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Timothy E. Wirth

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The Elephant in the Room

Posted: 07/13/2012 11:03 pm

For years, too many political and opinion leaders around the world have shrugged off concerns about rapid population growth and escalating consumption patterns as overstated warnings from scientific Chicken Littles.

Now, the chickens are coming home to roost. The signals are manifest:

  • In rising global temperatures, melting polar ice, devastating wildfires and other extreme weather events;
  • In the political dissatisfaction of the world's largest ever generation of young people, for whom jobs are scarce and the future is uncertain; and
  • In the growing social and economic inequities that exist between and within countries.

Demographic trends are central to these challenges, but for a variety of reasons, most political leaders have closed their eyes and pretended that the problems don't exist or are too long-term to attend to.

Reestablishing global priority for comprehensive population and development initiatives must be a top priority of the next decade. The reluctance of political leaders to prioritize these issues is understandable on one level -- population issues touch on such sensitive topics as sexual behavior, human rights, culture and religion; consumption runs smack into powerful issues of resource extraction and use, pollution and intergenerational responsibility. Addressing these trends requires patient, sustained engagement over a period of decades.

More difficult to overcome are the chasms of misperception purposefully ginned up to suggest controversy where none should exist. Entrenched special interests have invested handsomely in elaborate public relations campaigns that give politicians an excuse to pretend that there is scientific doubt about the relationship between the burning of fossil fuels and our changing climate. Religious zealots that long for Victorian morality wholly rejected by the populace raise the specter of social chaos. The smokescreen of controversy perpetuates the status quo -- male dominance and unfettered use of the Earth's natural resources.

The efforts to stigmatize the population and climate issues have been remarkably successful -- a short-term victory for a narrow band of interests, a long-term tragedy for humanity. Most troubling has been the dismantling of the broad political consensus that made international family planning programs among the most widely embraced and successful human development efforts of the past 50 years. Twenty years ago, remarkable political agreement was reached at the International Conference on Population and Development on a comprehensive action plan. It was agreed that the international community should work together to achieve universal access to safe, voluntary reproductive health services so everyone can plan and space pregnancies, prevent and treat sexually transmitted diseases, and experience births that are safe for women and children alike. It was also agreed that these health initiatives must be buttressed with corresponding efforts to empower women and secure their universally recognized human rights to economic opportunity, education, civic participation and the other social and legal protections they need to make free decisions in their lives.

But the global consensus has been eroded over the past two decades under withering and persistent attacks that have weakened political leadership and caused donor assistance to waver. Population dynamics have become the elephant in the room: It is perfectly understood that demography is driving our economic, social, and environmental future, yet the issues are considered unfit for conversation for polite company or public policy. Nor is there engagement on newer and complex global demographic trends such as aging, migration, and urbanization. Despite broad-based U.S. public support for international family planning and other foreign assistance, the Obama administration has had to fight heavy opposition from the conservative House to secure funding for these essential programs. In the absence of global government leadership, public-private partnerships are emerging to advance solutions to HIV/AIDS, maternal health and child survival.

This week, the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation and the government of the United Kingdom convened government and non-governmental leaders in London to rebuild and reenergize the worldwide commitment to accessing voluntary contraception -- a key goal established in numerous international agreements.

The family planning summit successfully mobilized resources and commitments to provide voluntary family planning services to an additional 120 million women around the world. This effort will help address the gap that exists for the more than 200 million people who want, but don't have access to modern contraceptive services. Equally important, the summit made family planning part of the public dialogue. Our challenge moving forward is to make sure the conversation continues.

Few of the international community's aspirations for security, prosperity and sustainability can be achieved without consistent, courageous leadership on population and development initiatives. It's time we once again talk about them and take them on.

 
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11:04 AM on 07/16/2012
The elephant in the room is really: are you folding your tp or not? If not, Wipey the Bear has something to say: http://www.theflushed.com/2012/05/wipey-bear.html
09:23 PM on 07/15/2012
*******

Concerns about overpopulation have been dismissed in the name of viral corporate growth.

