The shocking news that Alaska Governor Sarah Palin will resign the governorship on July 26th has fueled speculation that she is preparing to run for president in 2012. Conventional wisdom has it that abandoning your state before your first (and only) term is up would not be the smartest strategy, but not everyone agrees with that assessment.
Bill Kristol thinks this could be a 'shrewd gamble':
After all, she's freeing herself from the duties of the governorship. Now she can do her book, give speeches, travel the country and the world, campaign for others, meet people, get more educated on the issues - and without being criticized for neglecting her duties in Alaska. I suppose she'll take a hit for leaving the governorship early - but how much of one? She's probably accomplished most of what she was going to get done as governor, and is leaving a sympatico lieutenant governor in charge.
It's an interesting take, but one should be cautious in trusting in Kristol's predictions. His crystal ball has a tendency to fog up.