How Does Obama Beat McCain? Sketching His Electoral Path To Victory

How Does Obama Beat McCain? Sketching His Electoral Path To Victory

So what's Obama's route to the White House in a general election? How can he make the electoral map work for him? How dramatically does he have to remake that map to gain the Oval Office?

Here's a first stab at trying to answer that question.

To start off, Obama is trailing McCain by double-digits in Florida. If he were to win Ohio and Pennsylvania -- a best-case scenario at this point for the three largest swing states -- it would be very tough indeed for him to lose. Here's the polling in those states:

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