Barack Obama California, California Field Poll, California primary, Field Poll, Field Poll Obama Clinton tie, Hillary Clinton California, obama clinton, Obama Clinton California, Obama Clinton California Tie
Barack Obama California, California Field Poll, California primary, Field Poll, Field Poll Obama Clinton tie, Hillary Clinton California, obama clinton, Obama Clinton California, Obama Clinton California Tie

Pollsters Say Clinton And Obama Now In California Dead Heat

San Francisco Chronicle   |  John Wildermuth and Carla Marinucci   |   February 3, 2008 02:30 AM


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A startling surge of support for Barack Obama has catapulted the Illinois senator into a virtual tie with Hillary Rodham Clinton in California's Democratic presidential primary, a Field Poll released Saturday shows.

Arizona Sen. John McCain lengthened his lead in the state Republican primary, grabbing a 32 to 24 percent edge among likely voters over former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney. Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee was at 13 percent and Texas Rep. Ron Paul at 10 percent.

But the Democratic numbers are the shocker. Clinton, a longtime California favorite, saw her once-commanding lead slip to two percentage points, 36 to 34 percent, in the new survey. That's down from the New York senator's 12 percentage point lead in mid-January and a 25 percentage point margin over Obama in October.

But with 18 percent of Democratic voters still undecided just days before Tuesday's primary, the election is still up for grabs, said Mark DiCamillo, the poll's director.

"It's an unusually volatile election, with a very high number of undecided voters and so many moving parts," he said. "It could be a very, very close election."

The head-to-head matchups between the Republican and Democratic candidates highlight both Clinton's loosening hold on California voters and McCain's growing strength in the state.

Clinton now clings to a bare 45 to 43 percent lead over McCain in a projected California presidential vote, down dramatically from her 17 percentage point margin just two weeks ago. Obama now holds a stronger 47 to 40 percent margin over the Arizona senator, but that's only half the 14 percentage point advantage he had in mid-January.

Both Democrats still run well ahead of Romney, collecting more than 50 percent of the vote in those matchups.

Obama's California campaign team said the latest polls reflect a hard-charging effort to track down potential voters in every precinct - undeterred by polls that showed the Illinois senator behind by double digits here for most of the race.

To read the rest of the report click here.

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- JohnFromCensornati See Profile I'm a Fan of JohnFromCensornati permalink

RuPaul will suffer from something similar to the Bradley effect.
People (apparently 10% of responders) will tell a pollster that they will vote for a crazy person.
When they get to the polls, more than half vote for a different crazy person.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:55 PM on 02/04/2008
- ceasenake See Profile I'm a Fan of ceasenake permalink

I'm going to help break that dead heat.

Go Obama!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:08 AM on 02/04/2008
- Pyrum See Profile I'm a Fan of Pyrum permalink

It simply amazes me people think Obama would be a better president than Clinton. Despite all their dramatics, when it comes down to it the differences in their postions are negligible the two are interchangable.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:44 AM on 02/04/2008
- Triangulate See Profile I'm a Fan of Triangulate permalink

I listed to John Zogby on C-Span this morning and Obama has been ahead in CA the LAST THREE DAYS!!!!!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:17 PM on 02/03/2008
- DownwithFearMongers See Profile I'm a Fan of DownwithFearMongers permalink

HILLARY CLINTON VOTED FOR THE WAR IN IRAQ.
(JUST LIKE THE REPUBLICANS)
HILLARY CLINTON VOTED TO CALL THE IRANIAN GUARD TERRORISTS.
(JUST LIKE THE REPUBLICANS)
HILLARY CLINTON USED FEAR OF TERRORISM TO GET WHAT SHE WANTED.
(JUST LIKE THE REPUBLICANS)
BILL CLINTON HAS USED RACIST INNUENDO'S TO AWAKEN CLOSET RACISM IN SIMPLE MINDS.
(JUST LIKE THE REPUBLICANS)
THE CLINTONS SEND OUT THEIR FASCIST ATTACK DOGS TO SHAME EVERYONE THAT DOESNT AGREE WITH THEM.
(JUST LIKE THE REPUBLICANS)

THE CLINTONS ARE REPUBLICANS WITH DEMOCRATIC MASKS.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:14 PM on 02/03/2008
- RusStyles See Profile I'm a Fan of RusStyles permalink

Now Clinton has noticeably changed her speaking style and adding message points/buzzwords directly from the Obama playbook. She copied Obama's Kennedy ad. Again, she'll do or say anything to win. Lie, cry, copy, co-opt...I've never seen a candidate so obsessed to win. Which is why I don't think she'll win. People are finally catching on.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:31 PM on 02/03/2008
- mrJJ See Profile I'm a Fan of mrJJ permalink

Will the undecided vote slide towards the Incumbent Sen. Billary Clinton or move forward to underdog Sen Barak Obama?


