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The Climate Post: Stakes High as Negotiators Begin Climate Talks in Germany

Posted: 05/18/2012 9:23 am

Negotiators picked up discussions toward a new global climate treaty in Bonn, Germany this week. The meeting was the first since the 2011 17th Conference of the Parties (COP17) in Durban where leaders initially agreed to put together a plan that would limit Earth-warming emissions. The stakes for the 10-day meeting are high -- negotiators have set goals of building support for funding developing nations to the tune of $100 billion a year by 2020 and of constructing a global, legally binding climate agreement that extends the Kyoto Protocol. While countries agreed in Durban to sign the deal by 2015, U.N. Climate Chief Christiana Figueres insisted milestones should be set in 2012.

So far, the European Union and groups of developing countries are divided over details of how the Kyoto Protocol should be extended. The talks may have inspired Qatar -- one of the largest emitters of carbon -- to cut its emissions and pay into the Green Climate Fund. Qatar will host the next round of annual climate negotiations in November -- the first member of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries to do so.

One university in Australia is looking at the effects of climate change by creating an atmosphere where CO2 is 40 percent higher than current levels and studying its impact on the environment, humans and other living things. The Aussie researchers predict an average increase of about 3 degrees centigrade, but the first results of the study won't be available until next year. A new journal article says, depending on the area, as many as 40 percent of mammals migrate too slowly and won't be able to keep pace with climate shifts expected in the next hundred years.

Japan Faces Summer Test

While Iran and the U.N. nuclear agency discussed Iran's nuclear program and suspicions Tehran may have tested nuclear arms technology, Japan decided to restart nuclear reactors in one town as others there contemplated how to handle things nuclear-free before the summer's heat sets in. At least one utility in the country is considering a rate hike to compensate for the impending hot weather, while the Japanese operator of the Fukushima plant posted a $10 billion loss stemming from the meltdown. The town is the first to restart a nuclear reactor since all the nation's nuclear reactors were shut off following the Fukushima disaster roughly one year ago. According to one newspaper poll, residents there are split on nuclear power.

In the U.S., California also faces threats of summer power shortages due to complications with the San Onofre nuclear plant. And the nuclear reactor being built in Augusta, Ga., will not only be completed behind schedule, but come in at a much higher price -- approximately $900 million.

Could cheap natural gas be choking aging nuclear plants? E&E Publishing reported the nuclear industry is questioning whether lower natural gas prices will put pressure on plants, just as cheap gas has done to coal.

EPA Declares Gasland Town's Water Safe

Vermont made history this week by becoming the first state to ban hydraulic fracturing, or "fracking," the hotly debated natural gas drilling technique that injects a mixture of water and chemicals underground at high pressures to release hard-to-reach oil and natural gas. The ban is not predicted have an immediate effect, however, because the state has no fracking projects under way and no evidence of natural gas reserves.

The news comes as the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) requested more money to probe the technique. It was just days after the EPA announced water in the town made famous by hydraulic fracturing and the movie Gasland was given a clean bill of health. Though water at one home did show elevated levels of methane, the well water was declared safe. The EPA released data for 59 of the 61 wells tested, claiming "the set of sampling did not show levels of contaminants that would give the EPA reason to do further testing." The finding has residents of the northeastern Pennsylvania town disputing the claim. The lawsuits and tests revolving around the use of hydraulic fracturing to extract natural gas have made it difficult for insurers to price risk.

While drilling continues in Pennsylvania -- generating about $3.5 billion in 2011 -- the U.S. Department of Interior recently found roughly two-thirds of land leased by the oil industry goes unused. This equates to roughly 46 million acres both on- and offshore.

Recent cyber attacks aimed at computer networks belonging to U.S. natural gas pipeline companies may have ties to China, the Christian Science Monitor reported. The U.S. and China have agreed to cooperate on cyber security despite China's implication in the pipeline attacks. As a whole, the energy sector is becoming more vulnerable to these types of attacks, which also struck Iran last month.

Some, however, are looking to other methods for energy generation. One group of researchers in California is trying to harness viruses for energy needs. As Norway opened the world's largest carbon capture and storage test facility, La Ventosa Mexico -- the windy place -- inched its way toward earning a title for "the largest growth of wind power projects anywhere in the world." The Atlantic Wind Connection project, a network of offshore wind farms off the East Coast that could power close to two million homes in the next 10 years, received permission to move forward. The "first-of-its-kind project" would be served by a 380-mile underwater power line running from Virginia to New Jersey.

