I'm home for a day and a half here in Denver before heading out for the Midwestern leg of THE UPRISING book tour.
One of the things I've been finding when talking to groups is a palpable anger at our current trade and globalization policies - an anger from both progressives and conservatives that I meet. And yet, we continue to get this kind of nonsense from Serious Thinkers in major newspapers:
"All discussions of the victims of trade ignore the considerable benefits: the exports we sell and the lower prices for consumers at home. Since poorer Americans spend a higher proportion of their incomes on low-wage imports (shoes from China, for instance), trade can also be seen as favoring the less well off. If only politicians would stop preaching to them otherwise."
In reading this, our reaction should be if only insulated journalists would stop preaching fact-free rhetoric, perhaps we could actually have a discussion about the real impact of our current trade policies.
You'll notice that the author of the piece, Roger Lowenstein, offers no actual facts to back up his assertion that so-called "free" trade "favors the less well off" - other than a flippant Freakonomics-ish reference that seems smart merely by being counterintuitive. Yes, we are led to think - corporate lobbyists are crafting trade deals to help poor people. Of course that has to be true if someone as Serious as Lowenstein is writing something so absurd. If it's that absurd yet in a major newspaper, it just HAS to be true, right?
What Lowenstein and other Serious Trade Thinkers refuse to discuss is how inflation has been outpacing wages during the era of "free" trade. What that empirically proves is that, in fact, ordinary workers are losing out in the "free" trade deal.
The "free" traders' argument says that while NAFTA-style policies drive down wages and eliminate jobs, those policies are ultimately a good bargain for all workers because the wage-cutting, environment-destroying competition brought on by these policies lowers the price of goods.
However, if inflation (aka. the price of goods) is outpacing average wages (aka. how much workers get paid), that means on the whole workers are losing out in the deal. Sure, some goods may be priced lower because slave labor in China is now making more goods, but domestic wages here are EVEN lower than that, meaning the whole scenario screws over ordinary people. Wages, after all, are only as good as their purchasing power.
Lowenstein's rhetoric is merely one drop in the ocean of fact-free propaganda in our economic debate today. As economist Ha-Joon Chang shows in his book "Bad Samaritans," despite the well-known history of our country (and every other industralized country) using fair trade policies and strategic tariffs to build our economy into the powerhouse it is, we continue to be told that "free" trade is the only way forward.
But as I said to start this post, the public is starting to figure out just how much it is being lied to on trade and globalization. Polls show rank and file Republicans and Democrats are angry at the NAFTA nonsense from the media and from politicians - and that anger has become one of the impulses fueling the uprising I write about in my new book. The question now is whether that uprising is going to force the next Congress and the next president to change.