Swine Flu: WHO Says Flu Moving Closer To Pandemic

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April 29, 2009 04:15 PM EST | AP

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GENEVA — The World Health Organization has raised its pandemic alert for swine flu to the second highest level, meaning that it believes a global outbreak of the disease is imminent.

WHO says the phase 5 alert means there is sustained human to human spread in at least two countries. It also signals that efforts to produce a vaccine will be ramped up.

WHO has confirmed human cases of swine flu in Mexico, the United States, Canada, Britain, Israel, New Zealand and Spain. Mexico and the U.S. have reported deaths.

WHO Director-General Margaret Chan made the decision Wednesday to raise the alert level from phase 4 _ signifying transmission in only one country _ after reviewing the latest scientific evidence on the outbreak.

THIS IS A BREAKING NEWS UPDATE. Check back soon for further information. AP's earlier story is below.

BERLIN (AP) _ The World Health Organization warned Wednesday that the swine flu outbreak is moving closer to becoming a pandemic, as the United States reported the first swine flu death outside of Mexico, and Germany and Austria became latest European nations hit by the disease.

In Geneva, WHO flu chief Dr. Keiji Fukuda told reporters that there was no evidence the virus was slowing down, moving the agency closer to raising its pandemic alert to phase 5, indicating widespread human-to-human transmission.

But he said the health body not yet ready to move the pandemic alert level up from its current level of 4, which means the virus is being passed among people. Phase 6 _ the highest in the scale _ is for a full-scale pandemic.

Story continues below

As fear and uncertainty about the disease ricocheted around the globe, nations took all sorts of precautions, some more useful than others.

Britain closed a school after a 12-year-old girl was found to have the disease. Egypt slaughtered all its pigs and the central African nation of Gabon became the latest nation to ban pork imports, despite assurances that swine flu was not related to eating pork.

Cuba eased its flight ban, deciding just to block flights coming in from Mexico. And Asian nations greeted returning airport travelers with teams of medical workers and carts of disinfectants, eager to keep swine flu from infecting their continent.

In Mexico City, the epicenter of the epidemic, the mayor said Wednesday the outbreak seemed to be stabilizing and he was considering easing the citywide shutdown that closed schools, restaurants, concert halls and sports arenas.

Swine flu is suspected of killing more than 150 people in Mexico and sickening over 2,400 there.

Dr. Richard Besser, the acting chief of the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, said 91 cases have now been confirmed in 10 states, and health officials there reported Wednesday that a 23-month-old Mexican boy had died in Texas from the disease.

Across Europe, Germany confirmed three swine flu cases and Austria one, while the number of confirmed cases rose to five in Britain and ten in Spain.

WHO conducted a scientific review Wednesday to determine exactly what is known about how the disease spreads, how it affects human health and how it can be treated.

Dr. Nikki Shindo, a WHO flu expert, said the review would focus on the large trove of data coming from Mexico and from a school in New York City that has been hard-hit by the outbreak.

Germany's national disease control center, the Robert Koch Institute, said the country's three cases include a 22-year-old woman hospitalized in Hamburg, a man in his late 30s at a hospital in Regensburg, north of Munich, and a 37-year-old woman from another Bavarian town. All three had recently returned from Mexico.

Austria's health ministry said a 28-year-old woman who recently returned from a monthlong trip to Guatemala via Mexico City and Miami has the virus but is recovering.

British Prime Minister Gordon Brown said health officials were ordering extra medicine and "several million more" face masks to deal with the virus.

British media reports, citing an unidentified European surgical mask manufacturer, said the U.K. was seeking 32 million masks to protect its health workers from a possible pandemic.

"We've decided to build stocks of anti-virals, from 35 million to 50 million," Brown said, adding that the government had put in enhanced airport checks and was going to mail swine flu information leaflets to every household in Britain.

In addition to a couple in Scotland who got swine flu on their Mexican honeymoon, new British cases included a 12-year-old girl in the southwest English town of Torbay. Brown said her school had been closed as a precaution.

He said the other two cases were adults in London and in Birmingham. All three had visited Mexico, were receiving anti-viral drugs and were responding well to treatment, Brown said.

French President Nicolas Sarkozy met with Cabinet ministers to discuss swine flu and his health minister said France will ask the European Union to suspend flights to Mexico.

The U.S., the European Union and other countries have discouraged nonessential travel to Mexico. Cuba suspended all regular and charter flights from Mexico to the island but was still allowing airlines to return travelers to Mexico.

New Zealand's number of swine flu cases rose to 14, 13 of them among a school group that recently returned from Mexico. Officials say the swine flu strain infecting the students is the same as that in Mexico. All were responding well to antiviral drugs and in voluntary quarantine at home.

New Zealand has 44 other possible cases, with tests under way.

