Huffpollstrology: Candidates' Horoscopes, Polls And More For May 26

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Huffington Post   |   May 25, 2008 09:50 PM


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Polls have come to dominate the media's horse race coverage of political campaigns. Pundits and reporters constantly use them to tell us who's hot and who's not -- but skip over the fact that plummeting response rates and variables like undecided voters and margins of error and often render these polls useless as anything other than lightweight diversions on par with horoscopes and political betting lines. Our HuffPollstrology chart helps keep you up to date on the latest poll results, along with the latest horoscope predictions, and the latest online political betting lines - and will hopefully help the polling junkies in the media keep polls in the proper perspective.

  Polls Stars Betting
Democratic nomination
Clinton
clinton
44%
Gallup Poll

(National)

scorpioSCORPIO
October 26, 1947

Revenge may be sweet. Yet now you know you could 'get your own back', you might not want to. In a singular act of grace you could let something go. That could have extraordinary physical effect: you might even 'feel taller'. You might also feel you're drawing closer to someone whose ability to see adversity as a 'problem to be over-come' could be something you'd like to emulate.

6.6%
chance of
winning

obama
52%
Gallup Poll

(National)

scorpioLEO
August 4, 1961

A friend might suggest your expectations are unrealistic. Preparations for a big event could be unsettling you. Others may think you need 'spoiling' and might even be trying too hard to please you. Your feelings could blow hot then cold - suggesting this might not be the best of days for making a decision. When you do operate on instinct, you could make someone's day by giving them something they know you cherish.

91.7%
chance of
winning
Mccain vs obama in the General election
McCain
mccain
46%
Gallup Tracking Poll
scorpioVIRGO
August 29, 1936

You might need to see evidence of willingness to adapt to your needs. Information coming to light could leave you doubting someone's motives. A Scorpio or Aquarius friends' descriptions of an event could leave you confused as to what really went on. The good news is that you may now see the wood from the trees - making it possible to solve a design or space problem.

37.6%
chance of
winning
Obama
obama
45%
Gallup Tracking Poll
scorpioLEO
August 4, 1961

Love and affection from those close may not be so obvious just at the moment. You want to feel close to special people, but their minds are elsewhere, so perhaps you feel that there may be a wet blanket sitting on your feelings. But this sense of coolness, and lack of warmth is just temporarily. Don't take it personally. Though it won't be long before you will be definitely out in the swing of things. So just catch up with the chores in the meantime.

58.2%
chance of
winning
Mccain vs clinton in the General election
McCain
mccain
45%
Gallup Trackng Poll
scorpioVIRGO
August 29, 1936

Saturn around will put a bit of a backbone into you to make you go off and do your duty and be conscientious and responsible. And if that comes along with feeling a little bit kind of cool and excluded from the nicer things of life, including special people, then that is the way it is for the moment. Communication delays and glitches appear just for a while. Be patient, put your mind to other things, and it will come right.

37.6%
chance of
winning
Clinton
clinton
49%
Gallup Tracking Poll
scorpioSCORPIO
October 26, 1947

Maybe someone around is trying to squelch feelings of warmth and tenderness and good fun. Certainly the time is not good for spending money, or for overeating. Aim towards hard work and self-discipline. You have rather uncanny insights at the moment but watch you are not being too mistrustful or suspicious of the motives of others. You may be looking too much on the bleak side of situations and always need to check your hunches out against reality, before acting on them.

6.5%
chance of
winning
weather report
East Chance of Rain Washington, DC
85 degrees (F), 20% chance of rain.
south Chance of Rain Houston, TX
92 degrees (F), 20% chance of rain.
midwest Chance of Rain Chicago, IL
75 degrees (F), 30% chance of rain.
west Chance of Rain Los Angeles, CA
66 degrees (F), 20% chance of rain.

Sources:

Democratic Nomination Poll: Gallup Poll

The Democratic nomination results are based on combined data from May 21-23, 2008. For results based on this sample of 1,231 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.

 

General Election Poll: Gallup Daily Tracking Poll

The general election results are based on combined data from May 19-23, 2008. For results based on this sample of 4,460 registered voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±2 percentage points.

Horoscopes: horoscopes.co.uk and Mail On Sunday

Weather: Weather.com

Betting Lines: Intrade Prediction Markets

 
 

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I'm a Virgo born and raiised here in Houston/Galveston, Texas USA: The G Coast! The 3rd Coast! The New Age City Of The Globe! Galvanism galvanizing the globe!
I usually tri to support my fellow Virgos like John McCain, but I know that we Virgos are not LEADERS! We are COMMUNICATORS! Leos are LEADERS! Scopios like Hillary Clinton are not LEADERS! They are WATER AND COMMUNICATORS.
Obama is a LEO. LEOS ARE LEADERS! Bill Clinton is a LEO. Bill Clinton needs to make way because New LEADERS like OBAMA have come in this New Age 21st Century!!! The time has come to galvanize and pass the torch to a new set of LEADERS!
MayorGalvan
www.mayorgalvan.com

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:00 PM on 05/27/2008

Winning the presidency requires 270 electoral votes. For a sense of who's winning now, start with the Bush-Kerry 2004 Rep-Dem electoral vote distribution. Then, go to RealClearPolitics.Com (Election 2008 Latest Polls). Dating back to early May, it lists polling results by various organizations* for PAIRS of head-to-head match-ups, McCain-Clinton and McCain-Obama, in 27 states**, some surveyed more than once. For each state, take the latest of the PAIRED outcomes and plug the commensurate apportionment of electoral votes into the Bush-Kerry template. As of May 25:

M - C - Tie = 207 - 304 - 27. M - O - Tie = 292 - 246 - 0.

In McCain v. Clinton, John flips no states; Hillary flips AR, FL, MO, NV, NM, NC, and OH from red to blue. In McCain v. Obama, John flips MI from blue to red; Barack flips CO, IA, and NM from red to blue.

RealClearPolitics.Com also reports average percentage results for the last seven PAIRED polls of the popular vote*** conducted 5/11-24:

M - C = 44.6 - 46.1. M - O = 44.1 - 46.9.

* Behavior Research Center. Deseret News. LA Times/KTLA. Mason-Dixon. Quinnipiac. Rasmussen. Research2000. SurveyUSA. Virginia Commonwealth University.

** AL AZ AR CA CO FL GA IA KS KY MI MN MO MT NE NV NH NM NC OH OR PA TX UT VA WA WI

*** Battleground. Democracy Corps. Gallup. Investors Business Daily/TIPP. Newsweek. Rasmussen. Reuters/Zogby.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:56 PM on 05/25/2008

Other electoral vote projections at Electoral-Vote.Com and FiveThirtyEight.Com. as of May 27:

M - C - T = 194 - 327 - 17. M - O - T = 248 - 266 - 24.

M - C - T = 251 - 287 - 0. M - O - T = 266 - 272 - 0.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:17 AM on 05/27/2008

It's too bad we don't vote in May instead of November. We could have been spared President Bill Clinton.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:02 PM on 05/27/2008
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