Breaking News:
Economy grew at 2.8% pace in 3rd quarter, slower than first thought.
Get Breaking News by Email

Obama, Direction Of U.S. Favored By Most Americans: AP Poll

digg Share this on Facebook Huffpost - Obama, Direction Of U.S. Favored By Most Americans: AP Poll stumble reddit del.ico.us RSS

RON FOURNIER and TREVOR TOMPSON | April 23, 2009 09:08 PM EST | AP

Compare other versions »
I Like ItI Don’t Like It
FILE - This April 22, 2009 file photo shows President Barack Obama on the South Lawn of the White House in Washington. For the first time in years, more Americans than not say the country is headed in the right direction, a sign that Obama has used the first 100 days of his presidency to lift the public's mood and inspire hopes for a brighter future. (AP Photo/Charles Dharapak)

WASHINGTON — Millions of people jobless. Billions of dollars in bailouts. Trillions of dollars in U.S. debt. And yet, for the first time in years, more Americans than not say the country is on the right track.

In a sign that Barack Obama has inspired hopes for a brighter future in the first 100 days of his presidency, an Associated Press-GfK poll shows that 48 percent of Americans believe the United States is headed in the right direction _ compared with 44 percent who disagree.

The "right direction" number is up 8 points since February and a remarkable 31 points since October, the month before Obama's election.

Intensely worried about their personal finances and medical expenses, Americans nonetheless appear realistic about the time Obama might need to turn things around, according to the AP-GfK poll. It shows, as Obama approaches his 100th day in office next Wednesday, most people consider their new president to be a strong, ethical and empathetic leader who is working to change Washington.

"He presents a very positive outlook," said Cheryl Wetherington, 35, an independent voter who runs a chocolate shop in Gardner, Kan. "He's very well-spoken and very vocal about what direction should be taken."

Nobody knows how long the honeymoon will last, but Obama has clearly transformed the yes-we-can spirit of his candidacy into a tool of governance. His ability to inspire confidence _ Obama's second book is titled "The Audacity of Hope" _ has thus far buffered the president against the harsh realities of two wars, a global economic meltdown and countless domestic challenges.

Even if they don't always like what he's doing, Americans seem content for now that the president is taking action to correct the nation's course. He's doing something, anything, and that's better than nothing.

"Some steps have been taken, and I can't say that they're the right ones, but steps have been taken," said Dwight Hageman, 66, a retired welder from Newberg, Ore., who voted against Obama.

Story continues below
advertisement

Other AP-GfK findings could signal trouble for Obama:

_While there is evidence that people feel more optimistic about the economy, 65 percent said it's difficult for them and their families to get ahead. More than one-third know of a family member who recently lost a job.

_More than 90 percent of Americans consider the economy an important issue, the highest ever in AP polling.

_Nearly 80 percent believe that the rising federal debt will hurt future generations, and Obama is getting mixed reviews at best for his handling of the issue.

And yet, this is the first time since January 2004 than an AP survey found more "right direction" than "wrong direction" respondents. That fleeting 2004 burst of optimism came shortly after the capture of former Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein.

In recent years, the U.S. public has tended to be more pessimistic than optimistic about the nation's future. The exceptions lasted just a few months: the start of the Iraq war, the Sept. 11 attacks and late in the Clinton administration.

Obama is not the first president who has sought to shape the nation's psychology, tapping the deep well of American optimism to effect policy and politics.

Even as he briefly closed the nation's banks, Franklin Delano Roosevelt spoke in the first days of his presidency of the "confidence and courage" needed to fix the U.S. economy. "Together we cannot fail," he declared. Ronald Reagan reminded people that America has always seen itself as a "shining city upon a hill."

Obama started his presidency on a somber note, describing the U.S. economy in nearly apocalyptic terms as he pushed his $787 billion stimulus plan through Congress.

He turned the page in late February, telling a joint session of Congress and a television audience of millions: "We will rebuild. We will recover, and the United States of America will emerge stronger than before."

For some people, including a minority of Republicans, the message has struck a chord. Others say their newfound optimism has nothing to do with Obama, but rather with an era of personal responsibility they believe has come with the economic meltdown.

"I think people are beginning to turn in that direction and realize that there's not always going to be somebody to catch them when things fall down," Hageman said.

The AP-GfK poll suggests that 64 percent of the public approves of Obama's job performance, down slightly from 67 percent in February. President George W. Bush's approval ratings hovered in the high 50s after his first 100 days in office.

