Polls have come to dominate the media's horse race coverage of political campaigns. Pundits and reporters constantly use them to tell us who's hot and who's not -- but skip over the fact that plummeting response rates and variables like undecided voters and margins of error and often render these polls useless as anything other than lightweight diversions on par with horoscopes and political betting lines. Our HuffPollstrology chart helps keep you up to date on the latest poll results, along with the latest horoscope predictions, and the latest online political betting lines - and will hopefully help the polling junkies in the media keep polls in the proper perspective.
See the bottom of the entry for polling methodology.
clinton
SurveyUSA Poll
(North Carolina)
Making sense of what's been said in the past and what is being promised for the future could be extraordinarily taxing. Your nervous system could be put under considerable strain. It might also be difficult to choose between reading an old book that's proved valuable in the past, and a new set of instructions delivered electronically. An Aquarius friend may be happy to help solve this dilemma and could, perhaps, explain a problem verbally and so save you considerable time.
chance of
winning
obama
SurveyUSA Poll
(North Carolina)
An internal argument might be going on as to whether or not you can afford a certain item. It may be that this is associated with the cost of belonging to a group. An ethical dilemma is possible also. Quite separately, you might need greater understanding of why someone needs to know more about you and your past. At one level, it might seem as though your privacy has been invaded.
chance of
Philadelphia, PA
Cloudy with a few showers. High 68F. Winds SE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 30%.
Mainly sunny. High 82F. Winds E at 10 to 15 mph.
Cleveland, OH
Variable clouds with rain, and a thunderstorm or two early on. An isolated thunderstorm is still possible in the afternoon. High 67F. Winds S at 15 to 25 mph. Rainfall around a quarter of an inch.
Sources:
Democratic Poll: SurveyUSA
2,100 state of NC adults were interviewed 04/05/08 through 04/07/08. Of them, 1,824 were registered to vote. Of them, 725 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote. Unaffiliated voters are allowed to vote in the NC Democratic Primary. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 3.7%.
Horoscopes: Horoscopes.co.uk
Weather: Weather.com
Betting Lines: Intrade Prediction Markets