Mexico was taking drastic measures to fight the outbreak. It closed all archaeological sites and allowed restaurants in the capital to only serve takeout food in an aggressive bid to stop gatherings where the virus can spread. Schools remained closed until at least May 6.

A regional beach soccer championship in Mexico was postponed and all Mexican first-division soccer games this weekend will be played with no audiences. Cruise lines were avoiding Mexican ports and holiday tour groups are canceling holiday charter flights there.

The Philippine health chief appealed to dozens of Filipino legislators to abandon plans to visit Las Vegas to cheer for boxing idol Manny Pacquiao _ even though Las Vegas is more than 300 miles (480 kilometers) from the Mexican border.

Egypt's government ordered the slaughter of all pigs in the country as a precaution, though no swine flu cases have been reported there. Egypt's overwhelmingly Muslim population does not eat pork, but farmers raise up to 350,000 pigs for its Christian minority.

In Australia, officials were testing more than 100 people with flu symptoms for the virus and the government gave health authorities wide powers to contain contagious diseases.

"(We can make) sure that people are isolated and perhaps detained if they don't cooperate and are showing symptoms," said Health Minister Nicola Roxon.

___

Associated Press Writers around the world contributed to this report.

GENEVA — The World Health Organization has raised its pandemic alert for swine flu to the second highest level, meaning that it believes a global outbreak of the disease is imminent. WHO says t...
GENEVA — The World Health Organization has raised its pandemic alert for swine flu to the second highest level, meaning that it believes a global outbreak of the disease is imminent. WHO says t...
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- rwext I'm a Fan of rwext 8 fans permalink

Come On .... Thanks Joe Biden..... 100 days ago we didn't have swine flu

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:35 AM on 04/30/2009

Tell me how all these disparate genetic components from all over the world end up in Mexico. Tell me how this was not made in a Lab with access to all the pathogens. Breaking the viruses down to thousands of gene segments with acid. Then splicing gene segments together randomly by the billions and then infecting a few pigs with the billions of random combinations to allow the succesfull combinations to thrive. See the facts below

The new virus has genes from North American swine influenza, avian influenza, human influenza and a form of swine influenza normally found in Asia and Europe, said Nancy Cox, chief of the CDC's Influenza Division.

I have to wonder if they checked for the AIDS virus genetic makeup embedded in the new virus.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:19 AM on 04/30/2009
- paganmist I'm a Fan of paganmist 67 fans permalink

The influenza virus (as many viruses, or perhaps all of them) has the ability to exchange genetic materials with other strains. This swine flu is what remains of the Spanish Flu, which affected humans and swine.

The flu then took on a number of mutations, one of which became communicable to birds, the other to humans. Again, when invading the same host, it is possible for two flu strains to exchange genetic material.

There is no need to cook this up in a lab. If you knew more about Influenza (check Wikipedia or something) you'd know that it's one hell of a virus.

Educate yourself, dude. It's not very attractive when you make false, paranoid assumptions. :(

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:23 AM on 04/30/2009

This will hurt the economy. How many FUBARS can the economy eat before it succombs?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:13 AM on 04/30/2009
- UncleJimbo I'm a Fan of UncleJimbo 256 fans permalink
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I don't know Who does?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:26 PM on 04/29/2009
- yappnmutt I'm a Fan of yappnmutt 78 fans permalink

its time to ship all republicans to egypt.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:31 PM on 04/29/2009

We are praying that it does not rise to level 6. But we are getting prepared as to what we will do it does.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:29 PM on 04/29/2009

Today our government said the economy is improving. Good thing I can trust them to not lie.

Today our government said we should not overly react to the swine flu because not enough people have it yet to warrent isolating its spread. Good thing I can trust them to not be stupid.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:44 PM on 04/29/2009

While it looks like this swine flu has gone global, that's all this stage 5 alert means. We all need to chill out. By Friday it will be May. Regular flu season is almost over. It may be a bad strain, but person-to-person flu transmission drops to low levels in the summer.

Next year, this strain of swine flu may be around again. Get the vaccine early next season. But we're not going to have any Stephen King like scenarios this year or next.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:49 PM on 04/29/2009
- Budokan I'm a Fan of Budokan 219 fans permalink
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I agree. People are definitely overreacting. Any passing is tragic, but so far this flu outbreak has been pretty tame compared to other seasons.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:06 PM on 04/29/2009
- politicky I'm a Fan of politicky 16 fans permalink
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Swine influenza - update 5 http://www.who.int/csr/don/2009_04_29/en/index.html
29 April 2009 -- The situation continues to evolve rapidly. As of 18:00 GMT, 29 April 2009, nine countries have officially reported 148 cases of swine influenza A/H1N1 infection. The United States Government has reported 91 laboratory confirmed human cases, with one death. Mexico has reported 26 confirmed human cases of infection including seven deaths.

The following countries have reported laboratory confirmed cases with no deaths - Austria (1), Canada (13), Germany (3), Israel (2), New Zealand (3), Spain (4) and the United Kingdom (5).

