Whichever way the court rules, we need to be in the streets to secure our rights. We do not want to look back, many years from now, and see the year 2013 as the apex of our movement (and the Valley Forge of our opponents).
When the Supreme Court rules, probably in late June, on the Defense of Marriage Act (DOMA) and California's Proposition 8, there are three possible courses it can choose to take:
1) An outright rejection of any claims for same-sex couples' rights
2) A total affirmation of the equal rights of same-sex couples
or, most likely:
3) A mealy-mouthed affirmation of some rights for some people, while screwing many other millions of LGBT people. This will most likely be done by embracing the discredited, anti-civil rights notion of "state's rights."
Regardless of the outcome, we will need to be in the streets to secure our rights. If we get option one, a total loss, we need to be in the streets to challenge the legitimacy of an unelected, presumably 100 percent "straight" institution crapping all over the rights of LGBT people. In doing so, we will begin the long process of undermining that decision, much as we did with the odious 1986 Bowers v. Hardwick decision, which ultimately led to the 2003 Lawrence v. Texas victory.
The louder, the larger, the more vigorous our protests, the shorter will be our time in legal purgatory.
If we get option two, a "total" victory over DOMA and Prop 8, we would be foolish and ignorant of history if we felt that our battles over these two anti-LGBT measures was over, let alone that we didn't have a lot more work to do on other fronts.
In 1954, Thurgood Marshall made a stunningly bold argument against the Supreme Court's previous "separate but equal" doctrine, and with the Brown v. the Board of Education of Topeka, Kansas victory, supposedly over-turned segregation in the nation's schools. But even though the court's 1954 decision said that segregation had to be removed with "all deliberate speed," no progress towards school desegregation was made for many years, until the Civil Rights Movement forced (partial) school desegregation in the mid-1960s and early 1970s.
Two additional cautionary notes about the 1954 victory that LGBT people should keep in mind:
A) In the decades since the large mobilizations, racial segregation in the nation's schools has crept back to being statistically on a par with that seen way back in 1954. It may be a hackneyed phrase, but it is still true: eternal vigilance is the price of liberty.
B) Legal equality is not all that it's cracked up to be. As the experience of African Americans and other groups has shown, you can have plenty of formal legal, de jure equality, and mountains of de facto inequality and discrimination existing side-by-side. Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr. and his colleagues recognized this when they launched the "Poor People's Campaign" following the mid-1960s passage of sweeping civil rights legislation.
Even if we get the most brilliant, sweeping victory from the Court that we could imagine, social inequality, with its attendant LGBTQ youth homelessness, suicide rates and other dysfunctions will still be with us in abundance. And de jure discrimination will be replaced with more difficult to combat de facto discrimination.
And what if we get option three, a mealy-mouthed "compromise"? This is the most likely option, and perhaps the greatest danger, as it will be a ploy to buy off LGBTs in the "blue" states that have marriage equality, or are close to it, and leave LGBTs in the majority of the country twisting in the wind for perhaps a generation to come (if not longer).
While the heady feeling of "inevitable" marriage equality has spurred many erstwhile opponents to embrace our side (the Clintons, President Obama, any number of Republicans) and depressed the vigorousness of our most ardent opponents, it has also engendered a dangerous complacency on our side.
Will we someday, many years hence, look back at the year 2013 as being the high water mark of our movement? History has shown that powerful social movements can be side-tracked and defeated, sometimes for generations, by war, economic or environmental collapse, or other factors.
It is why we must press for the most full-reaching victory now, and not trust in any mythic "inevitability" when we most likely get a tepid statement out of the Court in late June. The higher we push the "high water mark" of our advance now, the more difficult it will be for our opponents later to claw things back to "the good old days" of blatant bigotry and discrimination.
Civil rights advance has never been inevitable, simply because it seems logical and right. Human history is replete with both examples of huge advances as well as devastating setbacks. We can no more count on inevitable advance in our rights than a player in the stock or housing markets could count on things going "up" ad infinitum.
It is our duty to future generations of LGBTQ people to not rest on our laurels of steadily advancing poll numbers, legislative and court gains, but to press our advantage now for the greatest possible gains.
It is for that reason that the Gay Liberation Network, along with other activists locally and around the country, will be organizing "Decision Day" marches and protests for the evening of the day that the Supreme Court announces its decisions on the Defense of Marriage Act and Proposition 8. We hope that you also will make the time to get involved and come out into the streets the evening, probably in late June, when the Supreme Court announces its decisions.