THE BLOG
11/17/2012 04:17 pm ET Updated Dec 06, 2017

Romney Logic: Gifts? Bush-Obama County Results

As you have probably read or heard, Romney logic blames his loss on the Santa Claus-like nature of the president's campaign. The inherent promise of gifts to the loyal Obama constituencies --Blacks, Latinos, and young voters -- drove the 47 percent plus to the polls, so the Romney thought goes. So what gifts were white voters in Bush-Obama counties expecting? Obama beat Romney in many of those counties. Looking specifically at those counties in swing states, President Obama won 3,195,251 votes to Romney's 3,028,109 in Bush-Obama counties in Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Wisconsin. More than 75 percent of the voters in most of those counties are white. Below is the breakdown of Bush-Obama votes of the counties in swing states and also includes the 2008 vote as well.

%          Obama % Romney #   Obama #  Romney % '08 Obama % '08 McCain # '08 Obama # '08 McCain
CO Alamosa 56.7 40.4 3782 2693 56 42 3521 2635
Arapahoe 53.1 45.0 132,584 112,399 56 43 148,218 113,866
Jefferson 51.0 46.6 153,069   139,960 54 45 158,153 131,627
Larimer 51.4 46.1 83,103 74,603 54 44 89,822 73,641
Ouray 51.5 46.2 1640 1470 53 45 1636 1367
FL Hillsborough 52.8 46.2 280,939 246,225 53 46 272,963 236,355
IA Adams 47.2 51.1 1018 1103 51 48 1118 1046
Allamakee 51.5 47.3 3511 3230 57 42 3971 2965
Audubon 46.8 52.3 1608 1800 51 48 1739 1634
Bremer 50.8 48.3 6710 6383 54 45 6940 5741
Carroll 46.4 52.7 4912 5577 51 48 5302 4922
Crawford 45.4 53.6 3035 3584 52 47 3715 3345
Delaware 49.4 49.6 4605 4628 52 46 4649 4113
Emmet 44.9 53.8 2087 2499 51 48 2570 2373
Franklin 44.0 54.9 2256 2818 50 49 2575 2501
Hamilton 48.0 50.6 3776 3986 50 49 4018 3913
Hardin 45.8 53.0 4021 4647 50 49 4393 4315
Iowa 46.9 51.8 4118 4551 50 49 4202 4188
Kossuth 43.3 55.6 3824 4914 51 48 4625 4329
Marshall 53.9 44.9 10,085 8411 54 45 10,023 8278
Palo Alto 43.7 54.5 2124 2649 51 48 2428 2294
Union 51.3 47.5 3029 2800 51 47 3000 2781
Warren 48.4 50.4 12,521 13,031 50 49 12,299 12,144
MI Benzie 47.6 51.5 4683 5071 53 45 5451 4687
Berrien 46.3 52.8 33,465 38,209 52 47 40,381 36,130
Cass 42.7 56.4 9587 12,660 51 47 12,083 11,114
Clinton 46.5 52.7 18,187 20,630 50 49 20,005 19,726
Delta 46.2 52.8 8330 9533 53 46 9974 8763
Eaton 51.0 47.9 27,912 26,193 53 45 30,742 25,900
Gladwin 45.9 53.1 5760 6661 50 48 6590 6391
Gratiot 47.5 51.4 7606 8236 51 47 9105 8322
Jackson 46.6 52.4 32,301 36,298 50 48 37,480 35,692
Kent 45.5 53.4 134,560 157,801 49 49 149,909 148,336
Leelanau 46.4 52.8 6576 7483 51 48 7355 6938
Lenawee 48.8 50.1 21,774 22,351 52 47 24,640 22,225
Mason 47.0 52.0 6856 7580 51 47 7817 7147
Menominee 48.0 51.0 5244 5565 54 44 5981 4855
Oceana 44.3 54.5 5063 6239 51 47 6405 5860
Ontonagon 44.8 53.9 1585 1906 51 47 1966 1823
Presque Isle 45.1 53.6 3192 3794 50 48 3722 3606
Saint Clair 45.9 53.0 33,845 39,076 50 48 40,677 38,536
Schoolcraft 46.1 52.9 1865 2142 51 48 2184 2058
Shiawassee 51.2 47.5 17,197 15,962 53 45 19,397 16,268
Van Buren 49.7 49.2 16,288 16,140 53 45 18,588 15,534
NV Carson 44.1 53.2 10,290 12,394 49.1 48.2 11,623 11,419
Washoe 50.7 47.2 94,806 88,151 55.2 42.6 99,671 76,880
NH Belknap 47.0 52.0 15,884 17,568 50 49 16,796 16,402
Carroll 49.1 49.9 13,977 14,207 53 46 15,221 13,387
Hillsborough 50.1 48.4 101,499 98,103 51 48 104,655 97,087
Rockingham 47.2 51.7 80,096 87,809 50 49 83,723 81,917
