THE BLOG
11/22/2007 03:25 am ET Updated May 25, 2011

Pre-Thanksgiving "Outliers"

Republican Pollster Neil Newhouse
sends Politico a "brief pollster's guide to what constitutes a push poll and
what doesn't."

Kathy
Frankovic
reviews the Romney "push poll" story and the confusion between
"push" polls and real polls, reminding us that real candidate polls sometimes
include negative information.

Jennifer Agiesta reports the highest level of economic
pessimism
in 17 years, as measured by the Washington Post/ABC Consumer Comfort Index, and
recaps data on "personal
contact
" with the candidates by likely Iowa Caucus goers. .

Frank Newport notices that George Bush is poised to break
Richard Nixon's record
of 14 straight months of a job approval rating below
40% and sees parallels between now and 1992 in terms of Americans' "perceived
distress
."

Jay
Cost
checks the internals on the recent Post/ABC
Iowa poll and concludes that Hillary Clinton is relying on first time caucus
goers as much as Barack Obama.

Tom
Bevan
does some apples-to-apples comparisons of the trends in Fred
Thompson's support (via Martin)

Mike
Lux
reports seeing a "clear trendline" in "both public and private" polling
in Iowa that shows Barack Obama "has picked up several points, and is now at
least tied with Clinton, and maybe even up a little" (via Smith).

Dante Scala has new ad buy numbers for Giuliani,
Romney
and Paul
on New Hampshire's
WMUR.

DailyKos diarist DHinMI is not happy with John Zogby for conducting a survey commissioned by a Ron Paul supporter.

Happy Thanksgiving!