It will be interesting.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:38 PM on 02/03/2008
- naijaman See Profile I'm a Fan of naijaman permalink

Stay away from polls, folks.

Obama '08

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:36 PM on 02/03/2008
- Bertrude See Profile I'm a Fan of Bertrude permalink

Oh, I hate Obama he is ruining everything for the democrats. It is Hillary's turn, he should wait, she is so amazing and ready. He still needs to sit under her and learn how Washington works. His empty speeches are so annoying they hurt my ears. We need a woman in office because men have ruined everything. Imagine what a real change to finally have a woman as President. After all our struggles in this world to not being able to vote, always being considered second class, to the abuse we put up with. Now you are telling me I have a chance to finally erase all that negativity and vote for a woman. Obama has done nothing he is getting a free ride while he stands in the way of the women's progress, it is a shame he chooses to do that and how he looks in the mirror is a mystery to me.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:27 PM on 02/03/2008
- lefilmnoir See Profile I'm a Fan of lefilmnoir permalink

Bad news for Billary.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:49 AM on 02/03/2008
- ystasino See Profile I'm a Fan of ystasino permalink

The ONLY poll which predicted the states that have voted so far has:

Obama at +4 in CA
Hillary +2 in NJ
Hillary +2 in MO
Obama +20 in GA

http://www.reuters.com/news/globalcoverage/2008candidates

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:18 AM on 02/03/2008
- beholder See Profile I'm a Fan of beholder permalink



While Bill was elected governor of Arkansas, Hillary was a partner is a high powered law firm, dabbling in commodities and real estate, and serving on the board of Walmart(at a time aggressively union busting).

After graduating from Columbia, Barack took a low paying job as a community organizer in a poverty area of Chicago working with government, church leaders, and ordinary citizens to gain job training for displaced factory workers and those lacking in education and marketable skills.

Realizing that he would be more effective with legal training, he gained entrance into the most prestigess law school in the country where he gained it's highest recognition for excellence and the ability to work with many driven egoes, as the first black president of the Harvard Law Review. With this background he could have gone on to partnership in a powerful law firm or the fast track up the corporate ladder. Obama chose to return to Chicago and practice civil rights law and work in the legislature to help the same people he was dedicated to from the beginning.

Being married to a neurosurgeon for thirty years does not make you qualified to remove a brain tumor. 23 US Senators had the wisdom to vote against giving Bush the authority to invade Iraq. Hillary was not among them. Barack spoke out against entering this illegal war from the very beginning and was willing to risk his political career for his principles.

The world sees US as having voting for torture, illegal invasion of a sovereign country for their natural resources, and disadvantageous "free trade" treaties. Many developing nations now view America as a preditor.

Hillary Clinton represents our priviledged past, Barack Obama represents our increasing interdependant future. We need someone who can achieve cooperative agreements among all the natures of the world to save our precious resources to sustain future generations of humans on this plantet. I prefer to support someone who believes we can, not someone who thinks these goals are too lofty and naive.

I will stand with Barack Obama and say, "YES WE CAN!"

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:53 AM on 02/03/2008
- kaplan88 See Profile I'm a Fan of kaplan88 permalink

Whatever side you are for, there is no denying that people across the board are actually paying attention to this nomination. A lot of my friends who could care less about politics are talking about Obama vs. Clinton.

Clinton may indeed win out when its all over but there's no denying that Obama has made this race exciting.

And in the end isn't that the goal...having the electorate interested in the electoral process?

Go Dems Go!!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:47 AM on 02/03/2008
- RusStyles See Profile I'm a Fan of RusStyles permalink

I must admit, this is a shocker. Whether you support Obama or not, there's no denying that he's really shook-up the electorate pot or I should say: blew it up! This poll misses all the young people sans land lines...If he ekes out a V in Cali, this could spell a guarantee that HRC finishes her political career in the senate.

Go Obama '08

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:39 AM on 02/03/2008
- IkeChicago See Profile I'm a Fan of IkeChicago permalink

Obama takes the lead in California, but I think Hillary is in a strong postion because of early voting, Obama will have to open up a 10 to 15 point lead to take California. Good news California is trending that way.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20080203/pl_nm/usa_politics_poll_dc_1

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:52 AM on 02/03/2008
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