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Acid Oceans: The 'Evil Twin' Of Climate Change

JOHN HEILPRIN   12/18/09 10:00 AM ET   AP

Acid Oceans

MONTEREY BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY, Calif. — Far from Copenhagen's turbulent climate talks, the sea lions, harbor seals and sea otters reposing along the shoreline and kelp forests of this protected marine area stand to gain from any global deal to cut greenhouse gases.

These foragers of the sanctuary's frigid waters, flipping in and out of sight of California's coastal kayakers, may not seem like obvious beneficiaries of a climate treaty crafted in the Danish capital. But reducing carbon emissions worldwide also would help mend a lesser-known environmental problem: ocean acidification.

"We're having a change in water chemistry, so 20 years from now the system we're looking at could be affected dramatically but we're not really sure how. So we see a train wreck coming," said Andrew DeVogelaere, the sanctuary's research director, while out kayaking this fall with a reporter in the cold waters.

Nothing in the treaty negotiations specifically addresses the effects of carbon absorption in the oceans on marine life, which studies show is damaging key creatures' hard shells or skeletons.

Oceans absorb about 25 percent of the world's greenhouse gases pumped into the atmosphere from human activities each year, says a new U.N. report released at the Copenhagen talks this week. That helps slow global warming in the atmosphere, the focus of the Copenhagen talks.

But carbon dissolving in oceans also forms carbonic acid, raising waters' acidity that damages all manner of hard-shelled creatures, and setting off a chain reaction that threatens the food chain supporting marine life, including the lumbering sea mammals along the 276-mile coast of the California sanctuary and the rest of the U.S. West Coast.

By 2100, the report said, some 70 percent of cold water corals – a key refuge and feeding ground for commercially popular fish that also are food for the seals and otters – will be exposed to the harmful effects.

Ocean acidity could increase 150 percent just by mid-century, according to the report by the Secretariat of the U.N. Convention on Biological Diversity.

"This dramatic increase is 100 times faster than any change in acidity experienced in the marine environment over the last 20 million years, giving little time for evolutionary adaptation within biological systems," it said.

The average acidity of oceans' surface water is estimated to increase measurably by the end of the century and will affect marine life, according to Peter Brewer, a senior scientist at the Monterey Bay Aquarium Research Institute.

"The total quantity of carbon dioxide that we've put into the oceans today is around 530 billion tons," Brewer told journalists on a fall fellowship program with the Honolulu-based East-West Center. "Now, it's going up at about 1 million tons an hour. You can't keep doing that without it having some impact."

And Brewer, a member of the Nobel Peace Prize-winning U.N. scientific panel on climate change, said that's only part of the story.

"The trouble is, there's more than one thing going on," he said, citing other effects of climate change that bring, for example, "milder winters, so the deep ocean is getting less oxygen down there."

Given the importance of marine life – some 1 billion people depend on fish as their primary source of protein – climate experts and researchers at the treaty talks have sought to draw more attention to the problem. They call it a particularly important – but largely overlooked – reason for nations to agree on a new climate accord.

In Copenhagen, Jane Lubchenco, head of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, which manages the sanctuary, said global cuts in greenhouse gases are needed to limit the "blue" carbon absorbed by oceans.

She said the Copenhagen talks have focused on other types of carbon – the "brown" variety from industrial warming gases released by fossil fuel burning, the "green" carbon from burning and chopping down tropical rainforests – but there has been little focus on helping the oceans.

"It's important to recognize that carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is also being absorbed by oceans, and that makes oceans more acidic," Lubchenco told AP.

"I call this ocean acidification climate change's equally evil twin, if you will," she said. "And part of the need to reduce carbon emissions is to both slow down the rate of climate change but also to start repairing the damage that is being done to oceans."

Lubchenco pointed to the harmful effects of carbon absorption in the oceans as decreasing the amount of calcium carbonate that can be used by marine creatures to construct shells or skeletons.

"As the oceans become more acidic, it's harder for corals, oysters, clams, crabs, mussels, lobsters to make their shells or their hard parts, and they dissolve faster," she said.

"So ocean acidification, which is a relatively unappreciated problem, is as important as climate change. It's one that most people haven't heard of. Another way to think of ocean acidification is as osteoporosis of the seas."

