This post originally appeared in The Washington Spectator.
By Peter Certo
A battle is raging over how much money Americans will sink into the Pentagon next year. At least, that's what it looks like.
The Republican Party's deficit hawks have clashed with its defense hawks over another hike in military spending. President Barack Obama, meanwhile, has vowed to veto any spending bill that underfunds his domestic priorities, which already have to compete with a military budget that gobbles up over half of federal discretionary spending.
There are differences at play in the spending priorities between -- and within -- the two major parties. But when it comes to Pentagon spending, the White House and Congressional Republicans aren't really squabbling about hard numbers. They're just arguing about which account to write them in.
When it comes to Pentagon spending, the White House and Congressional Republicans aren't really squabbling about hard numbers. They're just arguing about which account to write them in.
By some estimates, total U.S. military spending tops $1 trillion each year, but by far the largest share -- about half or more -- goes the Pentagon's so-called "base budget," which is supposed to cover salaries, administration, weapons acquisitions, research and development. Billions more go to the Overseas Contingency Operations fund, or OCO, to cover "emergency" wartime expenses that can't be predictably budgeted over the long term.
Those two accounts make up the bulk of conventional military spending, which Obama and most Congressional Republicans want to increase. So what are they arguing about? In its latest budget blueprint, the White House requested the largest base budget in history -- $534 billion -- plus $51 billion for war spending on the OCO account.
This proposal has a legal problem. That base budget, which comes it at $38 billion over last year's, calls for several billion dollars more than what's allowed under "sequestration" spending caps passed by Congress in 2011. Unless lawmakers oblige the administration's request to lift those caps -- which is unlikely, since they also cover domestic spending opposed by Republicans--Obama's base budget would be subject to automatic cuts.
How did Republicans in Congress respond?
Both the House and the Senate passed resolutions putting the base budget at the maximum allowable $523 billion. Then they pumped tens of billions extra into the OCO account -- which, as "emergency" spending, is supposedly not constrained by the caps -- bringing it to $96 billion.
The Senate version marked $89 billion of that -- that is, $38 billion above Obama's OCO request -- specifically for the Pentagon. Not coincidentally, that's exactly the amount that Obama wants to increase the base budget by, except it goes into a separate account that's not subject to spending caps.
The GOP plan "keeps the budget caps on "regular" military spending to satisfy the deficit hawks, while breaking them, with huge amounts stuffed into the war budget, to satisfy the defense hawks," explains Miriam Pemberton, a research fellow (and my colleague) at the Institute for Policy Studies.
With the Afghan war slowly winding down and the ISIS war running a relatively modest tab (fiscally, anyway), that extra OCO money has nothing to do with any wars the U.S. is fighting. "More likely," writes military-spending expert William Hartung, "the bulk of the funds will be wielded simply to take pressure off the Pentagon's base budget so it can continue to pay for staggeringly expensive projects like the F-35 combat aircraft and a new generation of ballistic missile submarines."
Secretary of Defense Ashton Carter has objected to this particular accounting trick, complaining -- along with some military leaders -- that using year-to-year OCO budgeting makes it more difficult for the military to make long-term investments.
There's also no guarantee that Obama, who seems to object more to spending caps than to misallocating military funds, would sign off on such a measure.
But other officials have voiced support for harvesting the extra funds by any means necessary. Using the slush fund is "a far better outcome than sequestration.
There's no argument about that," Army Secretary Jack McHugh told Congress in March. "I don't know how to fix this," added his Air Force counterpart Deborah Lee James, "but if the use of OCO, if it's allowable, or if you can find a way to make it allowable ... I'm all in favor."
Neither the White House blueprint nor the GOP's has much chance of becoming law on its own. But with spending caps unlikely to go away anytime soon, the OCO slush fund is likely to remain an appealing option for enthusiasts of military spending--even while new funds for health care, jobs, education, environmental protection, and other domestic priorities remain locked beneath the caps.
"I fear there is high risk it becomes permanent," said former White House budget official Gordon Adams. It's simply "too tempting" for the Pentagon, GOP appropriators, "and even the White House."
How will Donald Trump’s first 100 days impact YOU? Subscribe, choose the community that you most identify with or want to learn more about and we’ll send you the news that matters most once a week throughout Trump’s first 100 days in office. Learn more