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William K. Barth

William K. Barth

Posted: December 14, 2009 06:11 PM

President Obama Should Negotiate with the Taliban

What's Your Reaction:

"Let us never negotiate out of fear, but let us never fear to negotiate."
~ John Fitzgerald Kennedy, Presidential Inaugural Address, January 20, 1961.

Americans oppose insurgency - so much so that President Obama's Defense Secretary, Robert Gates, has testified before Congress that the administration plans to send 33,000 more American troops and spend an additional $100 billion in Afghanistan. All this to continue a war against insurgent Taliban forces battling the regime of President Hamid Karzai, which is not only widely regarded as being extremely corrupt, but has also been implicated in heroin-trafficking. This should give us pause to re-examine our opposition to the Taliban, as well as to insurgency broadly defined.

Our anti-insurgency bias is not consistent with our history. The United States was established, in large part, through the actions of insurgent minutemen against King George III's British troops. Even though European colonialism has long since ended, insurgents still continue their battles to eradicate colonialism's legacy. Insurgency is also used by indigenous populations in order to gain self-governance in regions still controlled by states unsympathetic to local political aspirations. It is difficult to understand why Americans should oppose such movements in principle, given that self-determination is jus cogens (universally recognized) as a tenet of international law. Indeed, this principle was first established by President Woodrow Wilson, and the League of Nations, at the conclusion of WWI, in the hope of ending the use of war as a tool to achieve national aspirations.

Whilst insurgencies generally act in the name of self-determination, this does not, naturally, in any way excuse their use of terror-tactics; that is, crimes of violence against civilians. What is the case, though, is that terrorism would very likely be reduced were remedies to be created within international organizations, such as the United Nations (UN), as well as other regional bodies, which do not currently recognize insurgent claims. Insurgent groups have no international forum wherein they can present a claim for self-determination, or even statehood.

The UN Human Rights Committee, or other international treaty monitoring bodies, might be suitable for this purpose. In the absence of any international remedy, however, the only alternatives these groups believe that they have to prosecute their grievances are civil protest, or violence.

Since the end of WWII, the United States has consistently opposed insurgent movements throughout formerly European-held colonies in Asia, Africa and India. The most notable instance of this was its opposition to the African National Congress (ANC), which battled South African apartheid for several decades but was for a long time considered to be a terrorist organization (Nelson Mandela, former chair of the ANC, has since been awarded the Noble Peace Prize and served as president of his country). Still another illustration is that of Vietnamese insurgents (the Viet-Cong) who battled first against French colonization, and later, against American troops. We once dismissed Vietnamese insurgents as communist-puppets controlled by Beijing and Moscow; but these same communists today demonstrate Vietnam's independence by having established a partnership with the United States.

The United States is not the only major power to have opposed insurgency with force. Britain, for example, spent most of the last century battling a home-grown insurgency led by the Irish Republican Army (IRA), which used terrorism against civilians in the cause of Irish unity and independence. The initial IRA insurgency (1919-1921) resulted in an independent Republic of Ireland, which, since then, has not only become one of the most prosperous states within the European Union, but also enjoys friendly relations with the former colonial power, the UK. The British also decided to negotiate in order to bring an end to another IRA insurgency (1969-2005) over the future of Northern Ireland, negotiations that have yielded a peace settlement making the territory far more stable and open to economic investment and development.

Moreover, in the first half of the twentieth century Indian insurgents lead by Mahatma Gandhi contributed to Britain's ultimate grant of Indian independence, by implementing a campaign of non-violence and non-cooperation; although even Gandhi could not prevent outbreaks of terror tactics. And France has battled its own insurgencies in North Africa; for example, as documented by French cinema in The Battle for Algiers, which portrayed Algerian insurgents bombing Parisian-style cafes.

Negotiating with the Taliban-insurgency would benefit US interests in the region because history demonstrates that negotiation cultivates greater political responsibility, as well moderation within insurgent groups. In short, the objective of such negotiations would be to moderate the Taliban by requiring that they sever their ties with Al Qaeda. For example, last month, former California State Senator Tom Hayden reported an overture by the Taliban, the second since the war began, to distance itself from Al Qaeda in exchange for a political settlement with the Karzai government. Senator Hayden disclosed a report that Taliban leader Mullah Mohammed Omar may be prepared to break with Al Qaeda in exchange for a series of power-sharing arrangements with the Karzai government, one of which would involve the stationing in Afghanistan of NATO military peacekeepers from other Islamic states.

