Obama Dominates Among Early Voters In Five Swing States

FiveThirtyEight:

SurveyUSA has a lot of good habits as a pollster, and one of them is breaking out the results of early and absentee voting in states where such things are allowed. So far, SurveyUSA has conducted polling in five states where some form of early voting was underway. In each one, Barack Obama is doing profoundly better among early voters than among the state's electorate as a whole.

We should caveat that these are not hard-and-fast numbers. Estimates of early voting results are subject to the same statistical vagaries as any other sort of subgroup analysis, such as response bias and small sample sizes.

Nevertheless, Obama is leading by an average of 23 points among early voters in these five states, states which went to George W. Bush by an average of 6.5 points in 2004.

Read the whole story: FiveThirtyEight

Comments

[Bulbul]

Reporting from Cincinnati OH, mailed my proxy today, from post office and it ain`t McCain/Palin .

[Zenomi]

Thank YOU!!!

[hortonhearsawho]

Palin demands to know where states got funding for swings....

[hortonhearsawho]

Palin dominates the destruction of language as we know it...

[CJGibson]

fivethirtyeight.com for the win!

[GuyFawkes]

My understanding is that NC doesn't start early voting until tomorrow.

[PT6]

We need to prevent Republican filibusters and to do that we need EVERYONE to VOTE!

If we do not get the 60 seats in the Senate the Republicans can stop the

* Re-Regulation of our Industries
* Rebuilding of Middle-Class America
* Gradual withdrawal from a $3 Trillion Iraq War
* Restoration of our SELF-RESPECT by removing the causes of the Damages to America!

[LemonMeringue]

Please give a little money to Jim Slattery who is challenging the Bushbot Pat Sen. Roberts R-KS. Even 10 bucks would help.

Roberts is almost completely responsible for the 9/11 investigation committee doing nothing, absolutely nothing at all. He was among the worst of Bush enablers. We need to get rid of him and this is the year.

[SailFree]

With ACORN registering Mickey Mouse et al, one would expect Obama to dominate among fradulent voters.

[KevinFitzz]

Registering and VOTING are two seperate things.

[ContraEgoiste]

He's just peed that Mickey is a dem.

;^)

It is pathetic that, that is all they have ain't it?? I almost feel bad for them, almost.

[applebutter]

Please help to send the disgraceful Republicans packing!

Vote a straight Democratic ticket this year!

[soupson52]

But do it one candidate at a time IF you are voting on an electronic no paper trail machines. Another person posted there is the possibility those are the easiest to "reverse." Don't know if it's just rumor but why take a chance? Besides, each "pull" will be a pleasure!

[BluePride]

3 versions of Obama's Hope and Vision: A Change Is Gonna Come:

Sam Cooke:
http://current.com/items/89406051_obama_08_a_change_is_gonna_come

Patti LaBelle:
http://current.com/items/89408176_obama_2008_a_change_is_gonna_come

The Supremes:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VDpr8wHdhlQ

[JADE2002]

Another example of republican desperation:

This has to end people

http://buzzword101.com/bw/2008/10/14/desperate-times-call-for-desperate-measures/

[peterhowitt]

what a f****d up country

[entropy2]

A crushing defeat could spell the end of the modern Republican Party. Ron Paul was just a voice of things to come. We might well see a mass migration of "economic" Republicans to the Libertarians before the next election. The Republican Party will be left to the fundamentalist fire-breathers and nativists.

[jeffp26]

We want our country back from these egregiously inept and contemptuous republicans. And the rage we harbor is indicated by the energy of our efforts. That is why many who have already voted, myself included, filled in that little circle next to the names Barack Obama and Joe Biden.

Proudly!!!!

[hortonhearsawho]

Once again poor Sarah is baffled...­.She calls Dominates and orders pizza.

[TexasT-Bone]

I think Obama should name Ayers to his cabinet and make him Secretary of Education.­.. That way he could turn all the little American children into terrorist.­.. Obama could call for a Jihad and blame it on the Republican­s... Pelosi could be Energy Secretary, end all oil production in the states and push for an end to military spending..­. Reid and Dodd could run the Dept of Treasury and give loans to people who can't afford them becuase "that is fair." That would be CHANGE, CHANGE to a depression­... Then they could all get together and Tax & Spend... That's the America we are all striving to create...

[ContraEgoiste]

Poor delusional rubes. The above post is what these not so bright to beging with people have been reduced to. Just imaginary bablings with no content or a glimmer of intelligence. The poor things are becoming apoplectic.

[JayeSF]

This isn't a small thing.

If the Democratic get-out-the-vote effort has been able to work this well, it will pay huge dividends on 11/4.

I give away my age here by saying that early and absentee voting was ALWAYS the domain of the conservati­ves...earl­y returns always favored the right wing, by a huge margin....­up until the Kerry campaign in '04. That is where the tide turned....­but Obama/Biden has been really smart to take it even further.

mccain/palin is gonna have a tough enough time carrying most contested states...a­nd they literally need almost ALL of 'em to win....so, if they are already starting at a deficit...­.then that sinks 'em.

This may be a big reason why they are trying vote suppression across the nation...

[MurrayAbraham]

I really have come to believe that polling should be banned for a period of several weeks prior to elections, as they do in numerous European countries. I don't think there is a single other democracy where absentee ballots are opened prior to election day.

This daily, almost hourly, onslaught of numbers is ridiculous and corrupts the electoral process.

Without all this polling data, journalists and pundits would have to talk about the issues rather than the horse race, and in the process we would make a more informed choice.