FREE AMERICA

REVOLUTIONARY (DIRECT) DEMOCRACY

*******
09:05 PM on 07/15/2012
Kudos to the Gates Foundation for bringing attention to family planning and access to contraceptives. The number of unwanted pregnancies around the world is still appallingly high. Though first world birth rates are falling, populations are still swelling due to immigration, so access to contraceptives affects everyone. And you can do the math on increasing populations and reduction of natural resources, as I discuss here: http://econowblog.blogspot.com/2012/07/thoughts-on-world-population-day.html Access to contraception is key.
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Moose Luck 99
GEOENGINEERINGWATCH DOT ORG
04:45 PM on 07/15/2012
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That would improve air quality drastically.

Natural Gas can be made from fuel cells in the future.
CARBON could be pumped into old coal mines in the future.
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Moose Luck 99
GEOENGINEERINGWATCH DOT ORG
04:35 PM on 07/15/2012
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ajustman
10:04 AM on 07/15/2012
Armageddon can't come soon enough
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12:54 PM on 07/14/2012
I always have wondered why it was whenever this topic comes up, the focus always shifts immediately to "international" and "global". The average American consumes 5 times in resources what any individual consumes in the developing world. If you are concerned about resource demand as it relates to population control, just who are the ones who should be a primary focus? The guy with a family of 5 in Papau New Guinea or the family of 5 in the USA?
Seems to me the low hanging fruit on this topic is controlling population grow (including immigration) in the US and others who are basically langoliers when it comes resource consumption. But I do know why its not--because we need the growth in order to drive our economy. Smoke in mirrors people, smoke in mirrors.
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Linus521
In wildness is the salvation of mankind
06:58 PM on 07/14/2012
I remember years ago, when Ronald Reagan was prez. One of his financial people talked on the radio, they were pro-immigration because the more and more people onboard, the more and more shoes folks would buy, driving the economy!

"Think globally but act Locally" was an old enviro message that rang true. We can only protect our share of the Earth, and the more and more of people, the less living the Earth.

No issue, globally and locally, is as vital to the great continuum as Zero Population Growth Now, but it's the elephant no one wants to wrangle. Unlike the living elephant that is a strand in the web of all life, this elephant is literally devouring the living, physical body of Earth, moving closer and closer to ecocide.
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08:05 PM on 07/14/2012
As always linus, a brilliant and insightful post.
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10:16 PM on 07/14/2012
another brilliant, insightful post linus521.
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lisac3333
Farm Lady
08:12 PM on 07/15/2012
We do not need the growth of heavier populations, especially Illegals who are pouring into this country from countries they have already overpopulated to the point of starvation. Until America has jobs for Americans and homes for Americans, we cannot afford more people. Population control must be global if this planet is ever to survive. If I get asked who should be asked to limit their population, I am going to ask the family who is poorest to stop producing. Why? Because those children are the ones who will suffer more. They will be deprived, hungry, live in poverty and those they produce will have less than they do.
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PSDave
FRACKING gives me gas....
12:52 PM on 07/14/2012
YEh there's a lot here.....B and M Gates have started the conversation and have initiated action in the best direction.....who knows if that narrow band of interests will continue to be successful in stigmatizing these issues, but it isn't difficult to know we set ourselves backwards every time the 'other' party gets control......and their dogmatism is getting a whole lot worse.....it's frightening to think how far backwards we'll go when it's such a struggle to even start going forwards.....
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KarmaPatrol
Riverboat Gambler, satellite whisperer. Independe
10:19 AM on 07/14/2012
Many around the globe (and, increasingly, in the US) do not have enough to eat, while a select few have too much. A UCLA study (referenced in HuffPo a few days ago) showed many Americans cannot use their garages for autos since they are filled with so much clutter.
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01:31 AM on 07/14/2012
I have printed this many times, but it is worth thinking about, IMO:

When I was born, the total human population on this planet was less than 2.5 billion.
Today the number of humans exceeds 7 billion.
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doubleB
12:45 AM on 07/16/2012
Yep, that's pretty crazy. And it's projected to get up around 10-12 billion before it levels off. And combine that with all these rising middle classes and globalization... the correlation with consumption won't be linear. If we double the population, consumption will quadruple or worse. All this, when we're already using multiple times what's sustainable.