Polls have come to dominate the media's horse race coverage of political campaigns. Pundits and reporters constantly use them to tell us who's hot and who's not -- but skip over the fact that plummeting response rates and variables like undecided voters and margins of error and often render these polls useless as anything other than lightweight diversions on par with horoscopes and political betting lines. Our HuffPollstrology chart helps keep you up to date on the latest poll results, along with the latest horoscope predictions, and the latest online political betting lines - and will hopefully helep the polling junkies in the media keep polls in the proper perspective.
mccain
Questions raised today could cause you to stop and think about long-term plans and whether or not you're up to a project. You might even feel as though you're undergoing a test of your maturity. Friends are likely to encourage you to apply for a job or to accept some other sort of challenge. Within the family, the test could take the form of 'who's parenting who'.
chance of
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obama
You may be asked to take charge of an item - or even a residence - causing you think more carefully about insurance and general security. This is unlikely to get in the way of a party mood - especially something that's arranged at the last minute but which brings together people you haven't seen for some time (perhaps because they've been studying?) and who're clearly very pleased to see you again.
chance of
winning
Sunny along with a few clouds. Hot. High 92F. Winds S at 10 to 15 mph.
Partly cloudy with a slight chance of thunderstorms. High 89F. Winds SW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30%.
Showers and thundershowers likely. High around 75F. Winds WSW at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 60%.
Partly cloudy skies this evening will become overcast overnight. Low 61F. Winds WSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Sources:
General Election Poll: Gallup Poll
For the Gallup Poll Daily tracking survey, Gallup is interviewing no fewer than 1,000 U.S. adults nationwide each day during 2008.
The general-election results are based on combined data from June 2-6, 2008. For results based on this sample of 4,408 registered voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±2 percentage points.
Interviews are conducted with respondents on land-line telephones (for respondents with a land-line telephone) and cellular phones (for respondents who are cell-phone only).
In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.
Horoscopes: horoscopes.co.uk
Weather: Weather.com
Betting Lines: Intrade Prediction Markets