Zachary Karabell is the author of Superfusion: How China and America Became One Economy and Why the World's Prosperity Depends On It (Simon & Schuster 2009). He is also the President of RiverTwice Research (www.rivertwice.com), as well as Senior Advisor to Business for Social Responsibility. Until recently, he was portfolio manager, chief marketing officer and the chief economist for New York-based investment firm Fred Alger Management. He is the author of several books, including The Last Campaign: How Harry Truman Won the 1948 Election; A Visionary Nation: Four Centuries of American Dreams and What Lies Ahead; Parting the Desert: The Creation of the Suez Canal; Peace Be Upon You: The Story of Muslim, Christian, and Jewish Coexistence ( Knopf 2007); and a very short book about a very obscure US president, Chester Alan Arthur. Educated at Columbia, Oxford and Harvard, he writes for a variety of newspapers and magazines, including Newsweek, The Los Angeles Times, The Wall Street Journal, Foreign Affairs, The Washington Post, and The New York Times. He is a regular commentator on CNBC and an occasional ensemble member of the Fast Money crew. He has also appeared on CNN, the History Channel, and BookTV.

Blog Entries by Zachary Karabell

Krugman Is Wrong: Why China Won't Revalue

2 Comments | Posted October 23, 2009 | 01:09 PM (EST)


For years, Americans have been fulminating about China and its policy toward currency. While many of the debates are technical and laden with econo-speak, they boil down to the simple conviction that China is unfairly manipulating its currency to keep it undervalued against the dollar. The result is to give...

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Superfusion: How China and America Became One Economy and Why the World's Prosperity Depends on It

26 Comments | Posted October 16, 2009 | 03:10 PM (EST)


The economic relationship between China and the United States is the defining issue of our day. While debates over health care are vital to American society, and while challenges ranging from Iran to Afghanistan to North Korea are real, nothing will determine the arc of the coming decades -- or...

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The Winds Are Still Blowing East

7 Comments | Posted October 13, 2009 | 04:10 PM (EST)


While Washington is glued to the drama over health care, over the past few days, Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin has been in Beijing meeting with Chinese leaders including Premier Wen Jiabao and President Hu Jintao. In a series of communiqués, they celebrated the "strategic partnership" between the two...

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The Recession Is Over -- and It Isn't

3 Comments | Posted August 13, 2009 | 05:47 PM (EST)


With Wall Street -- and the Federal Reserve -- in a headlong rush to declare the recession over, the economic data has indicated that the simple binary recession/no recession framework obscures more than it reveals. Yes, defined purely in terms of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the recession looks to be...

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China and the United States -- a Marriage of Convenience

Posted July 28, 2009 | 06:30 PM (EST)


As the United States and China wrap up their two-day "Strategic and Economic Dialogue," it's more apparent than ever that the two find themselves in a marriage that neither can easily dissolve and that neither fully wants.

The speeches struck all the rights notes -- "the United States and...

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You Can be Great at Soccer or Globally Dominant -- You Can't be Both

Posted June 30, 2009 | 08:24 PM (EST)


So the United States lost to Brazil in the final of the FIFA Confederations cup, in that thrilling but painful tale of two halves, with the U.S. up 2-0 only to see Brazil roar back (or rather dance and prance and glide with balletic ferocity) and win 3-2. All...

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Youssou N'Dour and "I Bring What I Love": An Elegaic Meditation on Faith, Islam and Music

1 Comments | Posted June 12, 2009 | 10:50 AM (EST)


President Obama's speech in Cairo last week as well as the candid and heated debates in Iran during its contentious presidential election provide yet another opportunity to revisit the sterile images of Islam that dominate the discussion both in the West and throughout the Muslim world as well. That discussion...

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The Unknowable Lightness of Being

4 Comments | Posted May 19, 2009 | 10:39 PM (EST)


Each month, the Federal Reserve releases its latest minutes of its last meeting along with its projections of economic activity (www.federalreserve.gov). The minutes just released indicate that its prior forecasts have been tweaked a bit, with update projections for unemployment over the next two years, GDP growth, and inflation....

