Alaska Post-Palin

Alaska Post-Palin
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And then came Sarah Palin to the Republican ticket. The impact is obvious in the chart above.
While the state was classified as "lean Republican" prior to the Palin Pick, all but one poll in the state showed McCain ahead. Now there is no doubt.
The politics are obvious, of course, but it is a nice example of how a political event can be instantly reflected in the polling, and bring our trend estimator to a sharply different conclusion.
Cross posted at Political Arithmetik.

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