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Tom Hayden

Tom Hayden

Posted: February 7, 2008 11:10 PM

As the Clinton-Obama Race Intensifies, Remember the Big Picture


First, the neo-conservatives are finding a new control tower in the McCain campaign, with Gen. Petraeus and much of the Pentagon as close allies. The most important issue for the dominant elite is winning the Iraq War (or at least not losing), deepening the wars in Afghanistan and Pakistan, continuing to threaten Iran, and organize a new global power structure around the assumptions of the war on terrorism. In McCain, they have a candidate who can win in November. Making jokes about his age or health or flashes of temper is a bankrupt Democratic approach to defeating him. The question is whether a Democratic alternative on Iraq and foreign policy can become an immediate theme, or whether the Democrats will settle for arguing that Iraq is still a "mistake" against the powerful appeal of McCain, Petraeus and their echo chamber.

Second, as Obama and Clinton head towards a close finish, the looming question may be how the Democratic Party handles Michigan and Florida. It could doom the party if those bogus primaries are included in the Clinton tally. The only solution, as Steve Cobble has suggested, is to demand that Howard Dean and the Democratic National Committee pay if necessary for the Michigan and Florida races to be reset, in May or June. It was the decision of Dean and the DNC to set the rules that Michigan and Florida refused to obey, and it is for Dean and the DNC to refuse to ratify elections that were held in defiance of those rules. If the original Michigan and Florida outcomes are simply rejected by the convention, those voters will claim disenfranchisement. Therefore the caucus and primaries will have to take place again if necessary. The Democrats cannot nominate a candidate against McCain on the basis of contaminated and illegitimate votes.

Tom Hayden is the author of The Tom Hayden Reader [2008] and Ending the War in Iraq [2007]. His election-year blogging can be found at www.tomhayden.com

 
 
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11:12 PM on 02/09/2008
I am surprised that Tom Hayden is calling the Florida and Michigan "bogus primaries". The voters of Florida and Michigan do not think that their votes are bogus. The voters of both Michigan and Florida went to the trouble of getting to the polls and voting. Why should they not have their vote count? Why are their votes being dismissed? Isn't getting people to vote in the primaries what the democratic process is about? Why are soldiers fighting in Iraq if people's votes don't count in the United States. What differentiates us from Iran or Pakistan?

Why should a primary take place again? Don't the voters of Florida and Michigan have a right to the democratic process of voting? Are you just going to keep on dismissing votes until you get the vote that you want?

The voters of Florida and Michigan may feel so disenfranchised that they may not vote again.

People died for the right of women and African American's to vote and now you wnat to take it away.
12:13 PM on 02/11/2008
You know this really flushes the issue to the surface.

An election isn't complete when you vote, even the tallying either. It is such when it is certified. Got certitude?

Where is there certitude when 20,000 votes are NOT counted to hollogram three digit victory for the party poobah's brother? Lets address rectitude on another day.


Florida 2000 was uncertifiable at law to ANY one meeting their constitutional charge to defend such. It relied on partisan performance in lieu. What a country?

If we only took the mulligan....911, Shock and Awe(eewue), sons , daughters, national esteem,..., ect..:=/
07:17 PM on 02/08/2008
Just Outstanding , Tom.

Isn't this further confirmation of the American Abbeyance?

The supreme Count 'o 2000 turned out the light on the great experiment in participatory democracy in choosing Cheney and The minion over the rule of law.

Mere elections please Madame media's acountants, it's still folly and won't solve the underlying American Abeyance.

Rather then a moonlanding moment, this generation can reminicse "Where were you when they should have been impeaching?"
06:34 PM on 02/08/2008
The Dems have to look only at the electibility thing right now; with new figures showing only Obama beating McCain-
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SShaw490
10:00 AM on 02/08/2008
I agree, Tom, but it's a bigger issue than that. The Democratic party is going to have to come to an understanding that the superdelegate issue has to be dealt with, too. This is the election of the century - you can't allow the two campaigns to be reduced to offering (in effect) political bribes/threats to obtain votes. One of the campaigns not only WILL do that, they'll do it with a smile on their faces. I don't think the other will. So you wind up with a candidate winning the most important nomination in modern history on the basis of back room deals. That candidate will likely lose the election due to resentment over the lack of transparency in the nomination process, and losing such a sure-win election will crumble the Democratic party.

