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Ward Carroll

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Score Obama's Proxy War a Clear Win

Posted: 10/20/11 09:43 PM ET

Put another check in the win column... but do it quietly. After all, the Great Libyan War of 2011 was fought (and won) without really asking anybody if it was a good idea. No briefs to the UN. No requests to Congress. No petitions to the American people. No Code Pink protests (curious, but whatever).

The NATO No-fly Zone over Libya has in no small part assisted rebels as they fought to overthrow the government of Muammar Gaddafi, and as the news of the long-time dictator's death at the hands of the opposition trickled out today it appeared as if Odyssey Dawn (the military label for the operation) had met its mission objectives.

As impressive as obtaining the definitive outcome of Gaddafi's demise is the deft way that Obama orchestrated it. First, in the face of two existing wars that have all but lost whatever public support they once had he started a third war. And knowing that the American public had no stomach for yet another slog Obama chose the antiseptic "no fly zone" option while socializing that the mission was solely about protecting civilians who were under siege by Gaddafi's forces.

It was brilliant messaging as well as a smart military play. Only the most heartless would oppose using airplanes in a policing role for humanitarian reasons. And in buying that premise, the American public missed the small detail that from the outset many of the missions were about dropping bombs and shooting bullets. In fact, according to the Pentagon, about a third of the Odyssey Dawn sorties flown to date have been "strike" flights -- missions where some form of ordnance was dropped in anger.

The use of air assets was also a good defense against critics who claim the military is already stretched too thin. The Marine Corps and Army may be overburdened in Iraq and Afghanistan, but those are ground wars, not air wars. The Iraqis haven't had a sophisticated air defense system since we savaged theirs during Desert Storm in 1991, and the Taliban don't have any airplanes at all, never mind MiGs. At a military tactician's glance Odyssey Dawn actually gave the American Navy and Air Force something more meaningful (than dodging drones over Afghanistan) to do for a few months.

The last presidential parry against whatever tepid criticism the other side of the aisle managed after a few weeks of raining molten death on Libyan loyalists was to give the leadership role to NATO -- an optics parlor trick of sorts that saw U.S. Navy Admiral Samuel Locklear hand the reins to U.S. Navy Admiral James Stavridis. And while the U.S. did withdraw many of the most high-tech and effective weapons from the fight after handing the campaign to NATO, it continued to provide everything from tankers to spy planes and UAVs on missions against Gaddafi's forces.

It should also be noted that close air support doesn't happen without good forward air controllers, and it's doubtful that the rebels assumed that role. So who did? The FACs may not have been members of an American military organization -- thereby not violating the "no boots on the ground" edict -- but it's not a huge leap in logic to believe they worked for another American agency. Another bit of nuance that kept the de facto war chugging along without drawing the wrong kind of attention.

So in eight months after flying 26,000 sorties and spending $1.1 billion -- a drop in the bucket by Iraq and Afghanistan War cost standards -- Libya gets a chance at charting a better course and America gets a clear military victory. There wasn't a lot of crowing along the way -- in fact at one point Obama copped to "leading from behind" (and can you imagine W saying that?) -- but the outcome is definitive.

Add Odyssey Dawn to Obama's military wins along with the end of the Iraq War and the bin Laden raid. He didn't ask for permission in any of those cases, and he didn't shrink in the face of the risk along the way. In the end he just got it done.

Where I come from we call that "leadership."

 
 
 
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ewldest
I don't care "whose" war it is - end it now
07:06 AM on 10/22/2011
Of course the Lybia campaign was utterly illegal, but who needs a Constitution when you got Halliburton telling us what to do? This isn't a democratic republic, it's an oligarchy - and a failing empire to boot -
04:28 PM on 10/21/2011
Republicans mocked John Kerry for saying this "war on terror" needed to operate more in the way of isolated police actions than an all-out, traditional military war. Now they mock Obama for his "leading from behind" position, which is basically Kerry's policy in action. But look at what this tactic has accomplished just in the past six months. It's the right use of our resources, and it is effective. And the philosophy stems from an understanding of the Middle East -- namely that these people are not the helpless dolts the Republicans think they are. They may need some guidance, even if it is "from behind," quiet, but they are fully capable. Contrast this and its results over the past six months to the Bush/Cheney/GOP machismo policy of wagging your junk before the world. It was ineffective, short-sighted and, of course, self-serving. We're now seeing the difference come into focus.
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Djay0252
America needs to Bless God
03:47 PM on 10/21/2011
George Bush won in Iran (Mission Acomplished) the American fight man and woman....did not.
01:44 PM on 10/21/2011
The problem with this article is that it focuses on "winning" in Libya without addressing the short-term and/or long-term impacts of that "win."