Further information on the situation will be available on the WHO website on a regular basis.

WHO advises no restriction of regular travel or closure of borders. It is considered prudent for people who are ill to delay international travel and for people developing symptoms following international travel to seek medical attention, in line with guidance from national authorities.

There is also no risk of infection from this virus from consumption of well-cooked pork and pork products. Individuals are advised to wash hands thoroughly with soap and water on a regular basis and should seek medical attention if they develop any symptoms of influenza-like illness.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:11 PM on 04/29/2009

The WHO is not doing itself a service with this one. This flue pandemic will peter out just like the avian flu did a couple years ago and they are moving ever close to "The Boy who cried Wolf" syndrome. And that will be dangerous when one day a real pandemic will rear its ugly head and valuable time will be lost on doubting the WHO officials.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:04 PM on 04/29/2009

I agree with the "Boy who cried Wolf" syndrome, but that's not the WHO. It's the over-hyping by the media. All this update means is that this strain of flu is sustainable in two different countries. However, the "pandemic imminent" banner makes this sound much worse.

The WHO should continue doing its job, just as it has been. Their job is to be prepared if this gets out of hand. The media should give this the one-segment attention it deserves instead of the24/7 coverage.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:53 PM on 04/29/2009
- Budokan I'm a Fan of Budokan 219 fans permalink
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Yeah, it's the media over-hyping this. Any flu outbreak is bad, but this simply is not as bad as the media would have you believe, not when you compare it to other historical outbreaks.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:07 PM on 04/29/2009
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I can see your point and actually hope that you are right but it is better to err on the side of caution with a virus such as this to which there is no immunity, no vaccine and which can possibly mutate into something more lethal rather quickly. This particular strain bears an ominous resemblance to the Spanish Flu virus of 1918 that killed upwards of up to 50 million people and was highly contagious and very lethal. It killed the young and healthy much like this one did in Mexico due to a cytokine storm caused by the body overreacting to an unknown pathogen. the 1918 bug started out relatively mild then seemed to disappear and then reappeared after a period of months (not sure of the exact number, maybe 2-3) after having mutated to a much more deadlier strain. Also, the avain flu did not turn into a pandemic but still has the possibility to do so in the future. It is best taht we set the proepr protocols in place and perfect them as much as possible so that the really "big one" hits that we are prepared. Let's hope that this one does fizzle out soon!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:57 PM on 04/29/2009
- piul05 I'm a Fan of piul05 59 fans permalink
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Thre is one basic difference, though; the avian flu wasn't transmitted from person to person - only people in close contact with the infected birds caught it. The H1N1 flu (calling it swine flu seems to imply the same, and only, method of contamination), on the contrary, passes from a person to another person.

The pig was just a cauldron where different strains of flu viruses (avian, swine and human) combined; and, by being immunologically similar to humans, they were able to pass on this modified version to us who, in turn, can pass it on to others.

Having said all that, there is no reason to panic, yet. The alerts by WHO are within their guidelines for this kind of epidemic and the cases seem to repond to medication when caught in time. The only thing they are probably concerned about is that a strain even more lethal could develop - a worrying scenario, as this one already causes casualties among the young and healthy.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:34 AM on 04/30/2009
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It's over!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:45 PM on 04/29/2009
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Time to break out the plastic sheeting and duct tape.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:40 PM on 04/29/2009
- TheImpaler I'm a Fan of TheImpaler 13 fans permalink
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RED ALERT!!! All hands to Battle Stations!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 04:38 PM on 04/29/2009
- TJCole I'm a Fan of TJCole 192 fans permalink
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Isn't it great we're not putting people's lives and public safety over the flow of commerce.....and closing our border to the source of this epidemic and pandemic..!

I'm so proud....

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:57 PM on 04/29/2009
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It is pointless to close the Mexican border if you do not close the Canadian border too.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:19 PM on 04/29/2009
- drkazmd65 I'm a Fan of drkazmd65 56 fans permalink
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You can close the boarder all you want to at this stage TJ,...

Problem is - we it is already here, and we have pretty much free-flow within the states among citizens as well.

Too late - now we have to deal with it here. And the EU guys have to deal with it there. And the Asians have to deal with it there,....

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:36 PM on 04/29/2009
- Budokan I'm a Fan of Budokan 219 fans permalink
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You really don't know the virus was transmitted from the US first to Mexico, don't you? How sad. You came here thinking you were going to have a witty little bon mot but all you did was illuminate your stupefying ignorance as to the epidemiological transmission phase of the virus in its first stages.

I bet you also watch Phuque News...which would explain a lot as to your natural delusion that passes for cerebral activity. Now go masturbate with your flag and leave the forum to the thinking adults....

Oh, and your mother called, you have to wash your underwear. Again.

http://kennethmarkhoover.com

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:11 PM on 04/29/2009
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