iPhone app iPad app Android phone app Android tablet app More

Featuring fresh takes and real-time analysis from HuffPost's signature lineup of contributors
Taylor Marsh

Taylor Marsh

Posted: October 8, 2010 10:26 AM

Hillary laughed off the suggestion, when what's been whispered about in private finally hit the media. Hey, but maybe it will be good for Bob Woodward's book sales. But there is absolutely nothing in the vice presidency for Sect. Hillary Clinton, especially if she wants to keep her 2016 options secure, whether she's sure about it now or not. At this point, it's there for the taking if she decides she wants another run.

P081809LJ-0042.JPG

The photo here is likely the reaction Clinton, Biden, but also Pres. Obama would have at it being floated, this time in public. James Carville's response was classic: "I'd be stunned if there's anything to it," Democratic strategist James Carville said Tuesday. "Anything is possible in politics. But I don't know of anything beyond speculation, and I really doubt it's anything."

You should have heard the response when I asked insider Clintonites about the SecDef rumor. As for the job swap from State to vice president, Anne Kornblut sums up what most insiders are saying, "nuts," at least those who will talk (those closest to Clinton won't).

"There's absolutely nothing to it," senior adviser David Axelrod said Tuesday night. "The president is blessed to have a spectacular vice president and an outstanding secretary of state. They're both doing great work, and he wants to keep them on the job." Advisers to Clinton said the same, and another Obama adviser called the idea "nuts." - A Clinton-Biden swap 'on the table'? Absolutely not, says Axelrod.

With the launch of Bob Woodward's book and the subsequent interviews, it's now finally out in the open. It all starts on page 31 of "Obama's Wars," with none other than Mark Penn. But the conversation revolves around whether Hillary should take the job of secretary of state, which president-elect Obama is pitching through intermediaries. Woodward explains through the mind of Mark Penn, who before Obama has served one day in office is already speculating that he'll be in trouble by the time he runs for re-election:

Penn always had his eye on the prize--the White House. If she did the job for four years, Obama might be in trouble and have to dump Biden and pick her to run with him as vice president. She had nearly beaten Obama and had won substantial margins in the primary among four important constituencies--women, Latinos, the working class and seniors--voting blocs Obama would need in 2012. Her addition to the ticket might be a necessity.

As anyone knows who has dealt with publishers before, everyone needs book buzz, even Bob Woodward. There's no better way to get it than catapult a wild rumor like this into the political air before a midterm election, from Mark Penn no less.

Woodward continues by talking about the alleged Clinton family motto, "We're going to keep going," which teases the very real possibility that in 2016 Hillary would be ready to run again, with no one able to stop her this time. Also from page 31:

"In terms of 2016, Penn noted, if she served eight years a State, she could not be better positioned to run for president again. She would only be 69-the age Reagan had been when he took office. And statistically, women lived longer and generally stayed in better health during later years."

Sect. Clinton never enjoyed such broad based popularity as a politician. The relationship president-elect Obama fought so hard to get with Clinton at State has served both of them very well. Clinton's on the team, taking orders from the boss on all things, but does have a measure of autonomy at the State Department. Her position as secretary of state has also established her professional independence from her president husband, well beyond the Senate. It's been a total win for Hillary, as it has for her boss.

Clinton's stated she doesn't want a second term at State. She's also said she doesn't want the presidency. We can speculate, but we'll all just have to wait to see what happens. But the fact is that 2016 is waiting for Hillary if she wants it, in my opinion, with there absolutely nothing that can stop her from the nomination.

Once the post-Hillary political era began, after she lost the nomination to Obama, then took the job at State, everyone relaxed while watching Clinton and Obama team up, along with Joe Biden, to become the three Democratic musketeers of the Obama administration, with Robert Gates rounding out the quartet on security matters. It's not been perfect on the national security team, as Woodward tells it, but the Obama, Biden, Clinton team has been as good as it can get.

By all objective observation, Joe Biden has been an exemplary vice president. That he has been proven correct on Afghanistan is just one point. However, he remains the outspoken expert Pres. Obama so needs in private. His blue collar roots help immensely when he's on TV, with his deprecating charm endearing.

Then there is the obvious question. Would Barack Obama ever think about dumping Biden, because he sees himself in trouble for 2012? That question is laughable to me. There is nothing in Pres. Obama's makeup that would lead him to believe he needs Hillary. Politically, the other reality is that no one votes for the vice president.

Woodward belches in a book, the media runs with it. Some things never change.

Looking beyond the current gossip, that even after Penn's disastrous involvement in her presidential campaign Hillary went to him for advice on whether to take the offer of secretary of state is revealing. Penn knows polling, but Hillary would be smart to keep him well away from anything else. No one, beyond Hillary, was more responsible for her presidential campaign running into a ditch than Mark Penn. Let's hope someone in Hillaryland reminds her when the decision for 2016 rolls around and let's hope she listens.

Taylor Marsh is a political analyst and veteran national political writer out of Washington, D.C.