The Climate Post offers a rundown of the week in climate and energy news. It is produced each Thursday by Duke University's Nicholas Institute for Environmental Policy Solutions.

 

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ILoveFiction
That's unbelievable!
01:14 AM on 05/22/2012
The report from Copenhagen is now available.

http://www.copenhagendiagnosis.com/press.html
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08:09 AM on 05/21/2012
The Report from Copenhagen is now available.

http://copenhagenconsensus.com/Default.aspx?ID=1637
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lbsaltzman
Permaculture and Sustainability
11:11 AM on 05/21/2012
This link cites a new approach to foreign aid that is very good. Small expenditures of money that achieve the maximum good. However, it has little if anything to do with global warming. Global warming as the name implies is a global problem that will overwhelm all other issues as the crisis deepens. In fact the solutions to global warming will be good for the world's economy, but the extreme nature of the crisis means that we need to do whatever is necessary to not suffer the worse effects of global warming. Economists who claim we can't afford to fight global warming or that it is not happening don't know what they are talking about.
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05:04 PM on 05/21/2012
Yes. The report shows how unimportant CAGW is when taking into account all of Gaia's real problems.
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Publicola
Reality has a scientific bias
02:06 PM on 05/21/2012
Orkneygal: "The Report from Copenhagen is now available."

Translation into non-misleading English:

A report from a "think tank" headed up by controversial economist Bjorn Lomborg is now available.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bjørn_Lomborg
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05:01 PM on 05/21/2012
Truth seekers around the world have great respect for Gaia friendly Dr Lomborg!
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artleads
Let's have a national retreat.
11:37 PM on 05/20/2012
We tend to underestimate how non-tech means can fit into the mix of "alternatives." Wind towers (or cross ventilation) for cooling , sealing and insulation for warmth. Time honored or new, these solutions are simple, and pose zero carbon or health risks.
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lbsaltzman
Permaculture and Sustainability
11:15 AM on 05/21/2012
I fully agree with what you are suggesting. The scope of both low-tech and high tech ideas available to us can help us reduce the amount of power we need while maintaining a high quality of life. Permaculture designer Larry Santoyo solved a problem for a Phoenix factory that sat in the middle of a large parking lot. Every air conditioner they brought in failed under the load of cooling the building. He simply went to the South side of the building and had a trellis constructed the height of the building and about 4 feet out from the building. He grew grapes up it. That was enough shading to allow a smaller air conditioner to work. The workers had a shady place to eat lunch - raising moral. And of course they got grapes to eat.
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artleads
Let's have a national retreat.
05:09 PM on 05/21/2012
Thanks! Larry Santoto. Hadn't heard of him, as of the majority of problem solvers out there. I think up these ideas based on intuition and general grounding...which means that I don't usually know the detailed requirements--like the trellis four feet out. I just say things like, "Why not do vertical farming on every wall?" Or, "We could cover every wall with greenery." Why 4' out, btw?
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Neuron Flash
Your Micro Brew Is Empty
03:04 PM on 05/20/2012
The best way to reduce climate change is to focus on energy Independence here in the US./ One can reach a much larger consensus on reducing CO2 emmissions if we focus on using electric cars as a part of a National security strategy.

Although electric cars are not totally co2 free, they reduce emisisons even if the electricity is coming form a coal fired station.

Energy independence from middle east and Venezuela oil is a stronger motivator for a larger portion of the population in the US than is climate change reversal.

THE GOOD NEWS: The by product of energy independence and security via electric car usage is less CO2 emissions AND less trade deficit AND a stronger USA geopolitical position.

Surely, a wide swath of the political spectrum here in the US could get behind that message.

Environmentalist are doing a poor sales job because they are not including all of the benefits of using electric cars (which has the most potential for reducing CO2 in the USA).
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Roosevelt Democrat
12:53 PM on 05/20/2012
http://discovermagazine.com/2011/apr/18-made-in-china-our-toxic-imported-air-pollution

Look as far as Kyoto is concern it's way past time to give fast developing nations a pass!

