Iowa 2012: Campaign Season Has Already Returned

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MIKE GLOVER | May 31, 2009 05:55 PM EST | AP

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FILE - In this Nov. 16, 2008 file photo, Mike Huckabee speaks in Duluth, Ga. It's been six months since voters handed the White House to President Barack Obama, and in the minds of a lot of Iowa activists that means only one thing - it's time to start the campaign again. (AP Photo/Gregory Smith, File)

DES MOINES, Iowa — It's been six months since voters handed Barack Obama the White House, and in the minds of a lot of Iowa activists that means only one thing: It's time to start the campaign again.

2012 already?

Yes, 2 1/2 years before Iowans gather for their first-in-the-nation precinct caucuses, early presidential campaigning has begun.

"We had a brief pause for two or three months when people went somewhere warm, and then it starts again," said Richard Schwarm, a Lake Mills lawyer and former state Republican Party chairman. "Most of the old war horses hear the bell and start responding again."

Potential Republican candidates who have visited the state include Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, who won the GOP caucuses in 2008. More politicians have trips planned, starting with Nevada Sen. John Ensign on Monday, followed by Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour and another appearance by Huckabee.

Several other high-profile Republicans thought to be considering presidential runs, including Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, haven't visited Iowa since the election.

Of course, politicians typically say their stops in Iowa aren't related to any presidential ambitions.

Ensign, for example, will speak as part of a conservative lecture series designed to define the Republican Party heading into next year's congressional elections. Huckabee will be the draw at a fundraiser for Bob Vander Plaats, a likely candidate for governor.

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Phil Roeder, chief spokesman for the Iowa Democratic Party during the 1988 election cycle, said there's a long tradition of politicians traveling to Iowa to help others.

"It's the smoke screen," Roeder said. "Every candidate has to keep the expectations in check and at the same time it's a great way to make friends in Iowa. If you're here to help others and not just help yourself, it gives you a good list to go back to when it's your turn."

Or as Eric Woolson, a GOP strategist who headed Huckabee's successful Iowa campaign, put it, "That's the nature of Iowa and the political schedule."

Campaigning for the caucuses begins earlier with each presidential election cycle, but interest among Republicans could be especially strong this time because of last year's example. That's when an underdog first-term senator from Illinois patiently built a huge network of supporters in Iowa, then was propelled by a surprising caucus victory toward the Democratic nomination and ultimately the White House.

"We only have to look at somebody named President Barack Obama to realize that if you do well in Iowa a lot of other pieces fall into place," said Republican strategist Bob Haus. "They take their role very seriously, so candidates take Iowa very seriously."

It doesn't always work that way.

In last year's caucuses, Huckabee emerged with a big triumph. But he never could shake his underdog status and finally quit when it became clear that Arizona Sen. John McCain would gain the Republican nomination.

The coming presidential campaign cycle almost certainly will be a Republican show because it's unlikely any Democrat will challenge Obama's run for a second term. Obama has visited Iowa once since becoming president and has maintained much of his campaign infrastructure in the state.

In his trip Monday, Ensign plans to focus on western Iowa, where Republicans dominate. Ensign, a veterinarian, will tour Trans Ova Genetics, an animal reproduction and cloning company in Sioux Center, and will make a perennial campaign stop, the Wells Blue Bunny Ice Cream Parlor in Le Mars. That evening, he'll give his speech in Sioux City.

"I think he's a rising star in the conservative movement and I can't wait to introduce him to Iowa," said Tim Albrecht, an organizer for the American Future Fund, an Iowa-based conservative advocacy group.

Albrecht, a former staffer for Romney during his presidential run, said Iowa is the perfect place for potential candidates to hone their message. Romney visited Iowa repeatedly before declaring his candidacy, then held events in the state almost weekly in the months leading to the caucuses.

"You can't find a more fertile soil in America to begin growing the new conservative movement," Albrecht said.

If it's obvious why candidates can't resist heading to the heartland, what about Iowans? Don't they ever tire of the attention?

Apparently not.

"I think people genuinely think it's fun, it's interesting, it's exciting,'" said Roeder, now a spokesman for Democratic Gov. Chet Culver. "People take it pretty darn seriously."

Lexi Wornson, a Des Moines business owner, agreed.

"A lot of Iowans feel they can not only play a role, but they expect to play a role," she said.

For some, Iowa's place in American politics means a livelihood for those who run and staff campaigns, as well as businesses that cater to campaign gatherings.

