THE BLOG

Final Predictions: Rothenberg Sees a Rout

11/04/2006 01:53 pm ET | Updated May 25, 2011

Rothenberg is a very sanguine handicapper, not someone who gets caught up in rooting interests. He too sees what Charlie Cook described as a "big goddamn wave."

The Senate:

"While Senate control is in doubt, with Democrats most likely to win from 5 to 7 seats, we do not think the two sides have an equal chance of winning a majority in the Senate. Instead, we believe that state and national dynamics favor Democrats netting six seats and winning control of the United States Senate."

The House:

"Going into the final days before the 2006 midterm elections, we believe the most likely outcome in the House of Representatives is a Democratic gain of 34 to 40 seats, with slightly larger gains not impossible. This would put Democrats at between 237 and 243 seats, if not a handful more, giving them a majority in the next House that is slightly larger than the one the Republicans currently hold. If these numbers are generally correct, we would expect a period of GOP finger-pointing and self-flagellation after the elections, followed by a considerable number of Republican House retirements over the next two years."

Wow. I don't reckon Saddam's death sentence is going to be enough to turn that tide.

(Cross-posted from Rolling Stone's National Affairs Daily)