Wells Fargo earnings surprise sends market surging

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TIM PARADIS | April 9, 2009 06:31 PM EST | AP

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NEW YORK — Stocks surged Thursday to their highest levels in two months after banking giant Wells Fargo & Co. surprised the market with an early profit report that blew past analysts' expectations thanks to a strong increase in its lending business.

The Dow Jones industrial average jumped nearly 250 points and major market indexes logged their fifth straight week of gains. Markets are closed for Good Friday.

Investors have been grasping at any sign of improvement in the crippled banking industry, and Wells Fargo's report Thursday that it expects first-quarter earnings of $3 billion provided an encouraging sign that a deep freeze in borrowing activity may finally be thawing. Wells Fargo said it benefited from its January acquisition of Wachovia and an increase in mortgage applications.

"The fact that Wells Fargo can have record profits despite the troubles facing the banking system tells you something," said Rick Campagna, chief investment officer at 300 North Capital in Pasadena, Calif. "It's very good news."

The Dow and the Standard & Poor's 500 index ended at their highest levels since Feb. 9 and the Nasdaq posted its highest finish of the year, giving it a gain of 4.8 percent for 2009.

The Dow rose 246.27, or 3.1 percent, on Thursday to 8,083.38.

Broader stock indicators also put up big gains. The Standard & Poor's 500 index rose 31.40, or 3.8 percent, to 856.56. The Nasdaq composite index rose 61.88, or 3.9 percent, to 1,652.54.

For the week, the Dow added 66 points, 0.8 percent. The blue chips hadn't logged five straight weekly gains since October 2007, when the stock market hit its peak. Since the rally began March 10, the Dow has gained 22 percent, the best performance since 1933.

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Even with the rapid rise in the past month the Dow is still down by 42.9 percent from its Oct. 9, 2007 high.

The S&P 500 rose 1.7 percent for the week, while the Nasdaq added 1.9 percent.

Wells Fargo's announcement injected a decisively upbeat tone into the market after three days of choppy trading. For most of the week stocks appeared to be taking a breather after barreling ahead in March. Analysts see occasional pullbacks as signs of a healthy market as investors allocate money carefully instead of just following a frenzied crowd.

Bank shares had been sluggish this week following worrisome forecasts from key analysts about the bad loans they still carry on their balance sheets and other long-term woes. Major banks begin reporting first-quarter results next week.

But Wells Fargo's performance in the first quarter neutralized some of those worries. Wells Fargo jumped 31.7 percent Thursday and other major banks also barreled higher, including Bank of America Corp., which added 35.3 percent. JPMorgan Chase & Co. rose 19.4 percent, and Citigroup Inc., up 12.6 percent.

Investors were unfazed by uneven monthly sales reports from retailers and mixed economic news.

Wal-Mart Stores Inc. reported lower-than-expected sales in March, sending its shares down 3.7 percent. It was one of only three stocks to fall among the 30 companies that make up the Dow industrials.

Target Corp. rose 6.1 percent after posting results that topped expectations, while teen clothing retailer Abercrombie & Fitch Co. slid 3.5 percent after its numbers came in weaker than predicted.

In economic news, new jobless claims fell more than expected last week, but those continuing to receive unemployment benefits set another high. The total number of laid-off Americans receiving unemployment rose to 5.84 million from 5.75 million, the most on record since 1967 and more than analysts expected.

The jump in stocks came at the end of a relatively quiet week.

Investors have been worried that corporate earnings reports that have begun to trickle in could bring bad news about how companies expect the rest of the year to turn out. But the market's tone brightened somewhat on Wednesday on reports that the government will provide support for battered life insurers and a merger deal between two major homebuilders.

Ted Aronson, a partner at Aronson-Johnson-Ortiz in Philadelphia, said Wells Fargo's upbeat preview into its earnings could place a greater burden on banks reporting results next week. Wells Fargo doesn't report its full results until April 22.