"It puts food on the table," said Democratic activist Brad Anderson. "The reality is, it's been half a year since the election, they've had six or seven months to recover and I think people on the Republican side are ready to start the game again."

Schwarm, the former state GOP chairman, said the state benefits by the never-ending campaigning.

"The activists are interested in going out to talk to them and it builds energy and it builds fundraising," he said. "It's good for the economy."

Even if they wanted to delay campaigning until, say, a year before the caucuses, Drake University political science professor Dennis Goldford said Iowans wouldn't have much luck.

"Whether or not Iowans get tired of it, the fact remains that Iowa is still first in the nation until one or both parties determine otherwise," said Goldford. "Politicians certainly have to fight on the terrain they confront. That terrain starts in Iowa."

DES MOINES, Iowa — It's been six months since voters handed Barack Obama the White House, and in the minds of a lot of Iowa activists that means only one thing: It's time to start the campaign a...
DES MOINES, Iowa — It's been six months since voters handed Barack Obama the White House, and in the minds of a lot of Iowa activists that means only one thing: It's time to start the campaign a...
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- Grunty1 I'm a Fan of Grunty1 222 fans permalink

This article is way behind the times. We were reading back in December, before Obama even took office, that Huckabee and Palin were already laying the groundwork for their 2012 campaigns in Iowa.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:05 AM on 06/01/2009
- seenitall I'm a Fan of seenitall 9 fans permalink
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Palin better get her big girl panties on...she thought she dished it out about Obama??? she's not gonna know what hit her when those boys come out swingin'!!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:55 AM on 06/01/2009
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Sarah needs the media to rip her a new one.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:31 AM on 06/01/2009
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Someone once said:

"The Republicans never stop campaigning, and never begin governing.­"

It's true.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:58 PM on 05/31/2009

Well said! It' too bad they don't bother to put this kind of energy and focus into helping the country, but that would be asking them to make mature decisions. Not gonna happen, I guess...

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:44 AM on 06/01/2009
- OKnight I'm a Fan of OKnight 56 fans permalink
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children of the corn...

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:41 PM on 05/31/2009
- hawkny I'm a Fan of hawkny 2 fans permalink

Mike Huckabee has never made the kind of money he makes today. The key to his success is keeping himself in the national eye. He is making a fine effort to do exactly that.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:31 PM on 05/31/2009
- lessbs I'm a Fan of lessbs 19 fans permalink
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Any guess what % Huckabee could get of the total national vote if he ended up becoming the Rushlicans' candidate? I'm thinking about 41%.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:21 PM on 05/31/2009
- OKnight I'm a Fan of OKnight 56 fans permalink
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less 40 of that sure...

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:42 PM on 05/31/2009
- Grunty1 I'm a Fan of Grunty1 222 fans permalink

Better than Palin, but so could a hamster.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:06 AM on 06/01/2009
- JenIA I'm a Fan of JenIA 28 fans permalink
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Any GOPer will have an *extremely* tough time out organizing the Obama re-election campaign. Everything here is already in place, including all the many, many 14 through 17-year-olds who worked their tales off for the campaign even though they couldn't vote. Heh, required reading from the GOPers will probably be David Plouffe's book! lol

Iowa turned *blue* in November, people didn't buy into the McFailin campaign and I'm guessing people won't buy into any combination of Jindal/Pal­in/Huckste­r/Mitty/En­sign/Barbo­ur...

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:55 PM on 05/31/2009
- tigerakabj I'm a Fan of tigerakabj 87 fans permalink

I agree. And even if they studied Plouffe's playbook, they still wouldn't get anywhere. Their messaging system (top down, lock-step, dishonest) is the polar opposite of Obama (bottom-up, empowerment, honest). Plus, Obama actually cares for the people.

They too hoped he would fail big time during the campaign, and he ran a near-billion$ campaign that steamrolled the Clinton machine and left the McCain/Palin circus in the dust. They are still hoping he fails; it won't happen.

And this is before the truth about the last 8 years is known in full. Obama is a civil rights lawyer in case anybody has forgetten, so he knows about building a case systematically and laying out all the facts. Please believe even the 20%ers will be running from the GOP by the time gavel comes down on Cheney and company.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:33 PM on 05/31/2009

I agree and disagree at the same time. I think the re-election campaign with be better organized than anything the GOP will have. But there are 2 things that aren't the same as 2008

1-Change, 2012 won't be about change, like every 2nd term election, it is more of a referendum on the sitting president rather than who is the opponent. If Obama still have 60+ approval ratings he will be re-elected, if he doesn't a GOPer could come in and win

2-History, 2012 won't be historical like 2008, we won't be electing our first minority president. Many people voted because they were a part of history, if Obama has been president for 4 years, he won't have the same need to vote for history.

