huffpollstrology, opinion polling, polling
huffpollstrology, opinion polling, polling

New And Improved HuffPollstrology: Candidates' Horoscopes, Polls And More

Huffington Post   |   February 4, 2008 12:17 PM


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Polls have come to dominate the media's horse race coverage of political campaigns. Pundits and reporters constantly use them to tell us who's hot and who's not -- but skip over the fact that plummeting response rates and variables like undecided voters and margins of error and often render these polls useless as anything other than lightweight diversions on par with horoscopes and political betting lines. Our HuffPollstrology chart helps keep you up to date on the latest poll results, along with the latest horoscope predictions, and the latest online political betting lines - and will hopefully help the polling junkies in the media keep polls in the proper perspective.

  Polls Stars Betting
Democrats
Clinton
clinton
48%
Quinnipiac Poll (New Jersey)

scorpioSCORPIO
October 26, 1947

Some thoughts you can share with others and some thoughts you must keep to yourself and so long as you know where the dividing line falls you won't have any problems today. However, if you let slip information that should have stayed secret you could cause yourself unnecessary problems later on.

60.5%
chance of
winning
Obama
obama
43%
Quinnipiac Poll (New Jersey)
scorpioLEO
August 4, 1961

Not everyone is as adventurous as you, so make allowances and don't try to force those who have a strong sense of their own mortality into doing something they see as dangerous, even though to you it holds no terrors at all. Your super confident nature is one of the things that makes you special.

39.7%
chance of
winning
Republicans
Huckabee
huckabee
26%
Strategic Vision Poll (Georgia)
scorpioVIRGO
August 24, 1955

If your sixth sense tells you this is not a good time to take risks then you must listen to it carefully. It does not matter how much others may try to persuade you there is nothing to fear, you know in your bones that caution is the best policy. It's your health that is on the line after all.

0.8%
chance of
winning
McCain
mccain
31%
Strategic Vision Poll (Georgia)
scorpioVIRGO
August 29, 1936

If your sixth sense tells you this is not a good time to take risks then you must listen to it carefully. It does not matter how much others may try to persuade you there is nothing to fear, you know in your bones that caution is the best policy. It's your health that is on the line after all.

87.6%
chance of
winning
Romney
paul
5%
Strategic Vision Poll (Georgia)
scorpioLEO
August 20, 1935

Not everyone is as adventurous as you, so make allowances and don't try to force those who have a strong sense of their own mortality into doing something they see as dangerous, even though to you it holds no terrors at all. Your super confident nature is one of the things that makes you special.

2.3%
chance of
winning
Romney
romney
29%
Strategic Vision Poll (Georgia)
scorpioPISCES
March 12, 1947

You're in the right position to take care of a relationship issue -- even if your partner or friend isn't on the same page. You've found the right way to adjust your own attitude so things just slide.

8.7%
chance of
winning
weather report
East Chance of Rain Boston, Mass.
40 degrees (F), 20% chance of showers
southwest Chance of Rain Phoenix, Ariz.
58 degrees (F), 60% chance of showers
midwest Chance of Rain Lake Forest, Chi.
39 degrees (F), 80% chance of showers
west Chance of Rain Salt Lake City, Utah
28 degrees (F), 60% chance of showers

Sources:

Democratic Poll: Quinnipiac Poll

Taken Jan. 30- Feb. 3 among 463 likely Democratic primary voters across New Jersey. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.6 percentage points

Republican Poll: Strategic Vision Poll

Taken Feb. 1-3 among 600 likely Republican voters in Georgia. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.5 points.

Horoscopes: Astrology.com

Weather: Weather.com

Betting Lines: Intrade Prediction Markets


 
 

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- FoolishPollster1 See Profile I'm a Fan of FoolishPollster1

The Pollsters are at it again. The primaries this year, if nothing else, have called into question the accuracy of predictions by pollsters - the "pundits". After the laughable miss at New Hampshire and continued swings in numbers that never seem to settle down even hours before voting begins makes me feel that a "Dart Board" polling prediction may do just as well.

So, a group of us got thinking a few days ago - what if we create a 30-second Mock Poll and not take ourselves so seriously? what if we encouraged poll takers to lie like cheap watches? what if we presented instant results ala Ramen Noodles? what if we make it ridiculously funny? Will we get results that are similar or better than the scientifically run smartie pant polls?

We got cracking and here is www.Pollfools.com. The Foolish Poll has been out for about 36 hours and we have had a few hundred people take it. We have stupid funny things such as a "Truthiness Factor" question, etc. And guess what, the early results being continuously updated are intriguing, to say the least. Even with rampant lying being encouraged, the early results are directionally an approximation of scientific polls. How about that? What if tens of thousands of people had a chuckle for 30 seconds?

Check it out at www.PollFools.com.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:11 PM on 02/04/2008
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