The Democrats have to win this election. If they can't get a handle on the impact of back room deals deciding the nomination, they'll lose.

My solution is no superdelegates at all, and redo the Florida and Michigan primaries/caucuses, allowing any independent voters who would have been eligible to vote in the original rounds.

If this thing isn't brought above-board, the Democrats will lose the election. No doubt about it. They'll snatch defeat out of the jaws of victory - again.
12:18 PM on 02/08/2008
Agreed, the only fair thing to do is a revote.
No fair-minded American would want these delegates to be counted when the other parties names were not even on the ballot and there was no campaigning allowed.

That would be simply undemocratic and tear the party apart


SIGN THE PETITION FOR A FAIR NOMINATION


http://www.thepetitionsite.com/1/Give-Us-Fairness
09:44 AM on 02/08/2008
both primaries will have to be held . . . or there will be trouble . . . hillary has already claimed a Florida victory . . . like it or not the DNC will have to fund primaries in both states.
09:07 AM on 02/08/2008
MI Prim Was Rigged to Hillary's benefit
AS A MI'er I DO NOT WANT OUR DELEGATES TO COUNT AT ALL, unless we hold new, heavily monitored elections again.
HILLARY CAN NOT HAVE MI AS AN ACE IN HER POCKET!!!
this scam started with the Prim date change and resulted in a skewed (corrupt) count.
ballots did not match throughout the state- but the Repugs ballot did. A switch on the top listed candidate was the first step in the Rigging then pre set Scam Trons to 'read ' them as if in alphabetical Order, regardless of 're organized. Frankly Land should be kicked out of office if not for outright Election fraud-then wasting the tax payers money in varying ballot organization.Not to mention Hil's buddy on the Armed Services Com (con) who is just as guilty as her for ignoring their duty as an Oversight committee.
I will be screaming blood murder if they hand her our Delegates- She's Dick in Drag!!

Sincerly,
An EX-Clintonian
Hufffan
Ignorance of a few, impedes progress for all.
08:25 AM on 02/08/2008
How many legitimate Michigan and Florida voters stayed home knowing their vote meant nothing. If I was an Obama Michigan voter, how could I vote for Obama if his name isn't on the ballot?
The DNC is a pack of fools, corrupt, or both.
"I belong to no organized political party. I'm a Democrat". Will Rogers
09:15 AM on 02/08/2008
Florida had a record turnout. Over 1.4 million people voted in just the democratic primary. They voted because to them it mattered. Let's not forget Michigan the Obama and Edwards camp asked voters to choose uncommitted. They didn't have to take their names off the ballot. They took their names off in a childish ploy to embarrass Clinton when uncommitted had more votes but to their chagrin Clinton won.
Chauncey1186
Yeah, I'm a soshulist - so what?
09:39 AM on 02/08/2008
I'm a Michigan Democrat who trekked out to the polls to lodge my protest vote of "undecided". This whole mess in Michigan came about because the Michigan Democratic party wanted to become "relevant" by pushing our primary ahead. Well that sure backfired!

I will leave the Dem party and become independent if Dean and his crowd Kowtow to the Clinton War Machine and allow our delegates to be counted!
08:13 AM on 02/08/2008
Short and supurb, Tom. Great. Thanks.

Bogus elections? Baseball used to be american's pastime. Now it is disinfranchisement.

The supreme Count and their precedant 2000. Libby and Tilman laden 2004. If all designignated drivers were allowed one cocktail for every question the delusion of Elroy Jetson's father was asked regarding Iran Contra, they could drive us all home every night and the convicted Willie Horton stunt wouldn't have given us our 41st president and either Gulf garrison.