Over 2/3's of the mercury pollution in the U.S. originates in Asia!
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aligatorhardt
Cut on the bias
11:28 AM on 05/19/2012
The best way to reduce costs and reduce harm is to install more wind and solar power. Stop subsidizing the energy systems that create harm and loss. Remove the protectionist roadblocks put up to discourage the decentralization of power supplies. Refine and improve the fee and inspection process to bring more continuity to government policies on new energy installations.  The market has already shown that people are saving money with renewable, fuel free and clean energy systems.  Coal Costs the U.S. $500 Billion Annually in Health, Economic, Environmental Impacts | Fast Company

Citing lower costs, Mich. utility slashes renewable energy surcharge | LaurenAWEA

Merit order effect of PV in Germany - News - Renewables International

Renewable power cuts into baseload in Germany - 100% renewable - Renewables International
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fumes
Midnight Toker
01:03 PM on 05/19/2012
what about Hemp?
------------
Hemp Produces Viable Biodiesel, Study Finds
October 6, 2010 By Christine Buckley

(PhysOrg.com) -- Industrial hemp, which grows in infertile soils, is attractive as a potential source of sustainable diesel fuel.

Of all the various uses for Cannabis plants, add another, “green” one to the mix.
Researchers at UConn have found that the fiber crop Cannabis sativa, known as industrial hemp, has properties that make it viable and even attractive as a raw material, or feedstock, for producing biodiesel – sustainable diesel fuel made from renewable plant sources.
The plant’s ability to grow in infertile soils also reduces the need to grow it on primary croplands, which can then be reserved for growing food, says Richard Parnas, a professor of chemical, materials, and biomolecular engineering who led the study.
http://www.physorg.com/news205599757.html
05:01 PM on 05/19/2012
What about castor oil?
05:03 PM on 05/19/2012
The best way to reduce costs and reduce harm is conservation.
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aligatorhardt
Cut on the bias
08:00 PM on 05/19/2012
Yes, efficiency gains pay off well. But we need to replace the dirty old power sources, so we need new renewable energy on a continual basis until the power supply is modernized for long term value.
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StephenBP
What's he building in there?
08:35 AM on 05/19/2012
We are fortunate that the level of CO2 did not rise 25% by 2000 as predicted by some in 1969. It only rose by about half of that amount. Fortunately, those of us who have enough sense to save our money and not buy the biggest, dumbest, most inefficient vehicles (Hummers, boats,trucks, planes, etc.) we can afford helped keep the rate of fossil fuel burning down. Those of us who conserved energy and pushed for energy efficiency kept the rate of CO2 production down. Those of us who insulated and installed solar and wind helped keep the rate from rising senselessly.

As to temperatures and sea level rising by a particular amount, it is interesting to note that during this April many high temperature records were broken by as much as 7 degrees. And the residual effect of the CO2 in the air now is still increasing. We have not reached reached an equilibrium temperature range as seen by the fact that the temperature is rising steadily from decade to decade.

It is interesting that the faux free marketers complain bitterly about gas prices, but then they often are the biggest wasters of energy. The more you waste, the more it costs. Supply and demand.

It is funny that the people who complain about nanny government turn around and bend over for their fossil fuel suppliers who then pollute their air, land, and water, and require 100's of billions of dollars of military expenditures to protect their petroleum jugular.
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fumes
Midnight Toker
03:17 AM on 05/19/2012
Moynihan, as Nixon aide, warned of global warming

YORBA LINDA, Calif. — Documents released Friday by the Nixon Presidential Library show members of President Richard Nixon's inner circle discussing the possibilities of global warming more than 30 years ago.

Adviser Daniel Patrick Moynihan, notable as a Democrat in the administration, urged the administration to initiate a worldwide system of monitoring carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, decades before the issue of global warming came to the public's attention.

There is widespread agreement that carbon dioxide content will rise 25 percent by 2000, Moynihan wrote in a September 1969 memo.

"This could increase the average temperature near the earth's surface by 7 degrees Fahrenheit," he wrote. "This in turn could raise the level of the sea by 10 feet. Goodbye New York. Goodbye Washington, for that matter."
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09:30 AM on 05/19/2012
Now just stop it Fumes!

No need to rub the warmist's noses in it,
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canuckhoser
Don't mind the man behind the curtain
07:45 PM on 05/19/2012
When are you going to rub the "warmists" noses with verifiable research...and not selective quotes from non-climate scientists...?

