Some political debates have two equally valid sides. More often than not, however, the evidence is significantly more one-sided than journalists and pundits suggest. AB 1522, a bill that the California Senate's Committee on Appropriations just shunted into its Suspense File for consideration on August 14, is an example of legislation for which there is no ethical, intellectually honest opposition. Three related lenses of policy analysis demonstrate why AB 1522's minimum requirement of three paid sick days for all California workers deserves our support.
The ethical lens: The debate about paid sick leave, at its core, is about values. It is undisputed that high percentages of low-income workers, particularly women and Latinos, currently lack the access to paid sick leave enjoyed by more privileged populations. Supporters of a guaranteed minimum number of days recognize that low-income workers must often decide between working through illness and leaving bills unpaid. Nobody should have to make that choice.
Opposition to guaranteed paid sick days, on the other hand, elevates considerations of employer profit and flexibility above the job security and subsistence of sick low-income workers. No matter its professed motivation, therefore, anti-paid sick day activism is immoral by most people's standards.
The factual lens: Few opponents of AB 1522 explicitly state a disregard for the plight of the working poor. Instead, they call the bill a "job killer," enumerating a long list of reasons that guaranteed paid sick leave will allegedly harm working Americans. Some of the listed reasons are obvious fabrications; for example, the idea that employers who already offer paid sick leave "will have to completely change their existing policies and accounting procedures" is directly contradicted by the law's provision that "an employer is not required to provide additional paid sick days... if the employer... makes available an amount of leave that satisfies the accrual requirements."
Other opposition arguments, though slightly more time-consuming to debunk, are no less untrue. To contend that AB 1522 "will reduce jobs," its detractors, like those who oppose paying employees a living wage, embrace an economic theory that's inconsistent with the facts. Even studies that rely exclusively on the unverified assertions of employers fail to suggest negative economic consequences of paid sick leave laws. The first report opponents of AB 1522 attempt to marshal in support of their claims concludes only that it was "too early to make a definitive judgment about" the economic effects of Connecticut's paid sick leave law in February 2013. A more comprehensive study of the Connecticut law's effects in March 2014 notes:
most employers reported a modest effect or no effect of the law on their costs or business operations; and they typically found that the administrative burden was minimal. [Despite] strong business opposition to the law prior to its passage, a year and a half after its implementation, more than three-quarters of surveyed employers expressed support for the earned paid sick leave law.
The findings from the opponents' second citation, a 2011 report from the Institute for Women's Policy Research, similarly contradict their claims. The study finds that "most San Francisco employers reported that implementing the [city's Paid Sick Leave Ordinance] was not difficult and that it did not negatively affect their profitability." While "a relatively small share of employers and employees" reported negative effects, the study concludes that the law "is functioning as intended." Just about every study on the economic effects of paid sick leave legislation, in fact, refutes the myths propagated by opponents of the laws. Research studies also clearly demonstrate "that gaps in paid sick leave result in severe impacts on public health." This clear consensus helps explain why "the rest of the world's rich economies have taken a legislative approach to ensuring paid sick days."
The political lens: Despite the clear ethical arguments, research consensus, and overwhelming public support in favor of guaranteed paid sick day laws, several states have passed bills that preempt cities' attempts to enact such legislation. In 2008, a more robust sick leave bill (AB 2716) died after ending up in the Suspense File of the California Senate's Committee on Appropriations, the same place in which AB 1522 currently resides. A coalition of corporate lobbyists, led by chambers of commerce and the American Legislative Exchange Council (ALEC), is responsible. This coalition has, in the words of David Sirota, successfully recast their "desire to exploit workers as fight-for-the-little guy altruism" by confusing the public and politicians with a relentless stream of unfounded claims.
A simple analysis of the broader advocacy decisions and agendas of the parties to a debate can help us assess the likely veracity of each party's claims. For several years now, the corporate coalition that opposes AB 1522 has been systematically "reshaping the fundamental balance of power between workers and employers." They have misled the public about a wide variety of issues and maintain clear power and profit motives for misleading the public about sick leave. People unfamiliar with the specifics of AB 1522 could compare the backgrounds of its opponents with its supporters (typically academics, labor organizations, and other groups that advocate for low-income people) and recognize that proponents of AB 1522 are significantly more likely to be telling the truth. This political lens heuristic isn't failsafe -- first impressions can be wrong and even the worst organizations sometimes endorse correct policy decisions -- but it always provides valuable perspective. Funding sources and political allies are especially important indicators of truth when topics involve complex research findings and/or similar ethical arguments from each side of a debate.
On the issue of guaranteed paid sick leave, however, each of the three lenses -- ethical, factual and political -- is extremely straightforward; if anything, the three days required by AB 1522 are too few. California lawmakers should rectify their predecessors mistakes and move the bill forward on August 14.
Note: A version of this post originally appeared on The Left Hook.