NATE SILVER

Groom and groomsman dancing at reception
Roberto Westbrook via Getty Images
RELATIONSHIPS
47 Songs People Really Don't Want To Hear At Your Wedding
By Kelsey Borresen
Warning: Controversial picks ahead. 🎵
Youtube
ENTERTAINMENT
This Most-Banned-Wedding-Songs List Tragically Includes 'Macarena,' 'YMCA'
By Jenna Amatulli
A FiveThirtyEight study is making the rounds. Why do people hate organized dance?!
People participate in a Women's March to protest against U.S. President Donald Trump in New York City, U.S. January 21, 2017. REUTERS/Stephanie Keith
Stephanie Keith / Reuters
POLITICS
Just How Big Was The 2017 Women’s March?
By Tristan Bridges, Contributor
Assistant Professor of Sociology at the University of Californ...
More than one set of estimates exist attempting to figure this out.
POLITICS
Was America Ready For Hillary?
By Margie Omero, Contributor
Democratic pollster, EVP of PSB Research, co-host of "The Poll...
Combine all of the above with the uniqueness of Clinton herself. Even on Election Day, a majority found her qualified, and
MEDIA
Political Predictions: Kicking The Nate Silver Habit
By Jon Eig, Contributor
Film teacher and screenwriter
Why is it the press’s job to predict anything?
Nate Silver holds his phone as he sits on the stairs with his laptop computer at a hotel in Chicago on Friday, Nov. 9, 2012. The 34-year-old statistician, unabashed numbers geek, author and creator of the much-read FiveThirtyEight blog at The New York Times, correctly predicted the presidential winner in all 50 states, and almost all the Senate races. (AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)
ASSOCIATED PRESS
POLITICS
I'm A Stats Prof. Here's Why Nate Silver's Model Was All Over The Place.
By Dale Rosenthal
538’s presidential model is built in a sub-optimal way. It’s at once far too complex, while also making basic errors that have thrown its projections out of whack.
POLITICS
A Unified Field Theory and Resource Guide That Explain How Trump Might Win
By Art Levine, Contributor
author, Mental Health, Inc: How Corruption, Lax Oversight, and...
On this election day, it seems impossible to believe that Donald Trump is within striking distance of the White House.
Nate Silver sits on the stairs at Allegro hotel in downtown Chicago, Friday, Nov. 9, 2012. The 34-year-old statistician, unabashed numbers geek, author and creator of the much-read FiveThirtyEight blog at The New York Times, correctly predicted the presidential winner in all 50 states, and almost all the Senate races. (AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)
ASSOCIATED PRESS
POLITICS
Nate Silver Is Unskewing Polls -- All Of Them -- In Trump's Direction
By Ryan Grim
The vaunted 538 election forecaster is putting his thumb on the scales.
POLITICS
Progressives Still Believe These Dangerous Trump Myths
By Norman Solomon, Guest Writer
Guest Writer
Even now, in the last days of this horrendous campaign, we're amazed by fervent assertions coming from some progressives about Donald Trump. Here are three key myths.
POLITICS
Friday Talking Points -- Trump Unshackled
By Chris Weigant, Contributor
Chris Weigant is a political commentator.
Donald Trump has a new answer for why he's about to lose in a landslide. It's all a vast left-wing conspiracy. No, really.
TOPSHOT - US Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton waves to the press as she leaves her daughter's apartment building after resting on September 11, 2016, in New York. Clinton departed from a remembrance ceremony on the 15th anniversary of the 9/11 attacks after feeling 'overheated,' but was later doing 'much better,' her campaign said. / AFP / Brendan Smialowski (Photo credit should read BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI/AFP/Getty Images)
BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI via Getty Images
POLITICS
HUFFPOLLSTER: Weekend Polls Show Hillary Clinton Leading An Increasingly Tight Race
By Natalie Jackson and Ariel Edwards-Levy
One big question is how much voter enthusiasm will matter.
BUSINESS
Are Digital Sales Hurting Musicians Equally? Using Analytics to Answer Big Questions
By Phil Simon, Contributor
Author, keynote speaker, professor
The benefits of increased interactivity run the gamut. As I write in The Visual Organization, media companies can keep readers
IMPACT
The Limits of Ideology and Identity in Social Change
By Scott Weathers, Contributor
MSc Candidate at the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health
Reflecting on my past year as a Global Health Corps fellow, I wanted to talk a bit about identity, ideology, and social change. Although this is my personal narrative, I believe that shrinking our identity and moving past ideology as much as one can are key steps to maximizing the positive impact that we have on the world.
COMEDY
Here's How The Polls Decide Who We Are
When the election's got your mood swinging like Pennsylvania. *The polls in this video are completely made up.*
COMEDY
Here's How The Polls Decide Who We Are
By John Trowbridge
I blame Nate Silver.
POLITICS
How the Election Might Be Rigged
By Richard Kasbeer, Contributor
I am interested in public policy and election trivia
Donald Trump now suggests that he will be defeated in a rigged election, but with prominent businessmen, independents, and Republicans, including Michael Bloomberg, Mark Cuban, Henry Paulson, Brent Scowcroft, and Richard Armitage declaring their support for Hillary Clinton, and with almost daily gaffes by Trump, one might think that the Republican ticket has almost zero chance of success even in a fair election.
POLITICS
Trump's Speech... When He Quits The Race
By Ryan Casey, Contributor
Attorney; Master of Public Policy, Georgetown University; Comm...
If there is a single key to understanding what motivates Donald Trump -- that is, other than his extreme narcissism -- it is his determination to avoid, at all costs, the pain of humiliation.
POLITICS
Preparing for a Trump Presidency
By Hoyt Hilsman, Contributor
Author, journalist, former Congressional candidate
There may be a few - very few - positives for progressives in a Trump presidency. For one thing, he has soundly rejected
POLITICS
Bernie Manages To Turn A Win Into A Loss
By Peter Rosenstein, Contributor
non-profit consultant, public speaker and political analyst
He should have taken a cue from how Hillary handled her loss to Obama in 2008 when she came away looking like a star, and a star with power. Instead he frittered away his chances, rather whining his way close to irrelevance.
AYR, SCOTLAND - JUNE 24: Presumptive Republican nominee for US president Donald Trump arrives to his Trump Turnberry Resort on June 24, 2016 in Ayr, Scotland. Mr Trump arrived to officially open his golf resort which has undergone an eight month refurbishment as part of an investment thought to be worth in the region of two hundred million pounds. (Photo by Jeff J Mitchell/Getty Images)
Jeff J Mitchell via Getty Images
POLITICS
HUFFPOLLSTER: Nate Silver Says Donald Trump Has A 20 Percent Chance Of Becoming President
By Natalie Jackson, Ariel Edwards-Levy, and Janie Velencia
It’s early, but polls and fundamentals indicate Hillary Clinton has a big advantage.
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