Election Predictions: Pundits Weigh In

Make your own predictions below...

Karl Rove
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 338 McCain 200

Rove writes on his website:

The final Rove & Co. electoral map of the 2008 election cycle points to a 338-200 Barack Obama electoral vote victory over John McCain tomorrow, the largest electoral margin since 1996. All remaining toss-up states have been allocated to the candidate leading in them, with Florida (27 EV) going to Obama, and Indiana (11 EV), Missouri (11 EV), North Carolina (15 EV), and North Dakota (3 EV) going to McCain. The two candidates are in a dead heat in Missouri and North Carolina, but they go to McCain because the most recent polls conducted over this past weekend show him narrowly ahead. Florida, too, could end up in McCain's column since he's benefited from recent movement in the state.

Matthew Dowd, former Bush strategist
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 338 McCain 200
Senate Seats: 57 Democrats 41 Republicans
House Seats: 250 Democrats 185 Republicans

George Will, conservative columnist
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 378 McCain 160
Senate Seats: 57 Democrats 41 Republicans
House Seats: 254 Democrats 181 Republicans

Donna Brazile, Democratic strategist
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 343
Senate Seats: 59 Democrats 39 Republicans
House Seats: 262 Democrats 173 Republicans

George Stephanopoulos, ABC News anchor
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 353 McCain 185
Senate Seats: 58 Democrats (59 if there's a run-off in Georgia) Republicans 40
House Seats: Democrats 264 Republicans 171

Mark Halperin, Time editor
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 349 McCain 189
Senate Seats: 58 Democrats 40 Republicans
House Seats: 261 Democrats 174 Republicans
Watch these predictions on "This Week"

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Chris Matthews, MSNBC host
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 338 McCain 200
Senate Seats: 56 Democrats 42 Republicans
House Seats: 264 Democrats 171 Republicans

Nate Silver, statistician
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 347 McCain 191
Senate Seats: 57 Democrats 41 Republicans
House Seats: 258 Democrats 177 Republicans

Chris Cillizza, Washington Post columnist
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: 312 McCain 226
Senate Seats: 57 Democrats 41 Republicans
House Seats: 266 Democrats 169 Republicans

Arianna Huffington
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 318 McCain 220
Senate Seats: 58 Democrats 40 Republicans
House Seats: 254 Democrats 181 Republicans

Fred Barnes, Weekly Standard editor
Winner: McCain
Electoral College: Obama 252 McCain 286
Senate Seats: 55 Democrats 43 Republicans
House Seats: 255 Democrats 180 Republicans

Eleanor Clift, political writer
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 349 McCain 189
Senate Seats: 58 Democrats 40 Republicans
House Seats: 265 Democrats 170 Republicans

Markos Moulitas, DailyKos founder
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 390 McCain 148
Senate Seats: 58 Democrats 40 Republicans
House Seats: 268 Democrats 167 Republicans

Ed Rollins, Republican strategist
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 353 McCain 185
Senate Seats: 57 Democrats 41 Republicans
House Seats: 249 Democrats 186 Republicans

Paul Begala, Democratic strategist
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 325 McCain 213
Senate Seats: 58 Democrats 40 Republicans

James Carville, Democratic strategist
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 330 McCain 208
Senate Seats: 60 Democrats 38 Republicans

Charles Mahtesian, Politico national politics editor
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 311 McCain 227
Senate Seats: 56 Democrats 42 Republicans
House Seats: 256 Democrats 179 Republicans

Morton Kondracke, Fox News host
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 379 McCain 159
Senate Seats: 57 Democrats 41 Republicans
House Seats: 269 Democrats 166 Republicans

David Plotz, Slate editor
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 336 McCain 202
Senate Seats: 59 Democrats 39 Republicans
House Seats: 257 Democrats 178 Republicans

Obama wins North Dakota, has more paid staff in state than voters... Joe Lieberman thrown to pack of wild dogs behind Cannon Senate Office Building. Washington left without a Bush or Dole in office for the first time since, well, a really long time ago.

Alex Castellanos, Republican media consultant
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 318 McCain 220
Senate Seats: 58 Democrats 42 Republicans

Obama wins Virginia, Nevada, New Mexico, Colorado, Iowa and Florida; McCain wins Ohio and Missouri.... Coleman wins in Minnesota; Chambliss loses Georgia; Landrieu loses in Louisiana.

Dan Gerstein, Democratic media consultant, former manager of Sen. Joe Lieberman's re-election campaign
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 318 McCain 220
Senate Seats: 55 Democrats 43 Republicans
House Seats: 260 Democrats 175 Republicans

Tom Doherty, New York Republican consultant
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 331 McCain 207
Senate Seats: 58 Democrats 42 Republicans
House Seats: 255 Democrats 180 Republicans

Robert Y. Shapiro, Columbia University political scientist
Winner: Obama
Popular Vote: Obama 53 McCain 47
Senate Seats: 58 Democrats 40 Republicans
House Seats: 259 Democrats 176 Republicans

Obama will hold all Kerry states and pick up Iowa, VA, NM, Colorado, NV.

