More

Featuring fresh takes and real-time analysis from HuffPost's signature lineup of contributors
William Bradley

GET UPDATES FROM William Bradley
 

Republicans Lose Big on Redistricting Gamble, Brown Moves Forward

Posted: 01/30/2012 8:31 pm

California is in the midst of a big experiment in political reform, which has already led to a huge defeat for an increasingly right-wing Republican Party. Open primaries have replaced partisan primaries and redistricting has been taken away from the politicians, with each disrupting comfy old arrangements. Though these moves, adopted by initiative, were heavily backed by then-Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger, a Republican, they've been heavily opposed by most Republicans.

The California Republican Party put most of its remaining marbles on a desperate bid to derail the Citizens Redistricting Commission. The effort went on for more than a year, first to undermine and try to de-legitimize the work of the commission set up by initiative to take legislative and congressional redistricting out of the hands of the legislators -- a commission which, mind you, had an over-representation of Republicans on it -- and then to block the state Senate districts by a referendum.

That effort ended in abject failure on Friday, with a 7-0 vote of the Republican majority California Supreme Court upholding the commission's lines even if a referendum to overturn them does qualify for the November ballot. Here's the ruling.

It was not much of a surprise, in that the Court had previously turned down the Republican Party's call to have it appoint "special masters" to draw new district lines and had affirmed that the commission's lines meet constitutional requirements.

So now the elections move forward in districts which top Republicans fear will yield a two-thirds Democratic majority, and take away their "super-minority" de facto veto over revenues.

The only reason this is even an issue is that the last redistricting a decade ago was essentially an incumbent protection act, which locked in greater Republican representation than was warranted even as the state was turning away from the increasingly right-wing party.

Republicans spent millions they don't really have on various court challenges of the commission's work, not just on the state Senate lines but on congressional lines as well, and on efforts for qualifying a referendum.

If it does qualify, they then have to spend millions more to try to win it, in the face of widespread condemnation of their sour grapes politics, taking away from election campaigns. Or they can let the referendum die an ignominious death on the ballot.

Why did the Republicans acting this way? Because anti-tax/anti-government-ism is their their true bottom line issue. As we saw with Schwarzenegger's own experiences getting temporary tax hikes adopted in 2009, and Brown's painstaking and unsuccessful effort to gain a few legislative votes to merely place a tax extensions on the ballot last year.

Meanwhile, Brown keeps moving ahead with his revenue initiative for the fall, and on other major fronts.

Brown has been meeting with business executives, publicly and privately, as he's again traveled up and down the state. And he's raising money for his initiative, with over $2 million taken in.

The latest Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) poll last week is promising, showing what the PPIC calls "a strong majority" in favor of the initiative. If Brown can win over additional business support, while neutralizing major business opposition, he should be in good position for the fall.

But more needs to be done to demonstrate improved governmental efficiency. No one likes to think money is wasted.

Brown, who is working to gain business support for his initiative and neutralize business opposition, picked up big backing in the past few days from the California Teachers Association and the Service Employees International Union. While I've expected this all along, it should help dissuade backers of two remaining competing tax hike measures.

With the Think Long group of billionaires and former officeholders already, as predicted, dissuaded from their own clearly foolhardy plan to cut taxes for the rich and corporations while extending the sales tax to all manner of services, two measures competitive with Brown's are still out there. One by heiress Molly Munger would raise the income tax for most everyone in the state and, needless to say, does not poll well. Another by a coalition of left-liberal groups including the California Federation of Teachers would establish a big tax hike on millionaires, which does poll well but lacks is relatively short on resources. Both tout benefits for education. But with the main teachers union backing the Brown plan, they will find the going even tougher.

Meanwhile, Brown is moving forward in two other areas that he and Schwarzenegger have championed.

On Friday morning, Brown appeared on KGO and KCBS radio in the San Francisco Bay Area to discuss his budget and public pension reform plans. In the course of that, he strongly defended the state's high-speed rail program, which his administration is revamping in the wake of various managerial issues and controversies, saying that he will not allow California to slip into "third world" status and that it must continue to be a leader inside the U.S., despite the budget problems he is working on.

Brown noted that 14 other advanced industrial nations have high-speed rail, but it has been consistently blocked in the U.S. in favor of old energy economy approaches.

He also said that the program, which for its early phase of a decades-long project has funding from the Obama administration and state bonds, won't cost as much as current estimates have it and that revenue from the state's greenhouse gas cap and trade program can be used to help fund future segments of it.