"I'm not sure everyone will be as successful, but we'd like to hope that the success will spill over," Aronson said.

The upbeat mood Thursday sent one measure of the market's unease to its lowest levels since the fall. The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, or the VIX, ended Thursday at its lowest level since Sept. 26. That signals investors are more confident they can predict the direction of stocks.

Ordinarily what's known as Wall Street's fear gauge might be in the 18 to 20 range but it hit 89.5 in October.

Still, analysts caution that some of Thursday's buying could have reflected traders jumping to cover misplaced bets that stocks, particularly banks, would fall. Traders who sell stocks "short" are forced to step in and buy to avoid further losses.

In other trading Thursday, the Russell 2000 index of smaller companies jumped 26.08, or 5.9 percent, to 468.20.

About seven stocks rose for every one that fell on the New York Stock Exchange. Consolidated volume came to 7.3 billion shares compared with a light 5.07 billion shares traded Wednesday.

Treasury prices fell as the stock rally damped demand for safe-haven investments. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note rose to 2.92 percent from 2.86 percent late Wednesday.

The dollar rose against other major currencies, while gold prices fell.

Light, sweet crude rose $2.86 to settle at $52.24 on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Overseas, Japan's Nikkei stock average rose 3.7 percent following reports that the country's ruling party is seeking a stimulus package bigger than originally announced. Britain's FTSE 100 gained 1.5 percent, Germany's DAX index rose 3 percent, and France's CAC-40 rose 1.8 percent.

___

The Dow Jones industrial average closed the week up 65.79, or 0.8 percent, at 8,083.38. The Standard & Poor's 500 index rose 14.06, or 1.7 percent, to 856.56. The Nasdaq composite index rose 30.67, or 1.9 percent, to 1,652.54.

The Russell 2000 index, which tracks the performance of small company stocks, rose 12.07, or 2.7 percent, for the week to 468.20.

The Dow Jones U.S. Total Stock Market Index _ which measures nearly all U.S.-based companies _ ended at 8,744.55, up 145.21, or 1.7 percent, for the week. A year ago, the index was at 13,656.32.

NEW YORK — Stocks surged Thursday to their highest levels in two months after banking giant Wells Fargo & Co. surprised the market with an early profit report that blew past analysts' expectatio...
NEW YORK — Stocks surged Thursday to their highest levels in two months after banking giant Wells Fargo & Co. surprised the market with an early profit report that blew past analysts' expectatio...
 
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Very interesting how market gets excited about these kinds of things, then realizes that it was either too happy or too sad.

I'm very skeptical. With unemployment creeping up and the suspension of mark-to-market accounting, how much of the profits are actually real and sustainable. I suspect not as much as $3 billion.

See more analysis on blog at http://phrenzie.com/2009/04/09/dont-believe-the-hype-wells-fargo-3-billion-in-profits/

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:17 PM on 04/10/2009
- Donatella I'm a Fan of Donatella 20 fans permalink

"The fact that Wells Fargo can have record profits despite the troubles facing the banking system tells you something,"

Yes, that they are charging usurious rates on credit cards and other consumer loans; borrowing at almost zero interest and charging 15 to 25% interest. With all the bribes campaign contributions the financial industry has given to politicians the laws now allow the banks into what used to be the exclusive territory of organized crime.

Yes, credit default swaps, derivitives and liars loans are in the headlines and brought the system to the edge but what should also be included are the usurious rates consumers have been subjected to and the politicians that made them legal. The financial system is deeply corrupted and Obama’s financial team will not change they system that spawned them.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:20 AM on 04/10/2009
- POLINUT I'm a Fan of POLINUT 6 fans permalink

Wells Fargo along with JP Morgan were always the strongest banks. They had very little exposure to toxic assets and very strong balance sheets. They never needed government money and said so last year. THAT is why WFC was essentially GIVEN Wachovia's substantial assets for a pittance. All they had to do was agree to take a 1 time hit to their balance sheet which they booked in Q4 during the period of the acquisition.

