So, have you heard? Senator Chris Dodd (D-Conn.) is retiring, an event that's being sold as part and parcel of the larger "OH NOES DEMOCRATS!" story. See, thanks to Dodd, the Democrats are horribly doomed because they're replacing an incumbent Senator polling somewhere near the Tropic of Meh, with the wildly popular state Attorney General Richard Blumenthal, who is straight up DOOMING Democrats' hopes by being way up in the polls. "Even the Rasmussen!" exclaim those who have lately gotten all pearl-clutchy about the Rasmussen polls.
Naturally, GOP contender Rob Simmons is taking all of this very optimistically, and has outlined a solid winning strategy based on imagining that Blumenthal will do things, and then further imagining that, having done these things, certain outcomes will naturally occur:
Blumenthal's support is likely to wane as he takes positions on federal issues... As Attorney General, Blumenthal has managed to stay out of the federal issue fray, but his Senate candidacy will force him to take sides on the issues of the day, potentially causing fissures in his constituency.
The Simmons campaign just isn't thinking big enough! Blumenthal could potentially cause fissures with his constituency if he's caught stabbing a busload of nuns to death.
There's also this:
Having NEVER been in a competitive general election campaign, Blumenthal's campaign may face "growing pains."
Yes! What if Blumenthal is undone by an 80's era Alan Thicke comedy? This could totally happen.
Anyway, here's "The Bottom Line":
Unlike the campaign we were in 24 hours ago, this race will be a war of attrition, with Blumenthal slowly losing support over time as he makes it known where he stands on the issues of the day.
Also unlike the campaign they were in 24 hours ago: Simmons is no longer winning, handily.
GOP Candidate in Connecticut: Hey, I Still Might Win! [Washington Independent]