McCain Benefits From Protracted Democratic Race

McCain Benefits From Protracted Democratic Race

Huffington Post   |   March 24, 2008 06:08 PM


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Despite assurances by Sens. Clinton and Obama that everything will come out rosy in November, Democrats are becoming more and more concerned that the protracted infighting is only benefiting Sen. McCain.

The New York Times points out that even the McCain camp is pretty pleased that a steep hill is flattening itself out for them:

Democratic operatives have prepared a sustained attack against what they call myths underlying Mr. McCain's reputation for straight talk. "It's going to take a while to tear that down," said Jim Jordan, a consultant who will lead a Democratic Party advertising campaign to aid its nominee. Lamenting the Clinton-Obama fight, Mr. Jordan added, "That's why it would be nice to get this over with as soon as possible."


For now, Mr. Obama faces continued fallout from the controversy over his former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah A. Wright Jr. And Mrs. Clinton continues to fend off Mr. Obama's attacks on her integrity. If that has not made Mr. McCain the fall favorite, it has left him in a far better position than a month ago.

"Everything about the playing field still tilts against us," said Neil Newhouse, a Republican pollster. "But the slope is not as steep. As a Republican, things have started to look a little brighter."

The New Republic explores how McCain is able to reconcile with his conservative base in private, while swing voters are exposed every night to the latest dirty laundry from the Democratic senators:

The problem is that each day Clinton and Obama spend consumed with the other is a day that moves John McCain closer to the White House. McCain's biggest asset is his political brand, which evokes a straight-talking, party-bucking reformer. Among his biggest liabilities is the suspicion he inspires among conservatives thanks to these same attributes. McCain apparently plans to spend the next few months making nice with his base. But anything he accomplishes on this front clearly diminishes his swing-voter appeal and, therefore, his chances in November.


Ideally, the Democrats would be exploiting this tension like mad. They would highlight the anti-Catholic, anti-gay ravings of John Hagee, the evangelical minister whose endorsement McCain recently accepted. They would ridicule his chumminess with supply-side Neanderthals like Jack Kemp and his flip-flop on the Bush tax cuts. They'd dwell on McCain's less-noticed association with crony-capitalists during his tenure as Commerce Committee chairman.

Instead, something close to the opposite is happening. McCain's courtship of the lunatic right and his ties to K Street have largely been hidden from view, while the Democrats' dirty laundry has been aired for swing voters. The upshot for Democrats has not been good. In late February, a Gallup poll showed Obama leading McCain among independents by 15 points. By March 6, a Newsweek poll put McCain up ten points among this group--and that was before Jeremiah Wright weighed in. Hillary went from down five to down 15 among independents during the same time.

Chris Bowers laments that the Democratic campaign has turned into a unprovable discussion of which candidate is more electable:

Barring something shocking, like the Michigan delegation being seated as is, the delegate math is clearly laid out before us, and Obama will slowly slog toward clinching the nomination sometime between May 20th and June 21st. For now, unfortunately, we are stuck in a holding pattern of an endless electability argument. I don't think that this sort of campaign will carry with it the benefit of the first two months of the year, where an intense, high-profile Democratic nomination campaign was largely helpful to the party. That is demonstrable by McCain taking the lead in general election matchups over the past two weeks. Without any voting to maintain interest between Mississippi and Pennsylvania, the void has been filled with electability and race (with the latter really being about electability). That is not the kind of discussion that Democrats need to win, because when Democrats talk about electability, no one believes what Democrats say.

 
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Baloney. Look at the turnouts in the primaries. Look at the numbers of new registrations. Look at the money. The longer this contest lasts, the more interest there is among regular voters. The longer the contest lasts, the better equipped the winner will be to take on the Repub Machine. Most voters are not as polarized as the bloggers and journalists. You need to follow the real grass roots -- people who are not reading here or playing 24-hr news channels. They find the Dem contest exciting, McCain boring and aren't interested in counting coups against their "baby's" opponents.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:35 PM on 03/25/2008

I heard last night that something like 9 of the last 10 elections have gone to the candidate nominated first.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:33 PM on 03/25/2008
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This is helping McCain.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:05 PM on 03/25/2008

Sure. I'm starting to like McCain. I mean, setting aside the war and the economy and his temperament and healthcare and Social Security and . . . oh gosh, does it really matter?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:32 AM on 03/25/2008
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Wow, McCain actually believes his hype! I don't care if McCain spends the rest of his time in California, he won't win it in November. Just because Arnold won doesn't mean McCain can. Arnold is well liked actor who is married to a democrat with a famous name. McCain don't believe the hype. You won't win CA nor the Presidency.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:40 AM on 03/25/2008

The more people learn about Sen. Obama and Sen. Clinton, the better the alternative looks.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:31 AM on 03/25/2008

What alternatives?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:01 AM on 03/25/2008
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On Monday, McCain is viewed favorably by 55% of voters nationwide and unfavorably by 42%. Obama"s reviews are 46% favorable and 52% unfavorable. For Clinton, those numbers are 42% favorable, 55% unfavorable. Rasmussen Reports

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:48 AM on 03/25/2008

Heres the other side of the coin the media doesn't talk about.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:28 AM on 03/25/2008

wonder why my post got cut off.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:49 AM on 03/25/2008

The Super Delegates need to step in and end this thing. Hillary had the option of continuing with a campaign and she chose to go negative. As such, the campaign without hope of winning needs to be ended now.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:24 AM on 03/25/2008

How do you propose they do that? They can SAY anything they want, but they can't cast their vote (the part that actually counts) until the convention. They don't have much of a role when a candidate manages to get the 2025 elected delegate count prior to convention, but that isn't going to happen this year. They will have their one and only opportunity to step in late in August when the convention voting happens.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:08 PM on 03/25/2008

I have news for the Clintons. If they think they can tear down Obama and get back into the White House in 2012, they are wrong. As a Democrat, I will campaign hard against Ms. Clinton in 2012 as many others. She will never be the nominee due to her actions in this campaign.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:10 AM on 03/25/2008

hillary clinton, mucht o her dismay, will never ever be president of these united states of america.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:02 AM on 03/25/2008

Apparently Hillary is running for President 2012 NOW, as she campaigns to elect McCain for 2008. It's long been time to unify the party, and since she refuses to step down, Mrs. Clinton's campaign must be ended even if she is dragged kicking and screaming from the stage by party elders and super delegates.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:57 AM on 03/25/2008
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I wonder why Rev. Jeremiah Wright is so angry? Could it be.......http://www.ferris.edu/jimcrow/what/2hung.htm Amazing that he could keep it to a few snippets in 20 years and I guess Barack Obama stayed because he is not as unaware of where the anger comes as some.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:53 AM on 03/25/2008

Can you please watch the whole sermon opposed to 30 seconds.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:32 AM on 03/25/2008
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Can you watch the link and understand that my rhetorical question was a cynical comment on those who even believe the 30 seconds.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:47 AM on 03/25/2008

the bosnia video along with her speech which shows her complete fabrication of the trip, people will now realize without a doubt that hillary is a serial liar and is not fit to hold public office.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:46 AM on 03/25/2008
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