In addition, there have been disclosures to the effect that US military sources and the White House might support such a redefinition of the Taliban insurgency, given that they could not be any worse in power than the corruption-plagued regime of Afghanistan President Hamid Karzai. Such a proposal is reasonable because of the confusing geo-strategic contradictions that exist in the region. For example, it is well known that both funding and arms were provided to the Taliban's predecessor, the Mujahideen (in the early 1980s), by the United States CIA working closely with the Pakistani's Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) agency. This Afghan insurgency managed to frustrate the Soviet Union's invasion so successfully that President Gorbachev withdrew his forces in 1989.

The war is now in its eighth year and has failed to achieve its basic objective; namely, capturing Osama bin Laden for his crimes against humanity committed on 9/11, and bringing him to justice. President George W. Bush, in fact, rejected an early offer (10/2001) by the former Afghan-Taliban Deputy Prime Minister, Haji Abdul Kabir, to extradite Osama bin Laden in exchange for production of evidence of bin Laden's involvement in 9/11, as well as for an agreement by the United States to end its bombing of Afghanistan. Given the failure of the US military campaigns to capture Osama bin Laden, such negotiations would certainly help our central objective in Afghanistan of apprehending and prosecuting bin Laden and his lieutenants.

It is important to cultivate responsibility within insurgencies by bringing them into the political process. Otherwise, insurgents remain alienated from participation in a government that they consider to be illegitimate. The best way to achieve this result in Afghanistan is by initiating negotiations with the Taliban. Clearly, the Taliban have popular support because, according to one report, they have established the ability to launch their attacks throughout eighty-percent of Afghanistan. Furthermore, the Taliban claim representation of the Pashtun, which is the largest ethnic group in Afghanistan.

The Pashtuns provided the central leadership for Afghanistan since the eighteenth century. In modern times, the Pashtuns achieved independence from British rule (1921), and led the resistance to the Soviet invasion (1979-1989). The Pashtun are the primary ethnic group within the Taliban, which emerged from southern Afghanistan. The United States military mission in Afghanistan is in danger of losing the battle over 'hearts and minds' because, like the British and the Russians before them, the Americans are easy to perceive as an occupation force that deprives the Pashtuns of self-determination.

The Obama administration's announcement of a troop escalation will only exacerbate the Taliban insurgency. Furthermore, war is always an imperfect tool, because the states that fight wars usually played a key role in the conditions that started them in the first instance. Clearly, the CIA's militarily arming of the Mujahideen to battle against the Soviet Union's occupation of Afghanistan helped to lay the ground for the very insurgency that American troops are battling today. The US should initiate negotiations with the Taliban in order to bring Osama bin Laden, and his lieutenants, to justice, as well as to help President Obama's long-term objective of withdrawing American troops, and bringing self-determination to the Pashtuns, as well as the other diverse, smaller ethnic groups that constitute Afghanistan today.

 
 
 
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09:01 PM on 01/06/2010
The US should support these Afghan efforts:

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/34731459/ns/world_news-south_and_central_asia/
01:59 PM on 12/15/2009
The problem with Mr. Barth's analysis is that the Taliban wasn't an insurgent movement borne out of a desire to defeat an oppressive government and establish freedom for Afghans. The Taliban was the oppressive government that employed draconian measures to control the Afghan people and provided santuary to the Al Qaida terrorist organization. The Taliban was removed for the aforementioned reasons and only then did it become an insurgency movement. Finally, the Taliban has given no indication of any willingness to negotiate with the US or establish a peaceful government that respects the rights of its people. Rather than comparing the Taliban to freedom fighters, we should be comparing it to oppressive regimes of the past.
12:25 PM on 12/15/2009
Appeasement... nothing else would do for some , apparently.
12:25 PM on 12/15/2009
Negotiations with Taliban can be effective only after Taliban control and military capacity is serious degraded.
Why would Taliban want to negotiate when they believe they're winning?...
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11:51 AM on 12/15/2009
Pakistan (Musharraf) negotiated with the Taliban. That worked out well. Britain (Chamberlain) negotiated with Hitler. That worked out well. Israel (Begin) negotiated with the PLO (Arafat). That worked out well.
11:28 AM on 12/15/2009
Mr. Barth,
While I am sure that negotiations with some Taliban in the future could prove useful, your article ignires the reality of past negotiations with the Taliban led by Omar. The Taliban kicked out the UN aid organizations while they were in power. So there is no evidence that impartial international organizations ould have any legitimacy whatsoever trying to broker a grand bargain. The Taliban also blatantly rejected any power sharing deal with the former Mujahadeen warlords, and negotiations conducted bewteen both sides were marked with treachery and deceit. When given the choice, the Taliban leadership increased drug production and trade, and showed zero interest in improving the appalling conditions the population lived in, and were only concerned with wiping out the remnants of the Northern Alliance and hosting Al Qaeda. When these guys have the bit in their teeth, they don't negotiate, certainly not in good faith.
Also, many people here seem to think that this is a war between the US and the Taliban. The Karzai governmnet ultimatley will have to live or die with any agreement that is brokered. It is really up to them to decide what kind of bargain to make. We don't own this country. We don't want to own this country.
But please, guys, quit running around acting like negotiating with the Taliban is a new, original thought. It has been tried before. Many, many times before. It never worked.
01:02 AM on 12/16/2009
Thank you for your outstanding and well crafted comment.

