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The Persistence of Tunnel Vision: Another Problem for Jerry Brown

Posted: 04/19/2012 4:39 pm

Jerry Brown has a number of problems to deal with in his new/renewed governorship. One of the biggest of all is a persistent tunnel vision in California's frequently dysfunctional political culture.

Unfortunately, it's a problem that afflicts both political parties and most interests, as well as their adherents, acknowledged and otherwise, in the media.

Following a negative report from the Legislative Analyst Office, Brown's new high-speed rail chief, Dan Richard, testified Wednesday before a pair of legislative committees holding hearings on the project's proposed start later this year.

Richard, former president of the Bay Area Rapid Transit system board, noted that most big transit projects are not funded in full in advance.

The project has some $3.3 billion in federal funds from the Obama Administration and some $10 billion in approved bond funding, more than enough to make a strong start on the long-range project.

The LAO report -- which is very brief, mostly consisting of a reiteration of the project with maps and charts -- urges that the legislature not move forward with major construction activities until the project's entire funding is assured. Since this is a project that will take decades to do, and this is an old objection, the report seems fairly superfluous.

It makes the mistake of assuming that a reactionary Congress will be in place for decades to come. When in reality it was just a few years ago that major federal funds were enacted to fund the first phase of the program.

Had the 2010 elections for the U.S. House of Representatives gone differently, the objection would not exist.

Brian Weatherford, author of the LAO report, complained that legislators are asked to move the project forward "while some of the details still aren't worked out, which increases the risk."

Richard pointed out that the report only talks about uncertainties with the rail plan and neglects the fact that highways and airports would otherwise have to be expanded.

"There is a risk that what we have to do to maintain mobility will cost more. I only ask that we balance those risks," he said.

The LAO report makes the obvious mistake of proceeding from the premise that a reactionary Congress will be in place for decades to come.

It's only the advent of the Republican House in elections held little more than a year ago that put a serious crimp in federal support for the project. But since then, Tea Party Republicans and their allies in the old energy economy -- and let's be blunt, the order should be reversed because old energy economy interests have hard right Republicans fronting for them at every turn -- have shot down the Obama Administration's high-speed rail projects everywhere but California.

This is a struggle that has taken place, on and off, for decades, as the rest of the advanced industrial world moved ahead with rail. The same sorts of folks hitting Brown now on high-speed rail hit him during his first governorship for being a "Moonbeam" by pushing renewable energy.

Actually, and quite ironically, you don't have to look much farther than the crowning infrastructural achievement of the old energy economy to see what Richard is talking about.

That's the Interstate Highway System, naturally. The advent of freeway-oriented transit was key for killing off the rail approach and for driving sprawl development patterns.

But it was originally supposed to be completed in 12 years. In the end, it took three times as long, at five times the cost projected in 1956 when the massive project began.

President Dwight Eisenhower had wanted to finance the project with bonds paid off from the proceeds of gasoline taxes, which had gone directly to the treasury. Congress instead decided to go with a pay-as-you-go approach.

Oops.

The point being that the course of infrastructure development frequently does not run very smoothly.

The report is also short-term in its orientation in questioning whether revenues from AB 32's greenhouse gas cap-and-trade market can be used to fund high-speed rail because it ignores the fact that sustaining a shift away from the old energy economy, needed to keep greenhouse gas emissions down, requires just this sort of project even if the benefits won't come immediately.

But it's not just people pushing perspectives which benefit the entrenched interests of oil, car, and airline companies who suffer from tunnel vision.

Brown, speaking Tuesday at a California Medical Association legislative conference, said that he expects the state's budget deficit to be a billion or more higher next month than the $9 billion he projected it at in his January budget proposal. Less money is coming in and more money is being spent than forecast.

And legislative Democrats balk, as they have so hopefully for years now -- with Governors Arnold Schwarzenegger and Gray Davis before him -- at his latest budget cuts.

Instead, they choose to delay to see if things magically get better. But wishing for more revenue will not make it happen, and delaying cuts makes them worse.

This has been going on for a decade now, though legislative Democrats have shown themselves far more reality-oriented than legislative Republicans by undertaking necessary cuts on several occasions.

I remember talking with then Assembly Budget Committee chair Jenny Oropeza a decade ago. She insisted that Republicans -- some of whose votes were needed to meet California's unusual two-thirds vote requirement for new revenues (only a majority is needed for tax cuts and special breaks, of which there have been many) -- would go along with a tax hike to avoid cuts she didn't want to make in the aftermath of expanding spending during the dot-com boom-turned-bust.

Why would they go along? They would have to, she insisted.

But they didn't. Magical thinking did not suffice and the state's structural deficit grew.