Most Americans say Obama is changing things at about the right speed. But nearly a third say he's trying to change too many things too quickly.

Seven in 10 Americans say it is reasonable to expect it to take longer than a year to see the results of Obama's economic policies.

Just as many people say Obama understands the concerns of ordinary Americans. That's a sharp contrast to Bush, who won re-election in 2004 despite the fact that 54 percent of voters on that Election Day said he cared more about large corporations.

The AP-GfK Poll was conducted April 16-20 by GfK Roper Public Affairs and Media. It involved telephone interviews on landline and cell phones with 1,000 adults nationwide. The margin of sampling error was plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.

___

Associated Press News Survey Specialist Dennis Junius and AP writer Christine Simmons contributed to this report.

___

On the Net:

Poll site: http://www.ap-gfkpoll.com

WASHINGTON — Millions of people jobless. Billions of dollars in bailouts. Trillions of dollars in U.S. debt. And yet, for the first time in years, more Americans than not say the country is on t...
WASHINGTON — Millions of people jobless. Billions of dollars in bailouts. Trillions of dollars in U.S. debt. And yet, for the first time in years, more Americans than not say the country is on t...
Filed by Stuart Whatley
 
Comments
945
Pending Comments
0
iPhone App Promo

Want to reply to a comment? Hint: Click "Reply" at the bottom of the comment; after being approved your comment will appear directly underneath the comment you replied to

View Comments:
Page: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Next › Last » (13 pages total)
photo

For the first time in eight years the stupid people are no longer in charge.
Its refreshing.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:58 AM on 04/24/2009
photo

The ignorant have taken over. Not better.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:03 AM on 04/24/2009
- swo68 I'm a Fan of swo68 14 fans permalink

This headline is confusing Obama's popularity rating with how people feel about the "direction of the U.S."

http://www.pollingreport.com/right.htm

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 01:44 AM on 04/24/2009
photo

to teron678,

i can assure you that the great state, oh i am sorry, the republic of Texas, will succeed, regardless of whether we secede or not. in our state we actually teach readin, ritin, and rithmatic, and dont waste time on abstract marxist geopolitical economics theory, or intermediate homosexual indoctrinology. tongue of my boots planted firmly in your cheek!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:26 PM on 04/23/2009
- milo9 I'm a Fan of milo9 11 fans permalink
photo

Ha ha, great joke. You also teach creationism alongside science. You guys are great, thanks for all that you've given the nation. Maybe it is time for you to vamanos.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:54 AM on 04/24/2009
photo

once upon a time in a galaxy far far away there was nothing and then it exploded? well until you evolutionists find the intermediate species and the old missing link between humans and apes, and apes and lizards, and lizards and fish, looks like my theory of creation holds more water especially if you pair it with science. in the scientific world ask if in evolution any new genetic material is created species always diversify down not up, am i goin to fast fer ya? as in the universe is degrading not upgrading. for instance nasa has scietifically proven that in seventh century b.c. the king of israel prayed for God to cause the sun to go in reverse through the heavens. crazy huh? well n.a.s.a. just announced last month that in the seventh century b.c. that a extra stellar body came through our system and caused the earth to rotate backwards for a short period and changed our solar rotation from 360 days to 365 days. i know the athiests will nay say, and thats fine but any real honest person can reason, for truth withstands all reason without fear. do you know the riddle of the sphinx? head of a woman body of a lion? the ancient zodiac started with the sign virgo, the virgin with child, and ends with the lion, christ returns. isreal i just recently a nation again could that be prophetic the bible says so.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:22 PM on 04/24/2009
photo

SweetBabu

"Sorry Charlie. Webster's says awhile is correct."

I've tried replying to this post 5 times.
Here is my reply for the 6th time.

You're using a reference? That's cheating.

Sorry, but Webster is wrong. "awhile" is correct if "for" was absent. "a while" is proper when preceded by "for".

Better luck next time.
C- for using a reference and being wrong.
B for Webster

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:12 PM on 04/23/2009
- Myshkin57 I'm a Fan of Myshkin57 16 fans permalink

Sorry... it should be '"Awhile" would be correct if "for" were absent.'

