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Did Edwards Slip Help Clinton In New Hampshire?

Political Wire   |  Stuart Rothenberg   |   January 9, 2008 08:49 AM


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While some will suggest that Sen. Hillary Clinton's New Hampshire victory can be traced to her emotional comments shortly before the primary, and others will credit Bill Clinton, there is some evidence to suggest that the collapse of the John Edwards campaign in the Granite State may have given Clinton a victory that multiple polls promised would go to Sen. Barack Obama.

Edwards's weak 17% showing in New Hampshire was a significant drop from his 30% finish in Iowa just a few days earlier. (It's probably more accurate to conclude that Edwards drew 23% or 24% in Iowa, not 30%, since that's what the Iowa entrance poll found. Edwards undoubtedly benefited in the caucuses from realignment, which boosted his final percentage past Clinton, though more people went into the caucuses saying that they would support her. Still, Edwards's 6-point drop between the Iowa entrance poll and the New Hampshire exit poll is worth noting.)

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- Bulbul See Profile I'm a Fan of Bulbul permalink

Both Edwards and Obama slipped in their ABC conducted debate performance. Obama ridiculed Hillary and so did Edwards. Bad move on Edwards part was he was too sure of himself, being in the shakey ground already, he is responsible for shooting himself in his foot.
Their third partner, Richardson will drop out today according to Huffy !
Obama will bounce back.
They say women saw that, yes. I have spoken to some men and they were equally turned off !

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:19 AM on 01/10/2008
- Freedomfinder See Profile I'm a Fan of Freedomfinder permalink

All I have seen is that Obama went from a Coke addiction to media addiction!
And Hillary went from crying about how Bill had done her wrong to crying how the voters had done her wrong!
What Edwards did was not to succumb to drugs and not publicly cry about his wife's illness instead he worked hard to get where he is today and accepts what fate has handed his wife and goes forward with his mate's shared goal, onward to the White House now that's a President!

And if you don't see it then you will only have to blame yourself when K St.in Washington is still in the Oval Office making closed door deals with the Devil!!!

Just follow the money, because soon you will see less not more!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:01 AM on 01/10/2008
- BUSHsurvivor See Profile I'm a Fan of BUSHsurvivor permalink

Edward's debate performance was a turn off. He tried dangerous strategy to align himself with Barack against Hillary AND he failed to answer the question of what in his 6 years as North Carolina Senator did he achieve that would help qualify him as president. His response was that he worked with Kennedy on the patients bill of rights. This failed to pass the House, so he really needs to rethink that answer. Plus his response to the overblown Hillary's tears story! What an insult!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:06 PM on 01/09/2008
- V4Vigilance See Profile I'm a Fan of V4Vigilance permalink

"there is some evidence to suggest that the collapse of the John Edwards campaign in the Granite State may have given Clinton a victory that multiple polls promised would go to Sen. Barack Obama"

You call this analysis? What a crock! Those polls you cite consistently showed Edwards coming in third with 15-20% of the vote and that's exactly what he did so the claim that Edwards' campaign in NH somehow "collapsed" is completely bogus. Comparing Iowa to NH is comparing apples to oranges. If you want to really analyze Edwards' performance in NH look at '04 where he came in fourth place, 12% of the vote and 0 delegates. This time around he's third, 17% of the vote and 4 delegates. That's an improvement.

Of course saying anything positive about Edwards or his campaign isn't part of the Clinton vs Obama script so it likely won't get said anywhere but in the comment sections of BS stories like this.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:55 PM on 01/09/2008
- Freddy334 See Profile I'm a Fan of Freddy334 permalink

John Edwards is against the war. Hillary and Obama voted for the war and KEEP funding it! They are not Democrats - they are Cheney lackeys! John Edwards is a real Democrat!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:17 PM on 01/09/2008
- TekBoss See Profile I'm a Fan of TekBoss permalink

I am voting for Edwards because it should be about principles and ideas and leadership. Not the "horse race" mentality the press wants.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:57 PM on 01/09/2008
- jeanruss See Profile I'm a Fan of jeanruss permalink

at citizens for legitimate government they are showing the discrepancies between the hand counted votes and the Diebold machine counted votes. The hand counted show an Obama win and the macines show a Clinton win. Here we go again. Only edwards beats the Republicans in a high enough margin so that it can't be stolen again.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:11 AM on 01/09/2008
- JoAnnCr See Profile I'm a Fan of JoAnnCr permalink

Edwards's strategies for change promise success more than any other candidate. He will be in the race and make the changes no matter what the pundits say. Courage trumps nice.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:09 AM on 01/09/2008
- Freddy334 See Profile I'm a Fan of Freddy334 permalink

Edwards is for working Americans and the poor. He will make sure American jobs are not exported to China. Obama and Hillary represent the rich and elites. Obama's supporters are wealthy white rich folks and rich white college kids. Edwards is consistent while Hillary and Obama flip flop around on the war, American workers.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:29 AM on 01/09/2008
- AreYouSerious See Profile I'm a Fan of AreYouSerious permalink

Why can't it be she won because the people of New Hampshire like her and voted for her? The End. Huff Post News is starting to sound like Fox News.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:18 AM on 01/09/2008
- AreYouSerious See Profile I'm a Fan of AreYouSerious permalink

Can't Senator Clinton have won it b/c people actually believe in her for a change and like her?!?!?! Why last night, when she was CLEARLY the winner did it take the media SO long to announce her the winner?! WHY is it b/c of Edwards comments, or this or that. GET OVER IT EVERYONE. She is a strong candidate and I think she will do great things for this country if she is elected.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:03 AM on 01/09/2008
- wijg See Profile I'm a Fan of wijg permalink

"Edwards, who clearly ran the angriest campaign of the top three Democrats."

Sheesh! Stuart Rothenberg should be "news" reader for Fox.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:03 AM on 01/09/2008
- bluesnot See Profile I'm a Fan of bluesnot permalink

"When I am president, I will immediately withdraw 40-50,000 troops, launch a diplomatic offensive to invest all local, national, and regional parties in the comprehensive political solution that will end the violence, and will completely withdraw all combat troops within 9 to 10 months.

The bottom line is simple -- no combat troops; no combat missions; no combat, period. Not sometime to be determined, not by 2013. By the end of my first year as president, by the end of 2009."

Edwards position on the Iraq war.

Edwards is the candidate for change.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:42 AM on 01/09/2008
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