It was pretty much like picking up all the green properties on Monopoly for $1 each when they already had hotels, then having to "downgrade" the hotels to 3 houses each to pay off bank liens. One would still make a killing!

So, they headed into Q1 with a whole lot more assets which they used to make money.

So, why the [expletive] wouldn't an already super strong bank with a lot more additional assets NOT be expected to crush earnings? Why is the market so "shocked"? I could understand if BAC or C were posting blowout numbers, but it should not be such a shock that WFC performed so well.

The spin is sickening. All the financial media is reporting on WFC as if WFC were a troubled bank that was hanging by a thread and has suddenly turned itself around. Nothing could be further from the truth! Nobody is correcting the record or bothering to put it into context. Nobody!

I remain amazed.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:40 AM on 04/10/2009
- zetacplus I'm a Fan of zetacplus 12 fans permalink
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I'm not surprised by their massive profits. The banks have been gouging their customers ever since this mess started. I've received notices from a few banks that the interest rate on my credit cards increased because they now felt I was an "at risk" customer. I have a good paying, secure job, I have an investment and savings account, but somehow they determined I'm more risk to them now. The banks are taking advantage of consumers due to the financial turmoil. They have increased interest rates on millions of their customers, just because they can. They could care less about their customers.

Case in point, try to understand this:

I recently paid off my car, or at least I thought I did. I called the bank to get the final payment amount. I scheduled the payment but when my title didn't arrive I called the bank to see if there was a problem. Come to find out, my final payment was .35 cents short so a $15 late fee had been charged to my loan account. I spoke to the bank supervisor who told me that I should have sent in the correct amount and that there was nothing he could do to help me. I eventually called the bank's headquarters and they straightened it out, but they lost a customer over .35 cents. I can only imagine the fees and penalties these banks have been leveraging against their customers. Has anyone else been through anything like this?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:16 AM on 04/10/2009
- iridium53 I'm a Fan of iridium53 51 fans permalink

Are these results audited? If so, by whom? You'll recall that Enron and others had audited results.

If not audited we have to trust that Wells Fargo is telling the truth. On what basis?


Do these results reflect mark-to-market accounting? Or, mark-to-fantasy?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:10 PM on 04/09/2009
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As analyst on CNBC said today it is easy to have a Great Profit Report when you can HIDE the Bad Stuff using OFF-THE-BOOKS accounting, Hide everything that is wrong with your company!

This is BIG FAKE BS by the Banksters to try to take the Pressure OFF the CORRUPTION THEY PRODUCED!

The TOXIC ASSETS are still there and they are playing Hide and Seek with AMERICANS!

Until they put back REAL ACCOUNTING Everything they say means NOTHING!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:24 PM on 04/09/2009
- Kache I'm a Fan of Kache 25 fans permalink
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What! You actually listened to an analyst on CNBC? Get real Phil. CNBC has not been right about anything. In fact, their analysts are the ones that should be behind bars. They are a major part of the problem, not part of the solution.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:32 AM on 04/10/2009
- Ironquill I'm a Fan of Ironquill 14 fans permalink

I have stayed invested the last six months and, knock on wood, am ahead of the game. But I do not trust this rally and keep buying protection to the downside as protection gets cheaper.

Since I am a huge fan of "FAST MONEY" (kind of a misnomer) on CNBC I have had it drummed in to my head that the hardest thing to do is take profits, and the biggest illusion right now is that things have changed fundamentally. They really haven't. There is just too much uncertainty still in the financials, regardless of the hype about Wells Fargo, for anyone to go "all in" at this point.