 

Follow Taylor Marsh on Twitter: www.twitter.com/taylormarsh

 
 
  • Comments
  • 23
  • Pending Comments
  • 0
  • View FAQ
Comments are closed for this entry
View All
Favorites
Recency  | 
Popularity
Page: 1 2  Next ›  Last »  (2 total)
10:25 PM on 10/10/2010
Still think there's a chance O won't run and endorse H instead. No matter.
GOP will get clobbered either way.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
TxAnna
03:21 PM on 10/10/2010
I completely agree about the mindset of the President in regards dumping Biden and adding Hillary. So, I think any other conversation is meaningless. On the off chance that Obama should consider it, I do hope that she makes it clear that she's not interested. She has plenty of options without becoming VP and frankly, The DLC Boys got what they wanted with Obama's nomination so let them succeed or fail with the one they chose.
04:36 PM on 10/09/2010
Its called a job switch.I wouldn't object if Hillary name first,Obama name second.Republicans have successfully painted Obama as a Black President to be hated by the White culture.they have done it with subjects fit for a second grader and adults are buying it.As the world waited to work with Obama the American supposedly Bible thumping crowd chose to shower him with hell leaving the world in awe.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
djerome
05:56 PM on 10/08/2010
Don't understimate Obama's desire to get re-elected. Like GWB, it would be an approval for all he's done over his first four years. Personally I think there was a lot of floundering. But with a re-election he can claim he delivered the goods and that it is a referendum.
05:18 PM on 10/08/2010
Here's my take: Hillary wouldn't take the VP job if it was handed to her on a silver platter. Obama is going to implode and Hill is doing a great job in distancing herself from the mess. She won't run against him in 2012, but she isn't going to help him either....
HUFFPOST PUNDIT
springsm
03:47 PM on 10/08/2010
Bob Woodward has become a gossip columnist and the Media picked up on this again in a loud voice. Gads they are gullible. And that screechy voice on MSNBC went from using "anger" in every other sentence to "raging anger". Personally I think the media has gone for the throat using anger to discribe the populace. Other adjectives work better...but this gets so much hype that the media talking heads love to use it. Raging...hum...I am about to rage against the media bloated cats.
03:43 PM on 10/08/2010
I thought Mrs. Clinton grew incredibly toward the end of her presidential campaign. Til then, she seemed to capitulate between personas--didn't know whether to bake cookies or be a shrew. lacked gravitas and grounding. She seemed to be gaining that. BUT then she turned around and brought toys to meetings with high level dignitaries, and cooed and gushed at them. it was sad and embarrassing.

I can't see why it's far fetched at all for Mr. Obama to have her on the 2012 ticket--she had alot of supporters, and almost beat him out of the nomination. Biden-brings nothing much except making the president look collected and mature by contrast, but that's not needed anymore.

As for Hillary--why wouldn't she want to be one rung closer?
She would surely make as good a VP as Biden, but he would make a lousy Sec State. He's the guy who thought we should carve Iraq into 3 pieces.
HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
Takebackourmoney
04:35 PM on 10/08/2010
Will you get trickle down royalties.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
toldyeso
02:40 PM on 10/08/2010
Joe rocks.

personally i hope after Obamacrats lose us the congress and his reelect number drops even lower than 38 and Obama realizes - for the good of the party - that he should do what LBJ did and announce he wont run again - i hope he stays on as VP.

HILLARY/BIDEN 2012 - thats the ticket!
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
marignymitch
E pluribus unum percent
02:10 PM on 10/08/2010
Wordward is telling tales to boost sales.
01:54 PM on 10/08/2010
What Obama needs most is a spine and the principle that Main Street is just as important as Wall Street. He needs to forcefully show he's not just another corporatist pol. Unfortunately time for the mid-terms ran out many months ago.
12:44 PM on 10/08/2010
I'm guessing the subject of Mr. Woodward's next book is how easy it is to "punk" the chattering classes with total fiction.

The first chapter will be how to get Chris Matthews to spend two shows talking about BS.

We need Murrow and Cronkite back.
Ifeomamn
When MSM report Facts, USA thrives.
12:33 PM on 10/08/2010
So let me get this correctly, Mr. Woodward, of the Watergate duo, the still most celebrated journalistic epitome in personality is now, in the business of telling tales so he may have a best seller?

It goes to show how low our 4th State has fallen.

Other than Mr. Woodward's bank account, where is the value of a ginned up non-story?

Mr. Woodward is extremely rich and having another best seller is not worthy of flaming a story so as to move books. This nation deserves better.

The saddest part of it is just not that Mr. Woodward resorted to such tactics. The saddest part of it is, the parroting of the media with this nonsense. It is also sad that as Mr. Woodward orchestrated this canard, hardly any Journalist asked him hard question.

That is pathetic.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
gurukalehuru
cwtc7
12:28 PM on 10/08/2010
Spot on, Taylor. This was just totally made up. How the hero of Watergate has fallen.
11:06 AM on 10/08/2010
I think it would be a good idea for Obama to switch. Biden will be too old in 2016 to run for president and I don't think he would make a good president anyway. With Hillary in there, she would be a natural for '16.
HUFFPOST PUNDIT
JimR
12:12 PM on 10/08/2010
Biden is only 5 years older than Hillary. So if you think Biden will be too old to run in 2016, that means you must think Hillary will be too old to serve out her term if she's elected.
02:52 PM on 10/08/2010
"and I don't think he would make a good president anyway" A sitting vice president has an edge on getting the Democratic nomination. I think a sitting vice president also has an edge over other dems in the general election. I'd rather see Hillary there than Biden.
03:15 PM on 10/08/2010
Don't think that Biden's to old to run or that this discussion is even worth having, but I wanted to point out that Jim's reasoning is faulty. If you consider Biden too old to run, it's because he would be quite old by the time his term ended.
03:45 PM on 10/08/2010
Good point. The 2nd term VP is usually (not always) someone who can be considered a candidate for the next time. Regardless of age, Biden ain't that. Hillary probably would be--and certainly not too old to run.
photo
HeevenSteven
20 Minutes into the future.
11:01 AM on 10/08/2010
I remember Woodward, when touring for one of his Bush books, predicting that the GOP would nominate Dick Cheney for Prez in 2008.