Obama's Lead In Iowa Widens In New Poll

Teagan Goddard   |  Teagan Goddard   |   December 5, 2007 12:04 PM


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Political Wire got an advance look at a new Strategic Vision poll in Iowa that shows Sen. Barack Obama expanding his lead in the first caucus state with 32% support, followed by John Edwards and Sen. Hillary Clinton tied for second at 25%.

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- Tsunami See Profile I'm a Fan of Tsunami permalink

Biden, Edwards, Clinton--the Dems have GREAT candidates. But falling for Obama will be their waterloo. Once again they will give it away to the Repugs. Really, is there any way they will finally come to their senses? They are bedazzled by the Oprah factor. TOO bad for the USA!!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:38 AM on 12/07/2007
- Kane See Profile I'm a Fan of Kane permalink

In the recent national Zogby Poll (Nov. 26, 2007), every major Republican presidential candidate beats Clinton. By contrast, Obama beats every major Republican candidate. Obama consistently runs 8 to 11 percent stronger than Clinton when matched against Republicans. To state the obvious: The Democratic presidential candidate will have to run against a Republican.

Clinton's inherent weakness as a candidate shows up in other ways. In direct matchups for congressional seats, Democrats currently are running 10 percent to 15 percent ahead of Republicans, depending on the poll, while Clinton runs 3 percent to 7 percent behind -- a net deficit ranging from 13 to 22 percent. No candidate in presidential polling history ever has run so far behind his or her party.

To look at Clinton's candidacy another way, Clinton runs well behind generic polling for the presidency: In the NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted Nov. 1-5, 2007, voters were asked, "Putting aside for a moment the question of who each party's nominee might be, what is your preference for the outcome of the 2008 presidential election -- that a Democrat be elected president or that a Republican be elected president?" By 50 percent to 35 percent, voters chose "Democrat" -- a 15-point edge. Thus, Clinton is running 10 to 15 percent, or more, behind the generic Democratic candidate. This is not a promising metric nor the numbers of a strong candidate.

Look at Iowa: It is neck-and-neck, with Obama, Clinton and Edwards running close among the first tier of Democratic candidates. But Clinton is the only woman running against seven men, yet polls only around 25 percent. When you have been in the public eye for 15 years and are well-known, when your husband was a popular president and remains perhaps the most popular Democrat in America, when you are the only female candidate in a race against seven men, but you are polling just 25 percent, you are not a strong candidate.

http://www.alternet.org/story/69916/

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:01 AM on 12/07/2007
- BlackDemfromNH See Profile I'm a Fan of BlackDemfromNH permalink

Don't worry, my fellow Obamans. In less than a month now (UN)"SensibleAmerican" and the rest who think like him will have nothing to say after Obama WINS the Iowa caucus by a double digit margin over HRC and then follows that with another double-digit margin victory in my state of NH! Let's get out there and vote, showing once and for all that we decide for ourselves what our future will be, not the pundits.

Go OBAMA!!!!!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:58 PM on 12/06/2007
- Tellmethetruth See Profile I'm a Fan of Tellmethetruth permalink

Joe Biden made these comments yesterday:

"In October, when President Bush raised the specter of World War III with Iran because of its pursuit of a nuclear weapon, he knew that our own intelligence community had concluded months earlier that Iran had halted its weapons program in 2003.

This is as outrageous as it is irresponsible. It's exactly what he did in the run up to the war in Iraq in consistently exaggerating intelligence suggesting that Iraq had WMD while failing to tell the American people about intelligence concluding that it did not.

For many reasons, war with Iran is not just a bad option, it would be a disaster. So I want to be crystal clear on this: if the President takes us to war with Iran without Congressional approval, I will call for his impeachment.

The President's actions further undermine America's credibility around the world -- and the government's credibility here at home -- at a time when that credibility is at an all time low. And it injects more tension and instability into the Middle East at a time when we should be doing everything in our power to prevent that region from spiraling out of control.

Yesterday I gave a major address in Iowa outlining a plan to keep Iran from producing the material that could one day be used for a bomb -- without using force. I encourage you to take a few minutes to read that plan on my website:

http://www.joebiden.com/getinformed/speeches?id=0091

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:37 AM on 12/06/2007
- StrategicThinker See Profile I'm a Fan of StrategicThinker permalink

Well, apparently the Democratic Party is ready to once against snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.

I tell you, idealism can be a double-edged sword, if any in their right might really believes that the "youthful looking" Barack Obama would be able to win a General Election in 2008.

Colin Powell...probably.

Barack Obama...no chance whatsoever.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:02 AM on 12/06/2007
- xrayman See Profile I'm a Fan of xrayman permalink

This is so bogus, the Zogby poll released today shows that Clinton leads Obama 27% to 24%.

The race is tightening everywhere, but who didn't expect that? It is virtually tied. HuffPo only shows the polls that have Saint Obama leading. Go figure. Polls that show Hillary leading don't fit into the HuffPo "narrative" that Obama has overtaken Clinton.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:37 PM on 12/05/2007
- SeanGardner See Profile I'm a Fan of SeanGardner permalink

ANOTHER CONVERSATION BETWEEN HILLARY & BILL:

Hillary: Look, Obama is surging in Iowa. I've got to stop him.

Bill: How are you going to do that?

Hillary: Well, planting questions to make me look sharper than I am didn't work, so I think I might go back to Obama's days in Kindergarten. Tell voters about the essays he wrote.

Bill: Bad idea.

Hillary: No!! Its a freakin' good idea! Because if he wrote a paper opposing Bert and Ernie, or an essay scheming to steal Cookie Monster's cookies, that could hurt him. If he wrote a paper criticizing Big Bird, that could seriously hurt him with the Poultry industry.

Bill: You're serious?

Hillary: Yes! We already have some gay supporters on The Huffington Post consistently bringing up the McClurkin appearance for Obama but refusing to bring up my ties with homophobes. That's good. One notorious gay poster just attacks me for Kyl-Lieberman or other bills. This poster refuses to attack me for my homophobic ties, but he always zeros in on Obama. That kind of hypocrisy can only work in my favor!

Bill: Huh?

Hillary: And we have some people-

Bill: Hold up! That won't be enough Hillary.

Hillary: Why not?

Bill: Because word is, one of our prominent supporters in IOWA (http://tpmelectioncentral.com/2007/12/hillary_campaign_acknowledges_that_hillary_backer_passed_along_obama_madrassa_email.php) passed along the vile, disgusting, false, sophomoric, xenophobic smear emails that claim Obama is a muslim. In fact, on the Huffinton right now, there is one poster with the word "Sensible" in his logon name, who constantly and immaturely refers to Obama as "Barack Hussein". This is all cut from the same cloth. In fact, there is a link that pretty much disproves this "Obama is a muslim" crap. Here it is right here: http://www.snopes.com/politics/obama/muslim.asp

Hillary: So what are you telling me?

Bill: You're in big trouble! I told you last year that Obama was unstoppable. BARACK-TV is smoldering! He's the man!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:31 PM on 12/05/2007
- Bacowall See Profile I'm a Fan of Bacowall permalink

Are you saying Hillary is now behind Edwards?
Clinton needs to regroup and throw the book at whomever is advising her. Obama is kicking up a dust, Clinton could just disappear. Yet, this race is so close, for me bets are off.
I will watch and bite my nails real hard until January 3.
www.vernasmith.blogspot.com

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:35 PM on 12/05/2007
- Namtillaku See Profile I'm a Fan of Namtillaku permalink

Go go Obama. HRM is the fric side of fracs big business, war & fear mongering ruling class.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:06 PM on 12/05/2007
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