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Enough Already

Posted February 17, 2009 | 06:43 PM (EST)


The financial markets are again getting pummeled, both domestically and globally; the nearly $800 billion stimulus package signed with fanfare by President Obama has done little to alter the mood. In fact, if you read through financial websites and assorted blogs on politics, economics, or anything related to those, you...

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Stimulating

Posted February 9, 2009 | 10:10 PM (EST)


After months of confusion, we are about to close a painful chapter in the economic crisis of 2008-2009. With the imminent passage of the $800 billion stimulus package combined with the roll-out of the next stages of the government-orchestrated bank bailout and recapitalization, we are about to end the talking...

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Don't Demonize Debt

Posted January 28, 2009 | 02:38 PM (EST)


As Wall Street continues its slow-motion hari kari, tens of millions of people on the lower-end of the income spectrum are finding that their access to credit is becoming all but nonexistent. As banks set aside ever more cash to cover themselves against potential future losses, the credit spigot that...

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As Main Street Rejoices, Wall Street is a Basket Case

Posted January 20, 2009 | 07:47 PM (EST)


If you were not one of the 2 million people watching the inauguration on the Mall in Washington, you could watch the spectacle on any number of television channels. Flipping between ABC, CBS, NBC and PBS would have yielded different commentary but largely the same mood: euphoria, awe at the...

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Nobody Knows Nothing

Posted December 15, 2008 | 12:13 PM (EST)


Everyday, my mailbox gets inundated with reports from strategists and economists. Two years ago, most were predicting a fairly rosy scenario for the global economy - and to be fair, so was I. Today, most are predicting a dire future of negative growth and economies mired in a deep and...

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The Rise of the Rest

Posted December 1, 2008 | 02:40 PM (EST)


The current economic crisis has claimed many victims, but what has changed most is the way that the United States is viewed, perhaps permanently. That isn't ideology; it isn't declinism; it's a fact. For all the talk in past year about the shifting balance of power globally, until now it...

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There's Only One End of the World... and This Isn't It

Posted November 21, 2008 | 11:02 AM (EST)


So here we are once again on the precipice, at least in terms of global stock markets and credit markets. Another bout of nail-biting panic is hardly unexpected, though it's always surprising when otherwise sane people veer sharply into hysteria. It's a good, albeit painful, reminder that the bonds of...

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The New World Economy

Posted November 17, 2008 | 12:41 PM (EST)


So the G20 met over the weekend, and if there was any doubt before, there should be none now: the financial balance of power is shifting. China, Brazil, even Japan can all claim more sound economies than the United States, and they collectively let it be known that they...

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Greenspan, Bubbles, and Responsibility

Posted October 24, 2008 | 12:01 PM (EST)


We are now in the season of scapegoats. The brays for justice and villains grow daily, and this week has seen a walk of shame as various participants in the credit debacle sit in front of Congress to be scolded and upbraided for their sins. Many of the goats today,...

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Fear Itself

Posted September 30, 2008 | 10:40 AM (EST)


As of today, the global financial system is gripped by panic. In the past two weeks since the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers, the fear and chaos have accelerated dramatically, and the failure of Congress to pass its proposed $700 bailout bill on Monday unleashed a new wave of panic. That...

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Wall Street isn't Main Street

Posted September 15, 2008 | 11:46 AM (EST)


The purchase of Merrill Lynch by Bank of America and the bankruptcy and collapse of Lehman Brothers are the latest -- albeit most dramatic - installments of the ongoing credit crisis that began last August 2007. The bailout of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, as well as the fire-sale purchase...

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If "The Economy" Is So Bad, Why Isn't Obama Doing Better?

Posted September 2, 2008 | 12:24 PM (EST)


The near-miss of Gustav and the laughable (but effective) spin of the Republicans to foreswear politics and put on their "American hats" means that we can now resume watching our regularly scheduled show of politics. Obama's acceptance speech last week was long on pocketbook issues, and short on foreign policy,...

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