Call him slippery or nuanced, Barack Obama's core position on Iraq has always been more ambiguous than audacious. Now it is catching up with him as his latest remarks are questioned by the Republicans, the mainstream media, and the antiwar movement. He could put his candidacy at risk if his audacity continues to shrivel.
I first endorsed Obama because of the nature of the movement supporting him, not his particular stands on issues. The excitement among African-Americans and young people, the audacity of their hope, still holds the promise of a new era of social activism. The force of their rising expectations, I believe, could pressure a President Obama in a progressive direction and also energize a new wave of social movements.
And of course, there is the need to end the Republican reign that began with a stolen election followed by eight years of war and torture, corporate gouging, environmental decay, domestic spying and right-wing court appointments, just in case we forget who Obama is running against.
Besides the transforming nature of an African-American presidency, the issue that matters most to me is achieving a peaceful settlement of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan -- and preventing American escalations in Iran and Latin America. From the beginning, Obama's symbolic 2002 position on Iraq has been very promising, reinforced again and again by his campaign pledge to "end the war" in 2009.
But that pledge also has been laced with loopholes all along, caveats that the mainstream media and his opponents [excepting Bill Richardson] have ignored or avoided until now. As I pointed out in Ending the War in Iraq [2007], Obama's 2002 speech opposed the coming war with Iraq as "dumb", while avoiding what position he would take once the war was underway. Then he wrote of almost changing his position from anti- to pro-war after a trip to Iraq. He never took as forthright a position as Senator Russ Feingold, among others. Then he adopted the safe, nonpartisan formula of the Baker-Hamilton Study Group, which advocated the withdrawal of combat troops while leaving thousands of American counter-terrorism units, advisers and trainers behind.
That would mean at least 50,000 Americans, including back up forces, engaged in counter-insurgency after the withdrawal of combat troops, a contradiction the media and Hillary Clinton failed to explore in the primary debates. To his credit, Obama said that these American units would not become caught up in a lengthy sectarian civil war, leaving the question of their role unanswered.
The most shocking aspect of Samantha Powers' forced resignation earlier this year was not that she called Hillary Clinton a "monster" off-camera, but that she flatly stated that Obama would review his whole position on Iraq once becoming president. Again, no one in the media or rival campaigns questioned whether this assertion by Powers was true. Since Obama credited Powers with helping for months in writing his book, The Audacity of Hope, her comments on his inner thinking should have been pounced upon by the pundits.
Finally, it has taken the pressure of the general election to raise questions about whether his parsed and lawyerly language is empty of credible meaning. Consider carefully his July 4 statements:
The first one, promising a "thorough reassessment" of his Iraq position later this summer:
"I've always said that the pace of our withdrawal would be dictated by the safety and security of our troops and the need to maintain stability" -- two conditions that could justify leaving American troops in combat indefinitely. "And when I go to Iraq and have a chance to talk to some of the commanders on the ground, I'm sure I'll have more information and will continue to refine my policies" -- another loophole which could allow the war to drag on.
Then there came the later "clarification":
"Let me be as clear as I can be" [not, "let me be absolutely clear"].
"I intend to end this war." [intention only].
"My first day in office I will bring the Joint Chiefs of Staff in, and I will give them a new mission, and that is to end this war -- responsibly, deliberately, but decisively." [ Sounds positive, but "decisively" can mean by military threat in the worst case. And it's pure theatre, borrowed from Clinton, since the plans most likely will be drafted and finalized immediately after the November election.]
"And I have seen no information that contradicts the notion that we can bring our troops out safely at a pace of one or two brigades a month..." [but what if the military commanders on the ground assert that it is too dangerous to pull out those troops?]
Obama's position, which always left a trail of unasked questions, now plants a seed of doubt, justifiably, among the peace bloc of American voters who harbor a legacy of betrayals beginning with Lyndon Johnson's 1064 pledge of "no wider war" through Richard Nixon's "secret plan for peace" to Ronald Reagan's Iran-Contra scandal and the deep complicity of Democrats in the evolution of the Iraq War.
It is difficult to understand Obama's motivation. Perhaps it is his lifetime success at straddling positions and disarming potential opponents. Perhaps it is a lawyer's training. Perhaps being surrounded by national security advisers who oppose what they call "precipitous withdrawal", and pragmatic Democrats distinctly uncomfortable with their antiwar roots.
What is clear is that Obama is responsive to pressures from the grass-roots base of a party that is overwhelmingly in favor of a shorter timetable for withdrawal than his, and favoring diplomatic rather than military solutions in Afghanistan and Pakistan. At a time that public interest in the war is receeding before economic concerns, it is time for the strongest possible reassertion of voter demands for peace.
The challenge for the peace and justice movement is to avoid falling into Republican divide-and-conquer traps while maintaining a powerful and independent presence in key electoral states, including Congressional battlegrounds, between now and November. There should be at the least:
- A demand that Obama talk to legitimate representatives of the peace movement, not simply hawkish national security advisers.