What a day that will be! Bringing an actual argument to the table for once
05:06 PM on 05/19/2012
There was that one POTUS by the name of Carter.
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fumes
Midnight Toker
03:16 AM on 05/19/2012
Arctic Sea Ice Gone in Summer Within Five Years?
Seth Borenstein in Washington
Associated Press
December 12, 2007
An already relentless melting of the Arctic greatly accelerated this summer—a sign that some scientists worry could mean global warming has passed an ominous tipping point. This week, after reviewing his own new data, NASA climate scientist Jay Zwally said: "At this rate, the Arctic Ocean could be nearly ice-free at the end of summer by 2012, much faster than previous predictions." "The Arctic is screaming," said Mark Serreze, senior scientist at the government's snow and ice data center in Boulder, Colorado.
http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2007/12/071212-AP-arctic-melt.html
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SallyMaclennane
Yes I did build that!
03:23 PM on 05/18/2012
"...negotiators have set goals of building support for funding developing nations to the tune of $100 billion a year by 2020...."

It's really all about income distribution, isn't it. One day, this whole AGW scam will go down as the biggest hoax perpetrated upon mankind.
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plans includingdog
what a nice day.
06:46 PM on 05/18/2012
First of all it is not a hoax.If you had a clue of what CO2 is you would know.Do you have any evidence or is it just your blatant denial of a fact.What are we trying to distribute?If it is not what we want.
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fumes
Midnight Toker
03:07 AM on 05/19/2012
did they fly..

drive..

or bicycle to this thing?
09:30 AM on 05/19/2012
The greatest contribution you could make to this world is to pass into the next.
12:55 PM on 05/18/2012
the meeting will be a bust like the last one. does anyone think China and India will buckle? Its a freaking joke - like much of climate science.

as for fracking the EPA has dropped its suites in TX because they could not find ANY pollution of groundwater .....
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lbsaltzman
Permaculture and Sustainability
01:19 PM on 05/18/2012
Climate science is not a joke. Perhaps climate deniers are a joke, but there is nothing that is funny about the situation, it is a tragedy. China and India might come along, if the U.S. ever showed willingness to tackle climate change in a serious manner. But as long as the Republicans in Congress can obstruct any useful progress on climate change, there is little hope of the U.S. doing the right thing.
01:40 PM on 05/18/2012
PLEASE spare me the BS. And please do NOT use that stupid unscientific word "deniers".

The AGW advocates like you tell us clearly we Must reduce CO2 output NOW by 25-80% or face the consequences - nothing less will do a thing to stop AGW. So without China and India its IMPOSSIBLE.

But dopes like you tell us we should spend trillions we don't have and that will NOT lower world CO2 output in the hope that they (china and India) "might come along".

Are you kidding? that is the freaking joke here. and my answer is NO and Hell no.

cap and trade BS is dead - as it should be.
04:26 PM on 05/18/2012
True Climate science is not a joke. What has become the joke is the deniers that deny science to make outlandish claims that can not be supported by the science. For starters, include a full sample of the Yamal trees and the hockey stick goes away. Deny the archeological evidence and use "climate science" instead and the MWP disappears. Create an extreme weather event lasting 300 years - presto - you have a "climate science" explanation for regional warming covering a small segment of the globe that miracously doesnt cover any part of the globe except the small segment in spite of the medieval maximam.
04:20 PM on 05/18/2012
Oddly the EPA did not immediately drop the prohabition in the Ranger texas case even after it was shown that the individuals with methane in their water wells occurred when the water wells were originally drilled. One individual was told that company drilling the water well in the 70's that he hit a pocket of methene at approx 500ft. In spite of this information, oil drilling was shut down in the area from over 3 years.
09:52 AM on 05/21/2012
It shows the stupidity of government bureaucrats.
10:09 AM on 05/18/2012
Completely irrelevant! Some independent experts (James Lovelock, etc) believe we have passed the tipping point. Other experts believe we still have some time, but the window is closing fast and the most severe fossil fuel cutbacks must be instituted immediately.

Against that backdroip, the proposals of past 'summits' have produced very limited goals, and the achievements have been far less. Why would any upcoming summit produce anything more meaningful? What has changed? The reality is that all the major stakeholders in climate change (energy resource owners, energy producers, energy industry workers, politicians, energy consuming public, etc) are comfortable with the status quo, albeit for different reasons. They all want to get whatever they can in the here-and-now at the expense of the survival of their progeny. One cannot imagine a more selfish act.