Now they have their electorate stimulas package in the clear. Anyone else notice those apply to as many and likely the same people?WWWWEEEEE!

;=/
06:24 AM on 02/08/2008
The smell of corruption is in the air and the democratic party leadership is trying to figure out how to give the prize to the Clintons. McCain will take care of Clinton in november unless the remaining democratic primary voters revolt and go with the candidate who can beat the republicans.
08:25 AM on 02/08/2008
Countess I think you are so wrong. The party leadership is trying to figure out how to give the prize to Obama. I can assure you that's the thinking in the current smoke filled room. There's a lot of illogical Clinton resentment back there and don't forget that Nancy Pilosi does NOT want another woman to be more powerful than she is.
Hufffan
Ignorance of a few, impedes progress for all.
08:43 AM on 02/08/2008
Right-wing talk radio is promoting their listeners to donate money to the Clinton Campaign since she had to loan her own money to it. All of a sudden she seems to be pulling in donations.
Sure seems like they want her to be the nominee. "Strange bedfellows and all of that."
03:58 AM on 02/08/2008
Had the Democratic parties of Florida and Michigan NOT PANICKED (and AUTOMATICALLY FOLLOWED the Republican's lead), their normally scheduled primaries would be BIG NEWS and they'd be BIG PLAYERS in this primary election.

Mr. Hayden's solution is the only logical one I've heard (one candidate's previous suggestion is merely an attempt to undermine the Democratic Party).

Thank you, sir.
02:34 AM on 02/08/2008
If you truly want to win in November, you won't nominate another flip-flopper who voted for the war before she was against it.
02:44 AM on 02/08/2008
Just amazes me that people have already forgotten that what seriously doomed Kerry was his flip-flop on the Iraq war. He got ripped on it in debates and by the Republicans. Now they want to nominate another one, a polarizing one at that?

They never seem to learn....
02:20 AM on 02/08/2008
Yeah, my point exactly. The Clintons have been plotting with te corrupt DNC establishment to derail Obama and his hope movement because they see the WH in their grasp but feel threatened by the desire for radical change. If they mess up this excitement by deciding for Clinton under questionable circumstances, they will doom the Democratic Party. Clinton's inevitability s over and the fact that she stands where she does now should be enough for her to stop the fight and help the party unite behind Obama. He is winning if he has not already.
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pbarba1969
07:48 AM on 02/08/2008
You people are absolutely dillusional. Seantor Obama knew the rules before this all startted. No opne told him to take his name off the ballot in Michigan and neither of them campaigned there. Now the Obama campaign wants a do over in Florida and Michigan? Thats BS. Had Barack Obama won those states you wqouldn't hear a beep about this.

The people there spoke and Hillary won both states fair and square. The problem isn't the process, the problem is Senator Obama's ultra liberal supporters who are cut from the same cloth as the ultra conservatives. They would rather see their party go down in flames if their candidate doesn't get the nod. Thats because they see things in black and white, and ignore the gray areas....
09:04 AM on 02/08/2008
Obama's with the loony left of the party. The same people whose sharp left turn during Clinton's first term caused the loss of the majority. Kennedy,Kerry and Dollar Bill Bradley sound familiar. The same pricks that are behind Obama now. They know Hillary want take this country to visit limp dick left country and Obama will. That will give us 2 years as a majority and republicans will ride back into the house. We have an opportunity to put the republicans in a box we should take it. These republican bastards have killed our economy,military and government almost to Hoover levels.

We should push for slow but steady change. Go back to actually creating jobs,creating surpluses rather than deficits, promoting science and technology,actually pushing this country to a green economy. Let's kill the republican party with competence.

It's nice to have ideals and dreams but sometimes you are face with hard choices. You have to pick the lesser of two evils. The DNC isn't perfect but it still better than the RNC. I want a Clinton/Obama or Obama/Clinton ticket. It's the only way democrats are going to win. It's a ticket that can energize Women,Blacks,Latinos,Elderly,Under-educated, Working poor,College educated,Liberals and Moderates. Which leaves the republicans with old rich white men and religious nuts which there aren't enough of to win.

