06/06/2008 05:12 am ET Updated May 25, 2011

How Does Obama Beat McCain? Sketching His Electoral Path To Victory

So what's Obama's route to the White House in a general election? How can he make the electoral map work for him? How dramatically does he have to remake that map to gain the Oval Office?

Here's a first stab at trying to answer that question.

To start off, Obama is trailing McCain by double-digits in Florida. If he were to win Ohio and Pennsylvania -- a best-case scenario at this point for the three largest swing states -- it would be very tough indeed for him to lose. Here's the polling in those states:

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