THE BLOG
10/15/2012 06:23 pm ET Updated Dec 15, 2012

Les Miserables Pulls Ahead in Oscar's Best Picture Race; Argo Surges

Miserable no more! Les Miserables just pulled ahead of Silver Linings Playbook in the Best Picture race based upon the predictions of top experts polled by Gold Derby.

Back on Sept. 26, eight pundits out of 23 picked Silver Linings Playbook to prevail, giving it 5-to-1 odds. Place position: Lincoln (six pundits). Show: Les Miserables (four gurus).

Now Les Miserables leads with eight experts. Argo follows with five and Silver Linings Playbook is tied with Lincoln at four. Three weeks ago, Argo had only one pundit's full support, so its new momentum amounts to a surge.

Predicting a big win for Les Miserables: Edward Douglas (Comingsoon), Tariq Khan (Fox News), Sean O'Connell (Hollywood News), Christopher Rosen (Huffington Post), Keith Simanton (IMDB), Alex Suskind (Moviefone), Jeff Wells (Hollywood Elsewhere) and me.

2012-10-15-314LesMiz.jpg

Argo backers: Pete Hammond (Deadline Hollywood), Scott Feinberg (Hollywood Reporter), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily) and Susan Wloszczyna (USA Today).

Still behind Silver Linings Playbook: Thelma Adams (Yahoo), Steve Pond (The Wrap), Dave Karger and Chuck Walton (Fandango).

Loyal to Lincoln: Matt Atchity (RottenTomatoes), Richard Horgan (Mediabistro/FishbowlLA), Kevin Polowy (NextMovie) and Glenn Whipp (LA Times).

Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood/ Indiewire) picks Life of Pi, Guy Lodge (In Contention/Hitfix) opts for The Master and Michael Musto (Village Voice) chooses Zero Dark Thirty.

See how the pundits polled by Gold Derby rank the contenders in each top Oscars race. See racetrack odds here.

Photo: Russell Crowe and Hugh Jackman in Les Miserables. (Universal)