Following the same line of reasoning used by the author, we "won" in Iran when a CIA-backed coup d'etat overthrew the democratically elected Prime Minister of Iran, paving the way for the restoration of the monarchy. Unfortunately, that led in turn to the 1979 overthrow of the Shah and the current theocratic government which is one of our biggest enemies.

The United States only "wins" when the result turns out to be in the best long-term interests of the United States. Because it is impossible to say that Gaddafi's death will turn out to be in the best interests of the United States, it is premature to say that the we "won" in Libya.
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maslin
At 6 bn km, it's mostly small stuff.
02:45 PM on 10/21/2011
What we have 'won' is the chance for a new and useful realignment in Libya, along the lines of the other Arab Spring countries.

That's all we ever could have had.

Is it enough? That's another question. I agree with this commenter, though. It's definitely in the 'win' column, and in my opinion it has a better long-term chance of success than the Iraq disaster ever did.
11:56 AM on 10/21/2011
leadership for behind....that's Obama
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fairwayhill
1948 Palestine belongs to the Palestinians
10:27 AM on 10/21/2011
How an Islamic government in Libya can be defined as "a clear win"? The fight is not over yet. Way too soon to declare "victory".
Jay Haney
My nuclear family imploded when I was 18. I've bee
10:49 AM on 10/21/2011
When the guy you're trying to kill is dead, then, yes, it is a victory. Getting what we want from the bargain, therefore, is total victory.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Stoopid American
Trooth, justice, and the American way ...
01:17 PM on 10/21/2011
"How an Islamic government in Libya can be defined as "a clear win"?"

America is NOT battling islam. If you want to fight that war, go do it by yourself.
08:38 AM on 10/21/2011
Several comments have pointed out that we don't know the political outcome in Libya, but more importantly for us Americans, we don't know the outcome of this "Clear Win" for the United States.

In "getting things done" without Congressional approval Obama not only clearly violated the Constitution and the WPA, he also set a terrible precedent that a President Palin may enlarge upon. Carroll's view is short-term and superficial.
Jay Haney
My nuclear family imploded when I was 18. I've bee
10:50 AM on 10/21/2011
W practically already set that precedent, thank you. All Mr. Carroll said was that this is how you use it effectively.
08:14 AM on 10/21/2011
"The outcome is definitive." Really? Please share what your crystal ball shows the outcome of this war will be.
Jay Haney
My nuclear family imploded when I was 18. I've bee
10:51 AM on 10/21/2011
The guy you want dead is dead. That's what makes it definitive. Anything that results after is where it gets messy.
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DoubleYellowLines
Left of the Right, and Right of the Left
08:06 AM on 10/21/2011
This is a win for the US the way that the American Revolution was a win for France. Less so, actually, because we weren't looking to undercut another empire... but still, it's a huge win for the people of Libya, and a quiet win for the US, as we've assisted in the spread of self-rule without imposing it on others.
08:32 AM on 10/21/2011
it will be a loser if factional fighting breaks out - or if the shoulder fired missiles get lost and find their way here....

way too soon to celebrate
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DoubleYellowLines
Left of the Right, and Right of the Left
09:15 AM on 10/21/2011
I don't advocate celebration in any case. I think this is more of a 'tip of the cap' to the Obama Administration, as their hands off approach on this one (and back-office support for Britain and France) clearly won the day. The People of Libya get their freedom - what they make of that is not for us to decide - but we assisted in an action that was at this point beneficial to US interests without putting boots on the ground or any of our troops in significant danger. Now it'll be time for the diplomats to earn their keep...
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maslin
At 6 bn km, it's mostly small stuff.
02:47 PM on 10/21/2011
'Less so, actually, because we weren't looking to undercut another empire.'

In the current conflict you mean?
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DoubleYellowLines
Left of the Right, and Right of the Left
08:55 AM on 10/24/2011
Yes, exactly. During the Revolutionary period, France helped us as a way to hurt the British Empire, and their help was critical to our victory.