NJ Somerset 52 46.8 70,168 63,159 53 46 79,321 70,085
NC Buncombe 55.5 43.1 70,066 54,429 56 43 69,716 52,494
Caswell 48.3 51.0 5183 5471 51 48 5545 5208
Forsyth 53.2 45.9 91,606 79,177 55 44 91,085 73,674
Hyde 49.1 50.2 1157 1183 50 49 1241 1212
Jackson 48.6 49.7 8052 8224 52 47 8766 7854
Pitt 53.0 46.3 40,701 35,534 54 46 40,501 33,927
Wake 54.5 44.2 286,939 232,933 57 42 250,891 187,001
Watauga 47.5 50.1 13,371 14,124 52 47 14,558 1344
Wilson 53.8 45.6 20,002 16,937 53 47 19,652 17,375
 OH Lake 48.3 50.0 55,219 57,150 50 49 60,155 59,142
Ottawa 51.1 47.1 11,214 10,323 52 46 12,049 10,618
Sandusky 49.8 47.9 14,035 13,491 51 47 15,601 14,190
Tuscarawas 43.9 57.3 17,516 21,420 50 48 21,498 20,454
Wood 51.0 46.8 31,596 28,997 53 46 34,285 29,648
PA Berks 48.9 49.5 79,895 80,857 54 45 97,047 80,513
Centre 48.9 49.0 33,677 33,697 55 44 41,950 32,992
Chester Awaiting Results 54 45 137,833 114,421
Dauphin 52.4 46.4 64,209 56,838 54 45 69,975 58,238
Elk 41.4 57.1 5,144 7,099 51 47 7290 6676
Monroe 56.4 42.3 33,431 25,100 58 41 39,453 28,293
VA Buckingham 50.3 47.9 3747 3569 49.9 49 3489 3428
Chesapeake 49.0 49.8 47,881 48,685 50.3 49 53,993 52,624
Essex 53.1 45.9 3009 2602 54.7 44.4 2934 2479
Harrisonburg 55.7 42.2 8650 6564 58 41 8444 6048
Henrico 55.3 43.6 89,116 70,248 56 44 86,262 67,340
Hopewell 57.5 41.5 5178 3737 56 44 5285 4149
King and Queen 47.8 51.1 1743 1863 52 48 1918 1763
Loudoun 51.6 47.2 81,840 74,794 53.7 45.6 74,607 63,328
Manassas 55.9 42.6 8477 6461 55 44 7518 5975
ManassasPark 68.7 30.1 3873 1696 60 40 2463 1634
Montgomery 48.6 48.9 19,903 20,036 52 47 21,027 19,026
Prince William 56.7 42.0 90,676 67,192 58 42 93,386 67,589
Radford 50.7 46.8 2730 2520 54 45 2930 2418
Staunton 51.2 47.1 5710 5257 51 48 5569 5330
Westmoreland 47.8 47.4 4155 4116 55 44 4577 3719
Winchester 49.6 48.2 5089 4943 52 47 5268 4725
WI Barron 48.2 50.5 10,883 11,413 53 46 12,076 10,456
Brown 48.6 50.4 62,433 64,738 54 45 67,241 55,827
Burnett 46.1 52.6 3981 4541 50 48 4337 4200
Calumet 43.6 55.1 11,477 14,519 50 48 13,296 12,720
Chippewa 49.2 49.7 15,211 15,371 54 45 16,236 13,489
Clark 44.9 53.8 6173 7394 53 45 7450 6337
Columbia 56.3 42.7 17,158 13,014 57 42 16,658 12,189
Door 53.0 46.1 9338 8109 58 41 10,142 7112
Forest 52.1 46.8 2421 2172 57 42 2671 1960
Jefferson 45.6 53.2 20,136 23,489 50 49 21,448 21,095
Juneau 52.9 45.8 6237 5400 54 45 6209 5187
Kewaunee 46.8 52.2 5151 5746 55 44 5902 4711
Langlade 43.6 55.4 4569 5810 50 49 5182 5081
Lincoln 49.8 49.1 7543 7444 55 43 8419 6510
Manitowoc 48.0 50.8 20,382 21,581 53 45 22,421 19,231
Marathon 46.4 52.5 32,330 36,568 54 45 36,363 30,339
Marinette 47.6 51.2 9868 10,609 53 46 11,124 9705
Marquette 51.8 47.3 4112 3758 52 47 4052 3625
Monroe 49.0 49.7 9505 9637 53 45 10,178 8657
Oconto 44.7 54.2 8810 10,691 52 46 9926 8754
Oneida 48.4 50.5 10,439 10,905 54 44 11,905 9672
Outagamie 48.4 50.2 45,565 47,294 55 43 50,255 39,641
Racine 51.4 47.8 52,887 49,173 53 46 53,405 45,941
Richland 57.5 41.4 4964 3575 60 39 5072 3348
Rusk 47.3 51.2 3391 3673 53 45 3855 3253
Sawyer 49.8 49.3 4436 4482 53 46 4763 4199
Shawano 44.5 54.5 8990 11,017 51 47 10,192 9381
Washburn 48.0 50.8 4435 4692 52 47 4716 4259
Waupaca 44.8 54.2 11,565 13,989 51 48 12,952 12,131
Waushara 44.4 54.6 5330 6558 50 49 5868 5769
Winnebago 51.1 47.4 45,410 42,073 55 43 48,156 37,943
Wood 47.8 50.8 18,546 19,684 56 43 21,705 16,576
Total 51.3 48.7 3,195,251  3,028,109  54.2 45.8 3,486,956 2,943,478