Grizzly's.

If this is the best the GOP has got, than it isn't even worth being a left liberal anymore. They have stolen the crazy.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
gypsysailor
Things that might have been never were.
09:57 PM on 10/24/2010
Sarah Palin makes Barry Goldwater look like a moderate liberal. I know, I lived through that election too. Palin is probably the most dangerous woman in America.
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birddogs
Dogs aren't luggage, my friend!
10:51 PM on 10/24/2010
Amen to that. Thought in '64 Goldwater was extreme, voted Johnson, but at least he was lucid and believable. Palin is a hate and fear monger.
heronpoint
My micro-bio is empty
06:47 PM on 10/24/2010
Going up in smoke?
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Brian Ross
Managing Editor of Truth-2-Power.com
04:31 PM on 10/24/2010
Taylor:

Sarah Palin is to Barry Goldwater what Gilligan is to Bill Clinton. Goldwater may have been a pain in the butt, but he was a whole world or three sharper than Simple Sarah.
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birddogs
Dogs aren't luggage, my friend!
03:34 PM on 10/24/2010
While I did not agree with Barry Goldwater's views, I at least respected his ability to speak and express his opinions in a lucid, intelligent and educated manner. To compare Barry Goldater to this...this...spewer of hate and fear in nothing more than a word-salad, is an insult to a TRUE Conservitive.
thebigbike
ran away to be a cowboy
03:12 PM on 10/24/2010
Actually I think you do Goldwater a disservice by this comparison, and I say this as someone whose very first political involvement was against Goldwater, at least on the basis of personal actions, honesty and responsibility for one's actions.
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birddogs
Dogs aren't luggage, my friend!
03:36 PM on 10/24/2010
Absolutely.
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birddogs
Dogs aren't luggage, my friend!
03:11 PM on 10/24/2010
Do not use Rockefeller Republicans...AND... like newt gingrich in the same sentence.

Thank You.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
benji85
01:47 PM on 10/24/2010
Didn't the Goldwater family come out against Palin?
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Brian Ross
Managing Editor of Truth-2-Power.com
04:32 PM on 10/24/2010
Yes. His daughter backed Obama and said that the Republican Party would make her father sick to his stomach (or words to that effect.).
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William50
01:32 PM on 10/24/2010
The party, not even on your radar screen, is The American Party. This upstart, revolutionary, unheard of party will do something that is against the way political parties do business, they will look at why we are having the difficulties we are now in, the congressional record and reality of today is a start, and state factually what they will do for America.
The American party will listen to the people, not a new idea unless you actually hear them, they will be pro worker and pro business, an idea that both parties have forgotten. They will rebuild, retool and reeducate our work force. The American party will change free trade to equal trade. If it costs a dime to produce in the USA it costs a dime to import it. This Will level the playing field for American manufacturing and workers. They will replace the controls on banks and Wall Street, we will set home prices in real levels from today and if the banks or Wall Street used nonlegal means those who were or are in power will go to a hard time federal prison! Your American party will destroy the two old boy parties and force legislation that is pro America. Your choice starting in 2011, a future of full employment and growth or more selling America to China for election money!
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12:09 PM on 10/24/2010
Now they're just waiting for the Koch's and PaPamurDock to give 'em the mirrors..............
08:47 AM on 10/24/2010
If she runs, how will she explain that couch cushion she wore under her shirt right before her last child was born?
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chloe4455
my micro-bio is still in my cryogenic chamber
11:56 AM on 10/24/2010
gas?
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stonemann
03:32 AM on 10/24/2010
The GOP Presidential Primary is going to be interesting to watch.
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01:08 AM on 10/24/2010
The very Foundation of America must shake, with just the whisper of Sarah palin, even CONTEMPLATING a run at the Presidency. That the Country has come this far from Reality, and thinks so little of it'self, is astounding.
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blueshield
06:45 PM on 10/23/2010
Teapublican fear and anger has already passed it's highwater mark, and with the current crop of dubious standardbearers, it's credibility with independents has crested as well. The "grassroots" have long been replaced by another green, corporate and partyline money, and if anyone sees a difference between Republicans and Tea Party these days, they're not paying attention.

The question is, what will Palin do - or be - without the teapublicans to swell her speaking fees? Run for office? In a tough GOP primary season, she's not likely to want to face the competition or be willing to put her very lucrative brand up for embarrassment.

Nothing in Palin's past or present would indicate she has any interest in the hard work and committment required by high office, even if she were capable and qualified.
DianneinCA
running forward, laughing...
05:28 PM on 10/24/2010
Very good points. I think the decider will be what Mitt has dug up on her and will use against her. Mitt feels it is rightfully "his turn" and he will destroy Sarah and her playtime aspirations to be President.

Fanned
06:05 PM on 10/23/2010
Her popularity pales in comparison with her supreme lack of intelligence.