- A Democratic platform debate and plank that is unequivocal in pledging to end the war and avoid military escalation elsewhere.
- An energized antiwar voter education campaign that builds towards a clear November peace mandate to end the military occupation and shifr to political and diplomatic approraches.
- An organizational strategy to widen the base of the antiwar movement through the presidential campaign in preparation for a massive peace mobilization in early 2009.
Grass-roots people power is the only force that can keep alive the astute sense of pragmatism that led Obama to criticize the coming war in 2002. The stakes are higher now, and the enemies far more shrewd, wishing to rip asunder the Obama coalition. The peace movement assumption should be that there is no one in Obama's inner circle of advisers to be counted on, no mainstream columnist to catch his eye with a persuasive column favoring withdrawal. They never have. Only the voice of the peace voters - and the countless activists who have volunteered on his behalf - can command his attention now.
For more developments and analysis, see 'Progressives for Obama' at progressivesforobama.blogspot.com
Would anyone disagree that it looks very likely that Barack Obama WILL BE inaugurate
Given that, squabbles about whether Obama"s STATEMENTS are calculated to attract "swing" voters, or are insulting to his "base fail to consider an audience much more important than either. That audience in a simpler time would be known as "the enemy".
Opposition to the war should not blind us to the fact that, like it or not, we DO HAVE a large number of American men and women in theater, and there REALLY ARE quite an array of folks that mean them serious harm!.....
I'd like to think Sen. Obama is speaking as much or more to THEM on this topic as he is to any particular voting bloc in the US........
HIGHEST regards to you, old friend....
WE invaded Iraq for no good reason.
WE put our soldiers in harm's way.
WE continue to occupy a sovereign nation that we invaded, proof positive of the FAILURE of our venture.
We have already FAILED.
Iraqis are suffering.
Sunni and Shia nationalis
If any American cannot understand the position of the Iraqi resistance
Muqtada al Sadr WILL fight a hundred year insurgent resistance type geurilla war, or he will be elected President.
So, really the choice is when to say we're sorry and we're leaving.
Then Muqtada and his Sunni nationalis
Obama's neoliberal agenda of protecting our troops and securing our interests is a harbinger for more of the same.
Much more.
Youll get no argument from me as to the immoral, illegal, and dishonest way the administra
That said, contrary to your highly naieve and romantic view of what you call the "resistanc
The resistance you seem to admire so is made up of dozens, if not HUNDREDS of factions,.
I think you know that these bloodthirs
I think you also know that the idea that the evil Mr. Al sader and the Sunni militias would lay down their arms and peacfully co-exist but for the presence of US security is PURE UNADULTERA
That you seem to ADMIRE these groups that strive daily to murder our sons and daughters in uniform, and blithely ignore the many thousnds of innocent Iraqis slaughtere
I find disgusting and BENEATH CONTEMPT.
With absolute LACK of regard....
Senator Biden is the only one, for anyone paying attention, who has developed and honed a comprehens
I would suggest that he will need Joe Biden at his side as Vice President With Special Portfolio on Iraq, in waiting, if he hopes to prevail in the general election.
"I will end the Iraq War crime and occupation within 1 year, hopefully faster. The details will required a full assessment on the conditions on the ground at that time. We will then select a withdrawal date and begin immediatel
Note to Obama: Always be wary of Bushies deserting their chosen path to follow yours. More likely they are trying to lead you down a path of their own. And get some diplomats on your staff so you won't be blinded by the rhetoric of the war mongers whose jobs depend upon a continuati
June 2008 -
“Iraq has another option that it may use,” Maliki said during a visit to Amman, Jordan. “The Iraqi government
“Maliki acknowledg
http://raw
Please take note that the Iraqi government is not concerned about a phased withdrawal and without the cover of the U.N. mandate, the US presence in Iraq will be seen for what it is - an armed occupation that has destabiliz
But he hasn't asked us to leave, has he?
The media never even covered Dennis Kucinich's stands on the issues, having already decided they wanted a beauty contest between the first ____ president and the first _____ president.
There WAS a candidate who supported universal health care in the race and it was Dennis Kucinich. Edwards had the the right interim, transition
But issues had no role to play in the primaries about the clash and cults of personalit
You are seriously comparing Obama to Johnson and Nixon for saying that any position evolves with time? I missed that on my first round through. Are you people out of your minds? There has certainly been betrayal - and not just from Johnson and Nixon, but from the New Left - which brought us a Nixon presidency and the "Progressi
The Republican
I am just as puzzled by "you people" who seem willing to sell out America one more time. I am of the opinion that you are all very fearful.
Besides this whole debate leaves out the most important factor - what are the troops staying in Iraq to protect? According to a lot of the reductioni
But what are our national interests in Iraq? What are the 50,000 or so troops being left to protect?