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:15 AM on 04/24/2009
photo

I'm tired? Are you serious/ I typed this reply 6 times: Gimme a brake;&^%(&^%(%^

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:25 AM on 04/24/2009
- SweetBabu I'm a Fan of SweetBabu 89 fans permalink
photo

Not sure if you'll see this, but here goes. I only used Webster's to check to see if I was right, so that's not cheating (akin to challenging somebody in Scrabble and then looking up the answer, I think). In my line of work, Webster's is THE authoritative source for spelling (I'm an editor), so I also won't agree that "Webster's is wrong." It says, "awhile, like several other adverbs of time and place, is often used as the object of a preposition--e.g., for awhile there is a silence"). I won't concede that I'm wrong. And since I've had my own business as an editor for over 10 years, I hope you'll agree.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:03 AM on 04/24/2009
- MAragon I'm a Fan of MAragon 15 fans permalink
photo

It does make a difference to one's outlook to know that someone is genuinely paying attention and is sincerely trying to do something about the huge mess that Bush Co left behind. It's a thankless job - witness the sniping here for proof of that, but I have faith that come what may, he's going to give it his best.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:46 PM on 04/23/2009
- mmgbizgirl I'm a Fan of mmgbizgirl 20 fans permalink
photo

He is exactly what this country needs.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:49 PM on 04/23/2009
photo

Yeah. If the country needs to be destroyed.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:55 PM on 04/23/2009
- teron678 I'm a Fan of teron678 117 fans permalink
photo

huh .. too late .. he came in office ... while it was burning ....

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:17 PM on 04/23/2009
- Myshkin57 I'm a Fan of Myshkin57 16 fans permalink

Bush's America does need to be destroyed.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:25 PM on 04/23/2009
photo

President Bush is not in office lol .

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:53 AM on 04/24/2009
photo

Time will tell whether Obama has brought forth the right solutions, but so far I am extremely impressed, both with the substance and the style. Rock on, Obama!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:30 AM on 04/24/2009

Addendum: Brett Mallin

Look at historical election results, does a state that gave Slade Gorton half the vote against Maria Cantwell in 2000 and gave Dino Rossi half the vote against Christine Gregoire in 2004, vote down Mike McGavick by 15 points? Mike will not lose by 15 points, the polls that put him down that much are only reflections of the liberal media's desire to make it so. Does that mean the rest of the polls showing Mike down by 5%-9% are more accurate? Yes, although history tells us that there is a good chance they have an institutional bias of 5-7 points.

This biased polling can have a beneficial effect to Mike's campaign, Democrats and Independents assured of Cantwell's victory will be less likely to vote. In addition to the media bias inherent in the polling, they also do not pick up the gains from an ever-improving GOTV ground game. "Unlikely" Republicans convinced to vote are not reflected in polls. Republicans are serious adult citizens, Democrats and Independents are not. We take our citizenship seriously, inform ourselves and vote accordingly. The rest of the population often doesn't even register to vote, or only vote when they are sufficiently ginned up, or when they are herded on busses to the polls.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:30 PM on 04/23/2009

5 of 5 by Brett Mallin

In regards to Mike's campaign, there are some disquieting facts that make it difficult to trust any of the polling being done. From 10/13 to 10/19, there were 5 polls done by 5 companies. They had Mike trailing by 8,7,15,9 and 15 points. Websites like RealClearPolitics average them, assuming the outliers will cancel each other out. But two groups of studies can't have a 6-8 point difference in the same week and both be trustworthy. If all the polls were done correctly with the same methodology, statistically you shouldn't see this variance. Since we know the five companies didn't use the same methodology, logically we can assume at most one group is more or less correct, and either Mike is down ~8 points or 15 points, but not by the average of the five polls. Pollsters pretend that these fluctuations reflect changes in public opinion, but it is inconceivable that the public is so fickle that 10% change their mind back and forth routinely with no apparent reason. For instance, Rassmussen (using the same methodology) did three polls 9/6, 9/20 and 10/17 that had Mike down 17, 6 and 15 points. Are we to believe Mike gained 11 points in two weeks, then lost 9 in the next 4 weeks? How much confidence can you have in polls that bounce back and forth?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:28 PM on 04/23/2009

4 of 4 Bret Mallin cont.

The proof of their inaccuracy is in the exit polls. They are taken of a sample of actual voters, and can be verified against the actual voting results. The party affiliation was even in 2004, and +2% for the Republicans in 2002, and this seems pretty correct considering the election results (though given the vote counts it may still undercount Republicans by 1% or 2%). By reviewing the accuracy of their predictions, it is obvious that, for a variety of reasons, the likely voters they talk to in October contain more Democrats than actually cast a vote in November. This was the case in 2004, when three polls taken in late September to late October showed Dino Rossi down by 5,7, and 6 points, only for the race to end in a tie.

