Civitas Institute (R)/SurveyUSA
6/29/12-7/1/12; 558 registered voters, 4.2% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
46% McCrory (R), 44% Dalton (D), 7% Howe (L) (chart)
CORRECTION: The original headline of this post incorrectly identified the poll as tracking the presidential rather than gubernatorial race.