04/19/2010 09:16 am ET Updated May 25, 2011

When to Watch Likely Voters?

My column for this week looks at the issue of "likely voters" as identified on public opinion surveys from a slightly different perspective: When should we pay more attention to subset of voters that pollsters consider most likely to vote? The answer is obvious when looking at horse race numbers a few weeks before an election, but far less so when considering opinion on issues of public policy. Please click through to read it all.

And thanks to Mollyann Brody, Claudia Deane and Carolina Gutierrez at the Kaiser Family Foundation for providing the data tabulation included in the column.