The Democrats and their accomplices in the media have made their strategy clear, they are not offering better policies or alternate plans, they are running against President Bush. They believe they will win elections not because more people will vote for them, but because Republicans are dispirited and discouraged and fewer will vote Republican. One method to discourage Republicans is to produce polls that tell us we cannot win. The media spreads the Democrat's message that we cannot win, the polls with faulty samples confirm it, and the media promotes those polls.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:26 PM on 04/23/2009


2 of 5
It is becoming obvious the media is driving the results in most of the polls. Relentlessly negative coverage the media gives the economy can convince the public of complete untruths (ie. A 2004 survey reported 51% believed the economy had lost jobs, despite the government reporting 1 million jobs had been gained). The media seems to have developed their own version of "push-polls", reporting a storyline, then polling to see how widely their storyline is accepted, then reporting the poll to reinforce the storyline. In my opinion, the entire "Democratic blue wave" media story is based on polls showing people think there will be a "Democratic blue wave", because they've read media stories telling them so. Media coverage drives the polls, which then drives the media coverage, which then drives the polls, eventually becoming a "KnownFact".

But the most important flaw is the fact that every poll seems to over sample Democrats by 5%-10% consistently. This has to do with the identification of "likely" voters, as well as the challenges of getting a representative sample in our age of changing telecommunications. Common error is to assume that their rigorous random sampling methodology truly gives them a representative sample of actual voters." Sampling error" they give only tells you how big their sample is, it is meaningless if the sample is not representative of the population.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:23 PM on 04/23/2009
- Zen0469 I'm a Fan of Zen0469 71 fans permalink
photo

The U.S. is headed in the correct direction!

Thank you, President Obama.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:22 PM on 04/23/2009
photo

If you consider the correct direction to be bankruptcy, collapse and the break up of the Untied States.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:06 PM on 04/23/2009
- teron678 I'm a Fan of teron678 117 fans permalink
photo

"bankruptcy & collapse" .. too late ..... thanx to your savior .. residing in TX ...

"break up of the Untied States" .... don't mind TX & the rest of the southern states "succeeding" .... LOL ... Dubya could be you folks Castr0 and rule for life ....

p.s ... i'll be the 1st to call for a border fence .. when you all do ... "succeed" that is .. LOL

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:25 PM on 04/23/2009

The Reliability of Polling by Brett Malin Sound Politics Public Blog

This is a modification of a peice that Hugh Hewitt posted on his blog 10/18, and that the WSRP has included in their newsletter:

As someone who has worked his entire adult life, 25 years, processing market research and public opinion surveys, I know there are ways to make subtle changes to affect the outcome of polls. I know enough about surveys to be able to construct one that shows people prefer Pepsi over Coke, 60%-40%, or vice versa, and you would have no idea how I got either result even if I gave you the internals and methodology.

I have increasingly become skeptical that political polls being used in this country are fair and unbiased. You don't have to take it on faith that there is a media conspiracy to misrepresent polling, they admit it in their own poll results. I have yet to see a general population poll that did not show adults 2%-4% more liberal than registered voters and registered voters 2%-4% more liberal than likely voters, and yet the media has no qualms about citing adults or registered voters when they want to give the Democrats an added boost. Likewise, most 7 day tracking studies show a liberal 2%-4% bias when collecting over the weekend, yet the weekend seems to be the favorite time to poll.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:16 PM on 04/23/2009
photo

You got everything right, therefore, you must be a genius; I applaud you.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:05 PM on 04/23/2009
photo

None of you caught this one. Guess you're not ready for the big time.

"You got everything right, therefore, you must be a genius; I applaud you."

Anyone? Anyone?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:34 PM on 04/23/2009
- SweetBabu I'm a Fan of SweetBabu 89 fans permalink
photo

Semicolon after right. Period after genius.

I'd use correct rather than right.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:38 PM on 04/23/2009
photo

Is my test having a bad affect on you? Another typo. Can you find it geniuses?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:00 PM on 04/23/2009
- SweetBabu I'm a Fan of SweetBabu 89 fans permalink
photo

Effect, not affect.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:41 PM on 04/23/2009
photo

Very good! Glad to see someone here has alot of education. Oops!
Haven't had alot of takers for awhile. Oops!

Where are they?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:57 PM on 04/23/2009
photo

No takers on my spelling test? A lot of good your federal education system has done!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:54 PM on 04/23/2009
Page: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Next › Last » (13 pages total)
Comments are closed for this entry

 You must be logged in to comment. Log in  or connect with 

Connect