POLITICS
02/03/2012 04:48 pm ET Updated Feb 03, 2012

Total Apathy 'Outliers'

Frank Newport explains why Romney turned out Mormons in disproportionate numbers in Nevada in 2008.

Josh Putnam reviews the delegate allocation rules for Nevada.

John Sides finds evidence that Romney's advertising advantage helped him in Florida.

Nate Silver says Republican turnout lagged among Republican identifiers.

David Hill urges Romney to woo Gingrich voters.

Jonathan Bernstein says ignore exit polls asking whether ads or debates influenced the vote.

Sean Trende sees little connection between primary turnout and general election results.

Brett Benson, John Geer and Jennifer Merolla find that some base Republican voters question Romney's Mormonism but will rally around him November (via Nyhan).

Michael Lewis-Beck and Charles Tien update their 2012 forecast, see a close race (via MonkeyCage).

Mark Mellman critiques the 50 percent job approval rule.

Stu Rothenberg puts the presidential candidate favorable ratings into context.

Scott Clement finds little boost to Obama from the killing of Osama bin Laden.

Lynn Vavreck says it's not the unemployment rate that matters, but economic growth.

Jonathan Bernstein looks ahead to an Obama-Romney match-up given the latest GDP numbers.

SurveyUSA observes the most accurate Florida pollsters sampled cell phone numbers.

Seth Masket sees a resounding win for *The Party Decides* in the Florida results.

Dana Stanley stands up for pollsters.

Sasha Issenberg explains Catalist, the Data Trust, the companies used by the parties for political data mining.

The Onion finds that the GOP nomination is now a two-way race between Mitt Romney and total voter apathy.

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