Help will be on the way when and if Brown's revenue initiative passes in November. But between now and then, more cuts are inevitable.


You can check things during the day on my site, New West Notes ... www.newwestnotes.com.


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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
William Bradley
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06:45 PM on 04/24/2012
Incidentally, the latest piece -- "Hillary for President? On the Other Side of the Gauntlet" -- is online now ...

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/william-bradley/hillary-2016_b_1450387.html
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
TheOin2012
My micro-brew is empty.
05:50 PM on 04/25/2012
Hillary. That takes some getting used to...
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
William Bradley
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03:28 PM on 04/26/2012
Shocking, positively shocking.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
gsocratesasks
Obama is keeping troops in Afghan past 2014...
03:04 PM on 04/23/2012
The real news... By law, the cap-and-trade funds must be used for greenhouse gas reduction. But they could be indirectly captured to offset state budget deficits by allocating them to existing state operations tied to carbon reduction, thus freeing up money for other areas facing cuts, such as health and welfare services. Liberal legislators appear to be leaning in that direction, but Brown has indicated that he wants cap-and-trade money to be the backstop for his pet project, a statewide bullet train system, which otherwise is very short of money. However, the Legislature's budget analyst and other authorities opine that the money could not legally be allocated to the bullet train. There are several bills kicking around to spend the corporate tax proceeds.
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
William Bradley
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05:58 PM on 04/24/2012
The real real news is that your comment is inaccurate.

The LAO doesn't say that cap and trade revenues can't be used to build a train system that will cut greenhouse gas emissions. The author, who is not a lawyer, and is one of the few LAO people who undertook doctoral studies, says he doesn't know.
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TheOin2012
My micro-brew is empty.
07:32 PM on 04/24/2012
So spending the money on high speed rail is a no-brainer...
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William Bradley
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08:58 PM on 04/24/2012
Only if you think about it.
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02:39 PM on 04/22/2012
Eliminate collective bargaining with all public employees in CA and for once, bargain pay/benefits on behalf of the beleagured taxpayer. We need tax cuts, not increases. Most govt employees are otherwise unemployable unless they are a doctor or lawyer. Stop paying the bottom of the barrel tope wages and absurdly high, spiked pensions. And then, maybe, seek some more taxes. Brown is putting on hold negotiations with the unions. This alone shows where his loyalties lie and it is NOT with the private sector taxpayer.
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
William Bradley
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05:59 PM on 04/24/2012
Broken record.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
TheOin2012
My micro-brew is empty.
07:33 PM on 04/24/2012
Yeah, rich people need tax cuts!!

Meg Whitman was right!!

Extreme right...
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
William Bradley
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08:58 PM on 04/24/2012
Heh.
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01:59 PM on 04/29/2012
LOL.....thousands of CA state, county, and city workers make over 250K, so according to Jerry, they are "millionaires". Uncle Jerry says if you make 250K per year, you should have millions saved. We have retired cops in SF that get > 250K pa IN RETIREMENT. Brown should address these issues FIRST before any new taxes.
It's not as if this money is going to help the average taxpayer. It's just transferring wealth from the top private sector earners to govt workers.
03:21 AM on 04/22/2012
The high speed train is a huge waste of taxpayer money. If the state wants to spend 60-100 billion dollars on transportation how about building a world class mass transit system in Los Angeles to start. If you want to get to San Francisco from LA in 2 hours then drive down to LAX and hop on a Southwest flight. It will get you there in about 70 minutes. With gas costing $4 a gallon the state needs to spend its transportation money on moving people around large cities more efficiently and alleviating local traffic tieups. Public transit in Los Angeles is about as horrible as it gets. I would never use it. Overcrowded buses and trains that do not go many places. Nobody is going to ride this high speed rail system when a perfectly good airplane will do just fine. If the state really wants to spend 10's of billions of dollars on transportation then local mass transit and local freeway improvements are the way to go.
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TheOin2012
My micro-brew is empty.
07:35 PM on 04/24/2012
Dude, dude, dude, it takes way longer than that to fly. You forget you have to drive, and park, and all that...

lol
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
William Bradley
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08:59 PM on 04/24/2012
We'll see what he thinks about it in 20 years, as distinguished from the 20 seconds ahead that he thought.

I sweat to god, some of these comments prove the title to a tee.
01:29 AM on 04/25/2012
The last time I flew up north my ride got me to LAX in about 20 minutes via the carpool lanes on the 110 and 105. I was through security in 10 minutes and got on my plane in another 30 minutes after that. Total time was about 2 hours 40 minutes from the time I left my house to the time I was at the rental car counter at San Francisco International. We do not need to spend 60-100 billion dollars to get me to San Francisco 20 minutes sooner. We need to spend our transportation money to get people from the Valley to the west side and downtown Los Angeles in less than the hour and a half it takes in the morning and evening commutes. The federal government is spending billions to modernize LAX. We do not need a high speed railroad. This is not Europe. We are not a railway society
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William Bradley
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06:33 PM on 04/21/2012
My previous comments on this were very strangely deleted.