The profits of Big OIL who won those no bid contracts - that was the goal of this war to begin with - and we all seem to have lost sight of that.
We are not in Iraq to fight terrorism. We are in Iraq to protect Exxon and its profits. Maybe the American people think that's just fine. I, for one, would rather ride a bike and cut back on energy consumptio
The real question is - what are we there to fight for? Let Obama answer that and the logical followup question - who's gonna protect Big Oil? I am tired of politician
What is the point of leaving a residual force of 50,000 troops in Iraq? Please attempt to answer that without resorting to that old sorry line - to fight terrorism.
Obama says we must leave trooops in Iraq to protect our national security interests. Sounds good. What upstanding citizen could disagree with that?
But what are our national security interests in Iraq?
Please answer me that - I submit that our national security in Iraq comes down to protecting Big Oil who are now pleased to have landed those no bid contracts in Iraq. Only took them 36 years to get back. How are they going to drill oil and screw the Iraqi people without our troops protecting their corporate interests? With our sons and daughters, of course.
Is that okay with you?
Well, somebody should point blank ask Obama who's gonna protect big oil when the troops pull out?
Until then, please, tell me, seriously, do you believe we have to "stay over there to avoid fighting them over here"?
Why must we leave 50,000 troops in Iraq really?
I thought the point of his post was exactly that, Obama has not changed positions. Four months ago Samantha Powers said that withdrawal in 16 months was a best case scenario and was unlikely to actually happen. HC even tried to make an issue of Obama not being sincere about troop withdrawal until her own published plan for withdrawal was shown to be unlikely as well.
His website allows him wiggle room -
"Obama will immediatel
He has repeatedly said on the campaign trail that as president he would begin immediate withdrawal of our troops and have them out within 16 months but he failed to say that was only under certain conditions
I think he will withdraw troops and will aggressive seek an end to the war. But he is going to do it in a responsibl
I say, stop appeasing to get another kilovote. The base will grow even stronger if and only if that original primary character remains strong. Dilute it and we will notice and respond in kind. Compromise our will and we will respond.
America is a bit touchy about hidden agendas today. I'm sure Senator Obama understand
If Obama truly is an original, he must prove it long before the convention
Why do we need to leave 50,000 troops in Iraq? For counterter
Whenever you hear a politician talk about 'counterte
More importantl
Right you are, Obama represents a movement, and must account to that movement, but any efforts to
sabotage him by pointing out his flip-flops will only result in a president, McCain, who has the opportunit
Progressiv
Because they are no longer a real social democratic party Democratic leaders today do not even try to persuade the electorate that the rightist gospels of free marketeeri
Obama's presidency will have precisely the same effect. In spurning the liberals he opportunis
Eric C Jacobson
Public Interest Lawyer
Culver City, California
"My paramount object in this struggle is to save the Union, and is not either to save or to destroy slavery. If I could save the Union without freeing any slave I would do it, and if I could save it by freeing all the slaves I would do it; and if I could save it by freeing some and leaving others alone I would also do that." The Collected Works of Abraham Lincoln edited by Roy P. Basler, Volume V, "Letter to Horace Greeley" (August 22, 1862), p. 388.
2) FDR did lay out some details of his economic plan in 1932
http://new
http://new
Democrats had a mandate to get us out of Iraq in 2006 but they have consistent
Obama presented himself in the Dem primaries as a refreshing (yes, mainly liberal) alternativ
When he (perhaps unexpected
A better communitar
Eric C. Jacobson
Public Interest Lawyer
Culver City, California
"What is America's national security interest in Iraq?"
And
"Who is going to protect ExxonMobil
If Obama can answer those questions without using the word 'counterte
Perhaps it's that:
1. Obama understand
2. Obama does not want to repeat the mistakes made by Bush on going in--namely
3. With the exception of the political-
It's really easy to be a kibitzer, like I am and like Tom Hayden is.
To be the President is a much more difficult task, and O is understand
FB
But you can dismiss my questions because who am I anyway - what do I know. I'm just a tax paying citizen with a kid over there.
I agree with you completely because I think you are exactly right!
Tom Hayden, stealth bomber. This is a disgracefu
I am tired of these stuck-in-t
Please step aside and let a new generation
This is still a democracy (I hope) and this appears to be a democratic forum (I hope) created to express everyone's views, however divergent.
When it comes time to vote, thinking progressiv
The audacity of hope? For me, that damn well means we better hope there is a real difference
Don't let us down Barack! That's all we're asking. And, perhaps, give peace a chance.
Obama said it best he is not moving to the center he is expanding the map. I've yet to see this flip flop on any position that folks are accusing him of. Thank goodness we have a democrat that actually believe the US has 50 states and refuse to concede Any to Rethugs.
Carol
Our troops? Blackwater
Because it's all about the oil and that's what's gonna keep us in Iraq, republican and democrat, alike.