Also on Friday, the Air Resources Board unanimously approved new rules requiring that 15% of new cars sold in California by 2025 run on electricity, hydrogen or zero or ultra-low emissions systems. Given California's role as a very large strategic market in the US, this could help transform the auto industry.

Brown made it clear when we talked over the holidays, as I wrote here on the Huffington Post for the anniversary of his inauguration, he intends to keep thinking big even in a time of limits.


You can check things during the day on my site, New West Notes ... www.newwestnotes.com.


William Bradley Huffington Post Archive

 
California is in the midst of a big experiment in political reform, which has already led to a huge defeat for an increasingly right-wing Republican Party. Open primaries have replaced partisan primar...
California is in the midst of a big experiment in political reform, which has already led to a huge defeat for an increasingly right-wing Republican Party. Open primaries have replaced partisan primar...
 
 
  • Comments
  • 113
  • Pending Comments
  • 0
  • View FAQ
Comments are closed for this entry
View All
Favorites
Bloggers
Recency  | 
Popularity
photo
HUFFPOST BLOGGER
William Bradley
I have no microbe bio.
11:50 AM on 02/02/2012
Incidentally, the latest piece -- "What Light From the Sunshine State?" -- is online now ...

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/william-bradley/what-light-from-the-sunsh_b_1248122.html
photo
SparkyDash
Save a pretzel for the gas jets.
08:54 PM on 02/02/2012
Now this sounds very entertaining and not tedious ;-)

popcorn....
photo
HUFFPOST BLOGGER
William Bradley
I have no microbe bio.
10:32 PM on 02/02/2012
Well, come on over.

And we're almost to Nevada!
10:27 AM on 02/01/2012
Like solar.. if high speed rail was worth it, a private company would already be there...
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
TheOin2012
My micro-brew is empty.
12:02 PM on 02/01/2012
There are plenty of renewable energy companies. China is all over it. Get educated.
09:24 PM on 02/02/2012
which sell stuff to fill govt subsidy... china fills ours..lol
photo
HUFFPOST BLOGGER
William Bradley
I have no microbe bio.
01:11 PM on 02/01/2012
Aside from the obvious in pointing out your error on solar, there is the other obvious, that "private companies" do build public infrastructure when government pays for it.

This sort of drive-by ideological commenting is a real waste of time.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
TheOin2012
My micro-brew is empty.
06:14 PM on 02/01/2012
Private contractors build public infrastructure that the public pays for...
06:59 PM on 02/01/2012
But without govt subsidy there is only a limited market. Low voltage controls off the grid and such.

There is no large scale working solar solution anywhere. And the only reason anyone is trying to build one is because the govt pays them too. Worse it takes good engineers and such away from working on real economic opportunity.
10:25 AM on 02/01/2012
Gee, how can such a high taxed state be broke?.....
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
TheOin2012
My micro-brew is empty.
12:02 PM on 02/01/2012
It ain't that high tax. Never heard of Prop 13 I guess...

lol
photo
HUFFPOST BLOGGER
William Bradley
I have no microbe bio.
01:12 PM on 02/01/2012
He doesn't care.
07:00 PM on 02/01/2012
It's not like most houses don't turnover every few years anyway.
photo
HUFFPOST BLOGGER
William Bradley
I have no microbe bio.
01:11 PM on 02/01/2012
Click on my archive and find out, if you really want to know, which I seriously doubt.
07:01 PM on 02/01/2012
You have an article on why such a high taxed state is broke?
10:19 AM on 02/01/2012
cal reps are too liberal.. the whole rep party in cal is corrupt since arnold and needs purging. All liberal reps get you is the blame...
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
TheOin2012
My micro-brew is empty.
02:28 PM on 02/02/2012
In what alternate universe is this true??!!
09:33 PM on 02/02/2012
The world where RDA's helped ruin cals economy with croney capitalism under arnold.
photo
HUFFPOST BLOGGER
William Bradley
I have no microbe bio.
03:49 PM on 02/02/2012
You literally have no clue what you are talking about, and clearly never read the piece.

Goodbye.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
TheOin2012
My micro-brew is empty.
05:46 PM on 01/31/2012
What a mistake that was by Gray Davis and the Democratic Legislature!! What did they get for it in return??