Gary Jacobson, (University of California-San Diego political scientist
Winner: Obama
Major Party Vote: 52.7 Obama 47.3 McCain
Senate: 57 Democrats 43 Republicans
House: 264 Democrats 171 Republican

Sandy Maisel, Colby College political scientist
Winner: Obama
Electoral College 353 Obama 185 McCain
Senate Seats 59 Democrats 41 Republicans
House 265 Democrats 170 Republicans

Robert Erickson, Columbia University political scientist
Winner: Obama
Popular Vote: Obama 52.5 McCain 47.5
Senate Seats: 59 Democrats 41 Republicans
House Seats: 253 Democrats 182 Republicans

Obama wins Colorado, Iowa, Nevada, New Mexico, Ohio, and Virginia, not Florida... Democrats pick up Alaska, Minnesota, Colorado, Oregon, Virginia, New Hampshire, New Mexico and North Carolina.

Alan Abramowitz, Emory University political scientist
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 361 McCain 177
Senate Seats: 59 Democrats 40 Republicans (with a run-off in Georgia)
House Seats: 256 Democrats 179 Republicans

Obama wins Co., Va., Fla., Oh., Ia., N.Mex. and Indiana.

Comments

[atpal]

Larry Sabato called the correct numbers, but had MO going blue and IN going red (both w/ 11 electoral votes)

[straddling]

does anyone notice how only george will came closest to the reality of the final results?

[Rosey]

Good riddance to bad rubbish. We are thrilled to see you gone Karl Rove. You are the Paragon of Ignominiousness! Go back to your cave.

[rosepierre]

Give Ed Rollins the trophy. Looks like he had the best combined predictions on Electoral Votes, Senate seats, and House seats.

[musicka]

Looks like Obama will win Indiana and North Carolina after all. Only Missouri is going to McCain, so the final tally will actually be 364 Obama and 174 McCain. So which pundit REALLY got it right?

[Tebbiki]

Alan Abramowitz, Emory Univ., with 361 to 177 ??

[rafaelkafka]

Congratulations musicka!You were the only one who did the exact prediction!

[atpal]

Looking more like 365-173 with a split in Nebraska, but it's not in for sure yet.

[jms2qc]

Nice prediction musicka ! I'm from Missouri...we hoped to go blue...but in reality noone expected that.

[Tebbiki]

I wonder if these pundits bet on this? If so, Mark Halperin (of Time) wins, doesn't he? Closest without going over, right?

[Bmantra]

Please Carl, don't go away mad...........just go away!

[gretasmom]

This Tejana is SO happy that Bush/Cheney ala Rove are going away. Rove is low on my "honeydew" list... but I would like him to be brought to some forum where his actions can be shown as not worth
much. Maybe a court could unlock his lies.

[FirstShirt]

Yeah, it worked with Clinton. Might work with Rove. Of Course, Rove didn't lie...he was just successful.

[dimplesmile7]

Well look like the Rover political strategies were a complete failure and rejected by the American people. Change is in and hate tactics are out!

[FirstShirt]

Actually, Obama used the Rove tactics learned from the thrashing of Gore and Kerry. A 50 state focus and get out the vote of the little donators. Imitation is the highest form of flattery.

[dimplesmile7]

Actually Mccain/Palin used hate speech throughout their whole campaign. Made up lies about Obama, robocalls and the list go on and on. Thank God the American people did not fall for it and Obama won. Stop being such a sore loser, it just looks so bad for the Reich party.

[Egal65]

Karl Rove is a scab on exisentence and is done! We don't have to hear from you anymore, thank the Lord Jesus! My prayers have been answered! GO THE FRICK AWAY!

[ThePoetryMan]

Way to call it, Rove, you no good lying sack of lowly scum...

[libsarepinheads]

Rovo is laughing to the bank morons. Worry about tomorrow when you have to explain 1.3 trillion in additional spending has to be explained. Enjoy the night. Tomorrow answers will have to be answered.

[ObamaRocks13]

Awesome Sarah Palin Spoof! Its great!
Check it out for yourself!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1exiyBYnJ00

[ThinkForYourself2]

The following video below is of a computer programmer, speaking under oath, about how he helped to rig the Florida election in 2000. He confesses that he was asked to write this program by Florida Republican, Speaker of the House, Tom Feeney.

If you have the choice, DO NOT use the electronic voting machines. They may be rigged.

Add this to the list of important stories that our criminal mainstream media has completely ignored and/or helped to cover-up.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mq9WVuKGwOM&feature=related

[FirstShirt]

A little late "think". By the way, did Mickey Mouse vote democratic.?..he was registered democratic.

[joemescher]

Karl Rove is an evil genius...he knows predicting an Obama victory buys him 4 years of trashing the Democratic Party under the guise of 'Hey, I predicted the guy would win'. Shameless.

[FirstShirt]

Trust me. We don't need Rove to trash the democrats. they have a history of doing it to themselves.