The Obama Administration has not only made a strategic error sending 30,000 more troops to fight 100 Al Qaeda in Afghanistan. Now it is looking for military options in Yemen, where 200 fighters are said to be sweltering (or freezing) in the remote mountainous desert as they plot their next move against the hapless Americans and their Saudi monarch allies.
Yet, the biggest territory where anti-US jihadists dwell isn't soil at all -- its the Virtual Ummah that ties together all the lethal psychological losers from the Ft. Hood shooter to the Christmas Day underwear bomber from Nigeria. Whatever their imaginative space, most of them have actually lived or even grown up and been educated in the West or Western-oriented environments.
Olivier Roy, a professor at the European University Institute, in Florence, Italy has been arguing this for years, and each new case bears out his thesis. He is the author of Globalized Islam: The Search for a New Ummah and the forthcoming Holy Ignorance: When Religion and Culture Diverge.
One wonders why this kind of analysis is missing in the American debate, no less in the councils of national security. It is becoming worrisome indeed that the Obama Administration seems to have as few clues about how to effectively analyze and fight terrorism as the Bush Administration did.
By Olivier Roy
FLORENCE, Italy -- What do the terrorists who attempted to strike U.S. territory in 2009 have in common? What is their connection with the Arab Middle East, often presented as the cradle of Islamic radicalization. The answer seems to be very little.
What ties together Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab, the Nigerian-born, British-educated, trained-in-Yemen man charged in the failed Christmas Day plane bombing; Anwar al-Awlaki, the fierce radical Islamic preacher who, in fact, holds a degree in civil engineering from Colorado State University instead of a masters in divinity from an Arab theological school; and Nidal Malik Hasan, the U.S. Army psychiatrist of Palestinian descent charged in the November shootings at Fort Hood, Texas?
To understand, we have to add lesser-known activists, like Daniel Patrick Boyd, a white U.S. citizen and convert to Islam accused of leading a jihadist group in North Carolina, and Bryant Neal Vinas, an Hispanic U.S. citizen from Long Island, N.Y., who pled guilty last year to assisting al-Qaida and other terrorism-related charges.
These men are not devout Middle Eastern Muslims who left a war-torn fundamentalist Arab society to attack the West. Most have only distant connections with the Middle East. Converts are over-represented among al-Qaida activists, from Jose Padilla to Dhiren Barot, who was sentenced in the UK in 2006 for planning to bomb the New York Stock Exchange (and other sites).
How to connect the dots?
They are first of all globalized young people identifying with a virtual and imaginary Muslim ummah. Their life is often spent along a triangle: The family comes from one country, they move to a Western country, or were born there, where they become radicalized and go to fight in a third one.
In fact, neither Pakistan nor Yemen nor Afghanistan is the key place for radicalization. These terrorists go there after being radicalized in the West or in a Western environment. And radicalization does not occur in a concrete political praxis with real people but in a solitary experience of a virtual community: the ummah on the Web.
The Nigerian Abdulmutallab studied in an English international school in the French-speaking Togo, before going to the U.K. Dhiren Barot came from an Africa-based Hindu family and was educated in the U.K., where he converted to Islam. English is the language of recruitment and communication. These radicals don't have any permanent link with a specific country: As with their forerunners of the '90s, they travel from one jihad to the other, use training camps where available and have never been involved in local politics in the countries of training or residence.
Their anger is not the expression of the wrath of a real community, but of a virtual one.
The generational dimension is obvious: Most of the radicals have broken with their families or become estranged, as illustrated by the puzzlement of many parents, like Abdulmutallab's father who informed the U.S. embassy on his son. Their Islam is a reconstructed one, not one transmitted from the past. They never refer to traditions or to traditional Islam; they don't mention fatwas from established clerics.
They act on an individual basis and outside the usual community bonds (family, mosques and Islamic associations). They usually remain aloof from any communal group.
They are lonely travelers not involved in social or political action or even religious predication. They find socialization in personal bonding with alter egos, either from a local closed group of buddies (the 9/11 pilots, the London bombers of 2005), from a training camp in a remote place of Pakistan, or just through chatting on the Web.
After a usual "normal" life, they suddenly jumped into violence. They are psychologically losers, uprooted de-territorialized individuals who can become imaginary heroes of a virtual ummah through their own death.
There is something puzzling in al-Qaida: While many terrorists are just dispensable, like Jose Padilla or Richard Reid, the "shoe bomber," the "one-shot" strategy deprives the organization of probably bright people who could have been more efficient in the long run. The case of the Jordanian terrorist who blew up himself for a spectacular but short-term success in a CIA base in Afghanistan is typical. He would have been far more useful as a mole for the al-Qaida leadership in the long term. Here suicide terrorism is not a tactic; it is an end in itself, a part of the motivation.
What this says of al-Qaida is that they do not have a political strategy of establishing an Islamic state. Al-Qaida does not play a vanguard or a leading role in the conflicts of the Middle East but is fighting mainly at its periphery. It has a global enemy: the West, not the local regimes. Instead of promoting a territorial caliphate in the Middle East, al-Qaida is committed to a global struggle against the world power -- the United States -- in the continuation of the radical anti-imperialist struggles of the 1960s and 1970s by the likes of Che Guevara and the Baader-Meinhof gang.
Al-Qaida stresses radical but individual action and addresses a wider audience than just the Muslim community, hence the converts.
Ideology plays little role in the radicalization of the jihadist internationalist youth. They are attracted by a narrative not an ideology: that of a global, indistinct suffering ummah. And that of the lonely avenger, the hero, who can redeem a life he is not happy with by achieving fame while escaping a world where he finds no room.
If the U.S. and the rest of the West gear up once again for another round of fighting terrorists without understanding these realities, they will have as little effect as they have had during the last eight and a half years since 9/11. The threat comes not from some soil that can be invaded or occupied, but from within the globalized web in which we are all today entangled.
(c) 2010 GLOBAL VIEWPOINT NETWORK/TRIBUNE MEDIA SERVICES. Hosted online by the Christian Science Monitor.