They sure didn't get votes to raise taxes to balance the budget and avoid the Recall...
photo
HUFFPOST BLOGGER
William Bradley
I have no microbe bio.
10:22 PM on 01/31/2012
They got some peace, for a while.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
TheOin2012
My micro-brew is empty.
12:03 PM on 02/01/2012
Yeah, until Davis got recalled.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
TheOin2012
My micro-brew is empty.
01:04 PM on 01/31/2012
What do you expect?? The Chairman of the party sued to try to block JB from getting sworn in as Attorney General claiming he's not really a lawyer!!

lol

>>> The California Republican Party put most of its remaining marbles on a desperate bid to derail the Citizens Redistricting Commission. The effort went on for more than a year, first to undermine and try to de-legitimize the work of the commission set up by initiative to take legislative and congressional redistricting out of the hands of the legislators -- a commission which, mind you, had an over-representation of Republicans on it -- and then to block the state Senate districts by a referendum.
photo
HUFFPOST BLOGGER
William Bradley
I have no microbe bio.
01:52 PM on 01/31/2012
Yes, Tom Del Beccaro's claim to fame. That was actually his calling card in getting elected to be the state chairman-to-be in 2007.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
TheOin2012
My micro-brew is empty.
05:47 PM on 01/31/2012
Right like JB, a Yale Law man, isn't really a lawyer. That's just weird deadender thinking there.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
RickCadena
Born & raised in the Anglo neighborhoods (Mid-City
12:05 AM on 01/31/2012
Hello William:
I think that this is really good news. What Governor Jerry Brown has needed all along is time. And now that some time has elapsed, things are happening that favor Brown's policies and vision for the state. And it finally looks like the ultra-right republican element (aka Tea Party) is finally running out of gas and resources. What I also see as an underlying theme is the influence of former Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger and the things that he tried to get done when he was governor. I think that this situation that you have described in this article can be a turning point for Brown, the democrats, and reasonable people in general. I certainly hope so. I just love Governor Brown's forward vision. You are the only reliable source of information that I have on what is really happening in my native state.
Thank you and best regards always,
Richard in Mexico City
photo
HUFFPOST BLOGGER
William Bradley
I have no microbe bio.
11:17 AM on 01/31/2012
Thanks, Rick, I appreciate it. Hope things are going well in Mexico City.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
TheOin2012
My micro-brew is empty.
01:06 PM on 01/31/2012
Shhh. Arnold wasn't that bad after all...

lol
photo
HUFFPOST BLOGGER
William Bradley
I have no microbe bio.
01:52 PM on 01/31/2012
You never know.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
RickCadena
Born & raised in the Anglo neighborhoods (Mid-City
04:08 PM on 01/31/2012
Hello:
Arnold's influence was not negative. His influence on these issues brought to light in this article are positive and Governor Brown is capitalizing on them. They are, in my opinion, forward looking issues.

My personal gripe with Arnold was immigration. I thought he was excessively harsh on immigrants without documents. He himself is an immigrant to the US. I also share that same experience in that I was born and raised in LA (Mid-City, Fullerton & Van Nuys) and then immigrated to Mexico (Mexico City to be exact). So I am very familiar with all the emotions of having left the land of my birth behind.

My situation was more complex because I am of 100% Mexican ancestry (4 grandparents from Mexico). I thought I would be just another Mexican, but the Mexicans (starting with my wife Graciela) have always insisted that I am just another "Gringo". The ancestry is very nice, but I was neither born and raised in Mexico, nor do I speak Spanish as a native language. My contribution to my adopted country has been native speaker English as an ESL Teacher and now Spanish to English translator for CPA firms. BTW, how many Americans immigrate to the country of their origin?

This is an issue I would love to share with whoever is interested. Gotta get back to work. I have two documents from Grant Thornton's Mexico member firm to be translated.
Best to you
Rick in Mexico City
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
FogBelter
Illegitimis non carborundum
11:57 PM on 01/30/2012
"So now the elections move forward in districts which top Republicans fear will yield a two-thirds Democratic majority, and take away their "super-minority" de facto veto over revenues."

That would be a beautiful thing to see.
photo
HUFFPOST BLOGGER
William Bradley
I have no microbe bio.
11:18 AM on 01/31/2012
Well, I suspect it will be a little trickier than that. But the Republican Party obviously does not.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
TheOin2012
My micro-brew is empty.
01:07 PM on 01/31/2012
Why trickier?
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
TheOin2012
My micro-brew is empty.
01:07 PM on 01/31/2012
It will happen. That is why they are so desperate.
photo
HUFFPOST BLOGGER
William Bradley
I have no microbe bio.
01:53 PM on 01/31/2012
It is certainly their fear. And it certainly makes them less relevant to business funders.