For the current conflict, while we had some secondary motives (oil, spread of democracy, et al) we didn't have any kind of direct competitor (unlike Korea or Vietnam) who we wanted to minimize. If we wanted Khadafi out of power, we could have simply gone in and done so - but that doesn't help the whole 'spread of democracy' goal too much.
07:37 AM on 10/21/2011
This guy is doing his imitation of George Bush on the aircraft carrier claiming mission accomplished. Onus was the easy part. Only time will tell what we've bought.
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bascombe
Send the kids off to die, bleed their country dry.
07:27 AM on 10/21/2011
so murder is victory. eye opening!
Jay Haney
My nuclear family imploded when I was 18. I've bee
10:54 AM on 10/21/2011
When you set out to kill a man, yes, it is. I weep no tears for Gadaffi; even a cursory look at his reign should tell you how much he had it coming. I understand your wanting it to be done by rule of international law, tried in international court, etc. But the world has never worked like that and the sooner you realize that, the better.
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bascombe
Send the kids off to die, bleed their country dry.
05:48 PM on 10/21/2011
realize what? that we don't live by our word as a country and thus as citizens? that our leaders are total liars and the real world leadership is ruthless and will kill us all for a few trillion dollars. spare me the nonsense. the sooner you realize they could target you and your family, the better. apparently you accept that they can target you by declaration and send uniformed minions to terminate you and the next fellow will say "I understand your wanting it to be done by rule of internatio­nal law, tried in internatio­nal court, etc. But the world has never worked like that and the sooner you realize that, the better." I'm sure that would be ok too.
06:55 AM on 10/21/2011
More evidence of Obama's leadership ability and sound judgment ...as long as he's not bound by the treasonous Rs in Congress. We've got a Republican party that is abusing our federal institutions in order to bring gridlock to our government. And why are they inflicting all this damage on our country and on our econmy? To bring down the president. Is this why we are paying them with our tax dollars?
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AlfredE69
Liberty Lovin' Tree Hugger
08:26 AM on 10/21/2011
Maybe Obama should be King of the US!
09:08 AM on 10/21/2011
Not suggesting that, but it sure would be great if he could led without being constantly sabotaged by R obstructionists.
08:35 AM on 10/21/2011
ya sure. this war could go to hell and fyi its Dems who have failed the economy - over 2 YEARS with no budget and you have the nerve to blame Rs.......
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Mistinguette Grandison
No. Corporations are NOT people
12:20 PM on 10/21/2011
81% of it is R's
02:08 PM on 10/21/2011
Wow! You really wear your delusion like a crown. Your prescription has run out?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Michael D Ballantine
Texas Justice Party - Chairperson
02:43 AM on 10/21/2011
Great we got rid of a dictator but what did we get for our $1.1 billion. Until the new Libyan government constitutes itself, I think we should hold off on popping the champagne corks. The rebels did not exactly conduct themselves in what many would term a humane way. There is something wrong when prisoners are executed for skin color. Let's withhold judgment on success until the new President has been in office a few months.
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DoubleYellowLines
Left of the Right, and Right of the Left
08:08 AM on 10/21/2011
Clearly there's a long path to walk, but that's not one that we can do for them. We've lent a hand towards self-rule - it may mean that we need to intervene again down the line, but it's far better than being an occupying force and imposing a government....
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AlfredE69
Liberty Lovin' Tree Hugger
08:27 AM on 10/21/2011
How about just minding our own business for a change and keeping the money here in the US?
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Jehosafats
Modus Vivendi
12:37 AM on 10/21/2011
He's been surprisingly successful on foreign policy, perhaps the most shrewd since Eisenhower, though I feel historians will scoff at his ramping up the war in Afghanistan.
Jay Haney
My nuclear family imploded when I was 18. I've bee
10:55 AM on 10/21/2011
If he gets another four years, maybe he can wrap that up too.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Mistinguette Grandison
No. Corporations are NOT people
12:22 PM on 10/21/2011
Maybe so, but I think for the most part he'll get high marks on foreign policy. Let's remember that Eisenhower started the Vietnam War along with his Domino Theory.
11:32 PM on 10/20/2011
Great article because it gives President Obama credit for what he deserves
in his handling of the Middle East. No other president has accomplished
what he has in getting rid of dictators, terrorists, and gave the people in
these countries a right to form their own democracy. Whether it works of not,
he was behind the whole idea when he gave a speech in Egypst that challenged
the minds of the people.
That's what we need to do because our political system is so bad that they no longer
serve the people who elect them into office. They serve other interests, and all the
lobbyists that they pay millions do is to divide the nation to go after each other,
and what brought down the fall of Rome in history is the same thing.
People against people, and those who are predators, more than human beings.
When did this happen where we lost our souls? When did it become okay for people
out of work should be abandoned because we don't like the president???
Why are we making it okay to hurt children with these actions and forget they are
the future???
It's like Sodom and Gommorah all over again.
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AlfredE69
Liberty Lovin' Tree Hugger
08:28 AM on 10/21/2011
Have you ever thought how much this is costing America? Do you think the taxpayers have money to burn?
Jay Haney
My nuclear family imploded when I was 18. I've bee
10:56 AM on 10/21/2011
W already burned the bank. This is war done on the cheap effectively, an independent filmmaker's approach, you might say.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Mistinguette Grandison
No. Corporations are NOT people
12:23 PM on 10/21/2011
In comparison to Iraq and Afghanistan, both started by Bush, not much.