This one is being blocked.

I don't appreciate my time being wasted like this.

> You have submitted a similar comment previously on other entry. Your comment may still be in queue. If you have questions about moderation contact community-support@huffingtonpost.com.

You can post to us this informationtechtips@huffingtonpost.com

In what way?

Alternet frequently strains to bear out its ideological predilections.

>falsy
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54 minutes ago ( 5:36 PM)
There's also pretty good historical proof that higher taxes may be better for the economy.

http://www.alternet.org/economy/106979/
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Soc3947
Repeal Obama care because the IRS is corrupt
06:05 PM on 04/20/2012
I rather have six lanes on I5 and 99 all the way. And few better connections from them to 101.
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William Bradley
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01:37 PM on 04/21/2012
Thanks for this classic example of tunnel vision.
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Soc3947
Repeal Obama care because the IRS is corrupt
03:53 PM on 04/21/2012
I don't need a train. But I pay a lot of gas tax for roads.
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TheOin2012
My micro-brew is empty.
07:35 PM on 04/24/2012
Heh.
04:57 PM on 04/20/2012
Why does our country continue to act like we're poor? We are not broke, but we will be if we don't invest in this country. Maybe it's time to let the republicans win on the federal level, give massive tax cuts, and let the states compete. Then maybe there will be more of an appetite to raise taxes on the state and local level to pay for these types of projects. The problem is Ron Paul is the only republican serious about that plan. Romney will continue to let our debt soar, he'll just cut programs for the poor to give tax breaks to the rich.
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William Bradley
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01:38 PM on 04/21/2012
Ron Paul is for tax increases?

I think you're projecting.
02:24 PM on 04/21/2012
No, no, no, that's not what I meant. I meant, Ron Paul is the only one serious about cutting the size of the federal government. What I was saying, and I doubt Ron Paul would favor this, is that if the federal government is reduced in size and our federal taxes drastically cut, then there might be more will to raise taxes at the state level to address infrastructure and other issues.

I think the inability of the federal government to meet the needs of the citizens means that we need to act locally. I think it is time for the Democratic Party to rethink the role of the federal government. Our ideas may be better, but perhaps they require more tailoring to local issues and less bureaucracy. In addition, the only way to stop the war machine is to cut the funding to the federal government. Ultimately, people are only going to be willing to pay so much in taxes. State, county, and city governments are more responsive to addressing most (not all) local concerns than the federal government. California may be the exception, but Jerry Brown seems to be taking some steps towards greater local control.
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TheOin2012
My micro-brew is empty.
08:17 PM on 04/19/2012
The guys who've been Governor must kinda hate the legislature.


>>> And legislative Democrats balk, as they have so hopefully for years now -- with Governors Arnold Schwarzenegger and Gray Davis before him -- at his latest budget cuts.
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William Bradley
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08:45 PM on 04/19/2012
I wouldn't know about that.
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TheOin2012
My micro-brew is empty.
05:26 PM on 04/20/2012
Heh.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
TheOin2012
My micro-brew is empty.
08:16 PM on 04/19/2012
History! No fair...


>>> That's the Interstate Highway System, naturally. The advent of freeway-oriented transit was key for killing off the rail approach and for driving sprawl development patterns.

But it was originally supposed to be completed in 12 years. In the end, it took three times as long, at five times the cost projected in 1956 when the massive project began.

President Dwight Eisenhower had wanted to finance the project with bonds paid off from the proceeds of gasoline taxes, which had gone directly to the treasury. Congress instead decided to go with a pay-as-you-go approach.

Oops.

The point being that the course of infrastructure development frequently does not run very smoothly.
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
William Bradley
I have no microbe bio.
08:46 PM on 04/19/2012
Sorry. I know it's unfashionable.
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TheOin2012
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05:26 PM on 04/20/2012
You can't Tweet it.
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TheOin2012
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08:09 PM on 04/19/2012
That Legislative Analyst "report" looks like it was written by some college kid cramming in a last minute term paper.
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William Bradley
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04:32 PM on 04/20/2012
When you take out the baseline rehash of the project, the graphics rehashing the project, and the repeated argument which I filleted above, your're left with very little.
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TheOin2012
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07:38 PM on 04/24/2012
What is up with the LAO, anyways??
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William Bradley
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06:02 PM on 04/20/2012
It's pretty superfluous.