I find it really odd that I am investing a part of my small portfolio in Chinese stocks, it seems somehow unpatriotic, but I'm convinced it is as good or better a bet than our own companies. Now that's sad, what happened to us? And, I wonder if any of Rep. Bachus's well heeled constituents in Birmingham, AL.,or for that matter he or his family, are also investing in the Communist country of China. Maybe we should investigate him and find out.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:33 PM on 04/09/2009
- Kache I'm a Fan of Kache 25 fans permalink
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Of the 5 banks that Paulson forced to take $25B each on the first day of TARP1, WF resisted because they did not want or need it. The day they absorbed Wachovia their stock hit bottom and I bought all I could. Why? Their cash flow was phenomenal!

WF bought out it's own (& Wachovia's) "toxic" mortgages, then spent the last 3 months refinancing as many of their mortgages as they could at current low interest. They also have refinanced tons of BoA, JPMC, and Citi mortgages. These are all performing assets.

Today I sold. Made a bundle. And by next week or so someone like you who buys and sells on rumors will want to sell the stock I sold them for a loss, and I'll buy it back and take a few more bucks off the CNBC groupies. WF is being run like a bank instead of a casino. I'll probably hold on until they announce they're paying back the TARP. That will attract the groupies again.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:00 AM on 04/10/2009

They took huge write offs in the previous quarter. Mark to market was suspended. And then there are all those quirks in acquisition accounting. Until we see the details who knows what their real results will be.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:05 PM on 04/09/2009
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wow, I apologize i should've read my post before posting it... it's a little discombobulated with a bunch of half thoughts.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:43 PM on 04/09/2009
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Isn't this earnings season a moot point with the banks. Since the mark-to-market rules changed conveniently last week? I mean come on, do you believe that those toxic assets aren't still in the system? I would've thought it would be wiser to have the economy *guided* through this market correction. Stronger at the end. The rule change basically allowed banks to sweep those assets under the proverbial rug. Instead of dealing with the consequences of the last 10 reckless irresponsible years, instead, with the blessing of congress, they are handing out rose colored glasses to the public, via earnings reports.
The fear is not that the economy won't survive. In the military an officer can be thrown into the brig for dereliction of duty. Why are there no inquiries into where the responsibility for this mess lies.
I would rather deal with the required short term pain, due to a restructuring of the system and not a re-inflation of the asset bubble. So that my children and I can enjoy the stability and prosperous future. Not living from one bubble to the next.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:39 PM on 04/09/2009
- Freenation I'm a Fan of Freenation 24 fans permalink

Is this for real?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:34 PM on 04/09/2009
- nomoredead I'm a Fan of nomoredead 9 fans permalink

As Warren Buffet makes 1.37 billion on the news. See the bailout is helping someone.

Watch him dump Wells Fargo next week.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:06 PM on 04/09/2009

Unfortunately we still stand to lose 2 million plus jobs, Please don't forget that.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:46 PM on 04/09/2009

I would say it will be a lot more than that. But as long as we lose consumerism in the process, I would find even that acceptable.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:53 PM on 04/09/2009

That would be cool. Let's see if they can deliver the goods, though.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:38 PM on 04/09/2009
- Kache I'm a Fan of Kache 25 fans permalink
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I expect they can. WF is not available in all states. Of the worst 12 housing markets they were only in 5 of them. By luck of the draw, their exposure was not as bad as the other big 4.

They have been refinancing non-performing mortgages, turning toxic into candy by dropping interest rates and extending payments. Just last week they began doing the same refinancing for auto loans. Because the Fed opened the discount window WF loses nothing by such refinancing and the homebuyer/autobuyer pays less.

Fingers crossed.....

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:23 AM on 04/10/2009
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On the surface, it's incredible news, and it's been a catalyst for the markets' rise today. It sounds a little too rosy though. I'm skeptical. Such news coming up on the wake of the US government possibly ousting the bank's CEOs, and they aren't actually reporting record profits but saying they "will" report record profits. They're making it a point to let us know early.

Great report and great news though. If it's true that their merger with Wachovia is going smoother than expected, it really is fantastic to hear. However, transparency has been such an issue during this downturn, and it shouldn't be viewed as unfair to view this sudden revelation with a good degree of suspicion.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:21 PM on 04/09/2009
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