Regardless of who is running against Obama (for the most part) and regardless of how well run the Obama campaign is, it will come down to what Obama did from January 2009-November 2012.
1-If we are better off (I think we will be)
2-If we have had no terror attacks (especially late into his term 2011-2012)
3-If he mad no major mistakes (I don't think he will, he thinks everything out)
He will be re-elected, but if one or 2 of those things don't happen, it opens the door for anyone on the GOP, because 2nd term elections are about the sitting president not his opponent.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:32 AM on 06/01/2009
- happycat I'm a Fan of happycat 123 fans permalink
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I thought that one of those little piggies was Sarah Palin campaigning in Iowa.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:48 PM on 05/31/2009
- OKnight I'm a Fan of OKnight 56 fans permalink
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it wasn't ?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:42 PM on 05/31/2009
- isis I'm a Fan of isis 17 fans permalink
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Bob Vander Plaats has creepy written all over him. Of course that makes him a perfect friend for Huckabee.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:18 PM on 05/31/2009

What do you mean campaign season has returned? Campaigning never stopped. Jindal and Huckabee have practically been living in Iowa, and the only point of Huck's show on Faux News is for him to build up his fan base.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:45 PM on 05/31/2009
- loria I'm a Fan of loria 152 fans permalink
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Which will never happen because given a choice between Huckabee and Palin the fundamentalists will choose Palin. Personally, I like Huckabee better. He seems more reasonable (which isn't saying much).

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:33 PM on 05/31/2009
- tigerakabj I'm a Fan of tigerakabj 87 fans permalink

Is this before or after he joked about voter suppression in Virginia, Obama ducking gun-fire, making the Constitution after the way he sees the bible?

I'm a Christian and Huckabee should not be anywhere near a local dog-catcher position, let alone the White House.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:36 PM on 05/31/2009
- notAMoron I'm a Fan of notAMoron 5 fans permalink

Jindal has been criticized for his frequent out of state fund raisers here in LA but I know of only one that he has done in Iowa and that was last year.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:29 AM on 06/01/2009
- up420oz I'm a Fan of up420oz 26 fans permalink
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The complete destruction of the Republican party will happen over the next 2 elections, its a given.

QUESTION:
Now, who will fill the vaccum in the 2 party system?

ANSWER:
The Democratic Party.
The Dems will control over 80% of all available seats by the end of the 2012 election cycle. The Dems will become a super-party. The "tent" will be massive, will so many differeft points of views from the entire political spectrum. Pro and con on almost every issuse will be included in the Democratic party, and more members of the Republican party will continue to immagrate to the Dems, if only to save their own employment.
The Dems will split into 2 different factions, most likely based on the present Dems / Cons party lines of idolology.

I hope that the next version of the 2 party system can do without the present hyicritrical, anti-science, homophobic, paranoid, intrusive, lying, corupt life long politicians.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:37 PM on 05/31/2009
- 420 I'm a Fan of 420 9 fans permalink
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To think that OBAMA would lose to the GOP contender with their platform is foolish.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:34 PM on 05/31/2009

I got a poll call from Steve King the other day and I apparently answered the 1st question wrong. I was thanked for my time and no more questions. It was about gay marriage. Doesn't matter how you righties ask, I ain't buyin'.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:24 PM on 05/31/2009
- isis I'm a Fan of isis 17 fans permalink
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That happened to me too! He called the most conservative areas he could find. He must have been almost as disappointed when we answered as I was to hear from him.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:19 PM on 05/31/2009

I'm not even in his part of the state. I kind of felt my space being invaded :)

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:33 PM on 05/31/2009
- loria I'm a Fan of loria 152 fans permalink
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I bet they didn't record either of your votes.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 08:34 PM on 05/31/2009
- lynettema I'm a Fan of lynettema 54 fans permalink

Me, too. They don't get that it is THE message, not who delivers it.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:41 PM on 05/31/2009
- MikeRdg I'm a Fan of MikeRdg 16 fans permalink
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I saw the photo of the pigs, and thought it was Mitt Romney's new make over for his 2012 bid!

Oink! Oink!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 06:41 PM on 05/31/2009
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