You might find the news article below of interest as it explains that President Karzai favors negotiations with the Taliban & that he is being blocked by the US):

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2009/12/03/ap/asia/main5876785.shtml
08:53 AM on 12/16/2009
I have seen the reports that Mr Karzai is in favor of negotiations with the Taliban. However, I wouldn't jump to the conclusion that this means that he is willing to accept the complete Taliban as it exists into his government. I also contest the assumption that he is simply an American puppet. The relationship is much more complicated, and while he does depend on us for a great deal, he has a certain amount of leverage over us as well, as the head of state of his own sovereign country. The problem with negotiations this year are that the Taliban thinks that they are willing, and therefore see little incentive to negotiate (other than I win you lose sorts of conversations). Upping the COIN troop numers changes the calculus, and I think that with some time this will break a few cracks in the Taliban wall. Then there will be something to talk about. Until then negotiations (and there may very well be some ongoing that we will never hear about) are merely delaying tactics for both sides.
Give us a little time to make the environment better for talking.
11:25 AM on 12/15/2009
I disagree; the Taliban are not some band of freedom-fighting insurgents. I believe negotiation/integration in Iraq as Petraeus implemented worked quite well, but groups like Al-Qaeda and the Taliban are not interested in expelling a tyrant or occupier; they're interested in power and implementing their worldview. The Taliban's rule was HORRIBLE.
11:11 AM on 12/15/2009
The Taliban do not want to negotiate with us, they want to KILL us or CONVERT us to islam.
11:18 AM on 12/15/2009
How can you be sure unless you try?
11:25 AM on 12/15/2009
Would you try to negotiate with Nazi's? The Taliban are just as bad.
11:39 AM on 12/15/2009
The Taliban hasn't done a thing to me. It's time to bring our boys and girls home.
01:57 PM on 12/15/2009
A terrorist kills innocent civilians, but he doesn't kill you. Therefore, we should let him go because you're OK and that's what's important.
10:37 AM on 12/15/2009
We talk about negotiating as if there is an identifiable group or a leader that can negotiate.

The situation is at best primitive, people with no real organization, education or logical foundation.

Nope we are apparently stuck slugging it . Me I would pack up and leave but there must be information about this mess that I do not have or can understand.
10:31 AM on 12/15/2009
Very cogent discussion; but my own suspicion is that Afghanistan is no longer about the Taliban. Worst case scenario - a US sweep into northern Pakistan, overtly to clear out villages with suspected 'terrorists' in them, covertly to intimidate the Pakistani government into greater cooperation by a show of force. If this happens, it will backfire so badly we will end up looking like much bigger chumps than the Soviets in Afghanistan ever could.
10:15 AM on 12/15/2009
Yes. We can negotiate with them that they will only KiII a few thousands of us, instead of few million of us. Thats a compromise.
10:59 AM on 12/15/2009
The Taliban have never killed a single US soldier or civilian outside of Afghanistan.
11:26 AM on 12/15/2009
Nor did the Germans kill any American before we came into WWII.
10:08 AM on 12/15/2009
Yes, I have all the confidence Obama will be willing to negotiate with Osama! I knew it.
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Alexandre Laudet
09:35 AM on 12/15/2009
well it's worth a shot,. force has lead to death and destruction and it has not worked. The issue is of course ideally we want the Taliban gone, not just tamed. We almost had them gone some years back but we failed to follow through and they regrouped to the point where they are regrettably a force to be reckoned with so negotiation may make sense. of course the administration will be criticized if they go that route. But they will be criticized also and perhaps even more of we keep sending our young men and women to fight - and some will die- and the country does not stabilize. I say let's sit with the Taliban over tea and see what can be accomplished.
09:33 AM on 12/15/2009
Negotiate all you want, but some people just won't listen to what you have to say unless you emphasize it with a fist in the face
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09:22 AM on 12/15/2009
You need to clarify the "U.S. Interests" in the region.

Let me spell it out: We need to protect the oil/gas pipelines and plans for expansion of them.

What is the Taliban insurgency?

Let me spell it out: They want control over the land and money from the oil/gas and pipelines.

To make the struggle clearer: It's U.S. (and some foreign) oil companies vs. local warlords (with backing of some countries that didn't get a piece of the pie).