Polls have come to dominate the media's horse race coverage of political campaigns. Pundits and reporters constantly use them to tell us who's hot and who's not -- but skip over the fact that plummeting response rates and variables like undecided voters and margins of error and often render these polls useless as anything other than lightweight diversions on par with horoscopes and political betting lines. Our HuffPollstrology chart helps keep you up to date on the latest poll results, along with the latest horoscope predictions, and the latest online political betting lines - and will hopefully help the polling junkies in the media keep polls in the proper perspective.
See the bottom of the entry for polling methodology.
clinton
American Research Group Poll
(North Carolina)
A younger person may have got their affairs in a mess. A further possibility is that you'll find it difficult to tune in to a language. De-coding and resolving both situations is likely to energise you though. Not only could you make financial gain, there's also the possibility that a Pisces friend will ask for your assistance, giving you another chance to repay an old favour.
chance of
winning
obama
American Research Group Poll
(North Carolina)
Protecting your interests could take priority. Dealing with an insurance company is likely: or perhaps you'll be writing a will. At a different level entirely, a philosophical discussion could lead to you give thought to ancestors - or the spirit world. The threads that connect you to unknown worlds could work in other ways too: impressed by the activities of an environmentalist, you might want to find out more about their work.
chance of
Windy with showers. Warmer. High 66F. Winds SSW at 20 to 30 mph. Chance of rain 60%.
Variable clouds with thunderstorms, especially in the afternoon. High around 75F. Winds S at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50%.
Windy. Mostly cloudy skies will become partly cloudy in the afternoon. High 51F. Winds W at 20 to 30 mph.
Sources:
Democratic Poll: American Research Group
Sample Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Democratic primary voters living in North Carolina (491 Democrats and 109 unaffiliated (independent) voters).
Sample Dates: March 29-30, 2008
Margin of Error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.
Question Wording:
If the 2008 Democratic presidential preference primary were being held today between (names rotated) Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, for whom would you vote - Clinton, Obama, or someone else?
Would you say that you definitely plan to vote in the 2008 Democratic presidential primary, that you might vote in the 2008 Democratic presidential primary, or that you will probably not vote in the 2008 Democratic presidential primary?
Horoscopes: Horoscopes.co.uk
Weather: Weather.com
Betting Lines: Intrade Prediction Markets