If we allow our party to splinter. The republicans and the media will take full advantage. If there is a depress black vote in the fall Republicans win. If McCain can split Latinos vote Republicans win. If elderly and working poor white decide to stay home Republicans win. We can't afford to have another 1968 or 1972 convention. Whatever is decided it has to be open to the public and fair to both Clinton and Obama.
01:52 AM on 02/08/2008
I have a better and cheaper and less inconvenient idea. Why not split Michigan 55% for Sen. Clinton, 4% for Cong. Kucinich and the rest for Sen. Obama even though he removed his name off the ballot? In Florida, why not just go by the vote as nobody was allowed to campaign in Florida (even though Sen. Obama ran ads) and the people who voted got their information from reading the news, watching TV and listening to talk radio? Or even better yet, why don't we let the Super Delegates from Mich. and Fla. decide what they do with their votes. That is what Super Delegates do. They decide. If you hold a primary (these are not caucus states) how would you get all of the absentee votes out and back in to be counted? Besides, I wouldn’t want any voter backlash against Sen. Obama for calling their votes a beauty contest. That would make them contaminated.
03:19 AM on 02/08/2008
There is legal precedent for redoing the vote or caucus: 1996 Delaware. Both states can do a caucus before June.

As for Michigan, only Hillary Clinton was on the ballot: not Kucinich, Edwards, Obama, Gravel, Richardson, Dobbs, or Biden.
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pbarba1969
07:50 AM on 02/08/2008
He removed his name from the ballot. No one told him to do it, he did it on his own. Whose faults that?????

In addition he ran ads in Florida so those numbers should count...
07:41 AM on 02/08/2008
well then you would need to put richardson and edwards et al into the mix, otherwise it would not be even close to legit. the idea of superdelegates from Michigan and Florida gets back to the problem of superdelegates period co-opting the election and throwing it to Clinton. what if they went for Clinton? would that feel right to you?
08:43 AM on 02/08/2008
Yes it would. Especially since she will come out of all this with the most popular vote. If they throw it to Obama after he loses the popular vote would that feel right to you?
12:38 AM on 02/08/2008
Would everything be better if the USA followed the UK's lead and took some words out of our vocabulary?
The Archbishop of Canterbury is informing the Brit's that Sharia (law) is unavoidable.
All at the same time, two young woman were convicted and Stoned to Death, by Sharia law.
Numerous more cases can be stated, in the UK, Canada and right here in the USA. But no, you feel we must back off and give Islamic Radical their space, even if that space will be your space some day, soon.

That my friend IS the big picture.
12:33 AM on 02/08/2008
Amen, and it's quickly becoming clear that this is going to be John McCain's election to lose.

Right you are; the same old rhetoric of who was first to read the crystal ball on the mayhem in Baghdad may play in Peoria, but won't do squat on election day, 2008.

Both Democratic contenders had better raid the "national defense" ammo stash, and steal the thunder away from the opposing party, or they'll be left holding the baghad (so to speak.)

The only way the Dems can win this one is with the crossover Republican, and/or independent vote. If the neo-cons were that entrenched, and that powerful, Romney wouldn't have taken the fall today. The calculated move toward the illusion of moderation, on McCain's part, with his sudden concern about global warming, as well as his very public denunciation of torture, is intended to deflect attention away from the inalienable fact that he is about as big a hawk as any, and ultimately that's why the big boys in the back room of the Republican Party set it up such that he be the designated heir to the throne in the first place.

War is big business---it was back in the days when JFK said, in his last press conference, that he was rethinking his commitment of 15,000 troops in Vietnam, and nothing has changed. Any nominee, Democrat or Republican, who isn't prepared to entertain the notion of making war, somewhere on the planet, doesn't stand a snowball's shot in hell of making it to 1600 Pennsylvania Ave.