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MONTEREY BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY, Calif. — Far from Copenhagen's turbulent climate talks, the sea lions, harbor seals and sea otters reposing along the shoreline and kelp forests of this p...
MONTEREY BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY, Calif. — Far from Copenhagen's turbulent climate talks, the sea lions, harbor seals and sea otters reposing along the shoreline and kelp forests of this p...
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06:17 PM on 01/01/2010
Here is a source with lots of references on Ocean Acidification:

http://www.us-ocb.org/publications/EPA_OCB_FINAL.pdf

It discusses the deep ocean upwelling in some detail:

Feely et al. (2008) demonstrated that on the west coast of North America, the seasonal upwelling of subsurface waters along the coast brings CO2-enriched waters onto the shelf and, in some instances, all the way to the surface ocean. These waters had pH variations that ranged from 7.6 to 8.2, depending on the state of local upwelling and primary production in surface waters.
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realpolitic
When in Rome.......
11:48 PM on 01/01/2010
The paper begins by stating the obvious link between ocean acidity and co2.

"The atmospheric concentration of CO2 is now higher than experienced on Earth for at
least the last 800,000 years, and is expected to continue to rise at an increasing rate,
leading to significant temperature increases in the atmosphere and the ocean surface in
the coming decades. During this time, the ocean has absorbed more than 450 billion tons
of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, nearly one-third of anthropogenic carbon
emissions. This absorption has benefited humankind by significantly reducing
greenhouse gas levels in the atmosphere, thereby partly minimizing global warming.
However, when the anthropogenic CO2 is absorbed by seawater, chemical changes occur
that increase the CO2 partial pressure (pCO2) and reduce both seawater pH and the
concentration of carbonate ion in a process commonly referred to as ocean acidification
(Caldeira and Wickett, 2003; Feely et al., 2004; Orr et al., 2005)."
06:08 AM on 01/03/2010
Now we are talking!

I ASSERT that much of the literature has AGW alarmist 'spin' inserted to improve its chances of being published. I suspect that anything questioning the AGW orthodoxy runs a serious risk of being sunk (as well as the careers and reputations of the authors.) I have seen many, many examples of this - gratuitous handwringing about anthropogenic CO2 emissions in otherwise fine papers.

To be fair, I think most of the scientists in the climate change community are basically honest - 'spin' does not include changing your data or results, but only the 'framing' of the research and perhaps the coloring the conclusions drawn.

Given this, if we stick to the data and results and draw our own conclusions based on reason and logic, we should come to something close to reality - without the 'spin'.
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realpolitic
When in Rome.......
12:34 PM on 01/03/2010
So you are saying the paper you linked to argue the point is spin. I don't get it. I think you are sadly incapable of recognizing your own biases, but so many deniers are exactly like that.
08:32 PM on 01/03/2010
I think you missed my point. I understand that biases exist - both in my perception, yours and in the authors'. I also believe that there is an underlying truth that is the reality of the world we live in. To understand it clearly, I try to strip away all of the biases.

I asserted that there is a bias to associate research to AGW and to exaggerate it. I explained why I believe this bias exists.

I also explicitly indicated a 'denier' bias - that the scientists are a bunch of liars and indicated a method for overcoming this bias: looking at the data, and methods and TRUSTING that they are basically honest people. If we both understand the biases at play, we can find a common ground for discussion.

I am fully capable of linking to source that contains different points of view - it stimulates discussion and thought. It prevents groupthink or the echo chamber effect of enforced 'consensus'. The item linked to has a lot of info - I have not digested it all. I know full well that it will not necessarily support my position - it will increase my understanding of the subject. That is my objective.
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realpolitic
When in Rome.......
08:04 AM on 12/30/2009
"Human pollution is turning the seas into acid so quickly that the coming decades will recreate conditions not seen on Earth since the time of the dinosaurs, scientists will warn today" in a study by scientists at Bristol University.

"The rapid acidification is caused by the massive amounts of carbon dioxide belched from chimneys and exhausts that dissolve in the ocean. The chemical change is placing "unprecedented" pressure on marine life such as shellfish and lobsters and could cause widespread extinctions, the experts say."

"It says: "We find the future rate of surface ocean acidification and environmental pressure on marine calcifiers very likely unprecedented in the past 65 million years." The scientists add that the situation in the deep sea is of even "greater concern"."

"The summary reads: "Because the rates of acidification between past and future are comparable, and [because] there was widespread extinction of benthic organisms [lowest living], one must conclude that a similar level of extinction is more likely than not in the future.""

http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2009/mar/10/carbon-emissions-oceans-copenhagen
03:26 PM on 01/01/2010
My big concern is that they use the phrase "rates of acidification are comparable..." if they are refering to the same 'rapid acidification' I have seen elsewhere, they are confusing the upwelling low pH water from the deep ocean with dissolving atmospheric CO2. If they did this then all of their conclusions are wrong. Yes - it should have been caught in peer review, but apparently this peer review process has broken down somewhat in the climate science arena...
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realpolitic
When in Rome.......
11:34 PM on 01/01/2010
Approximately half of the carbon dioxide produced by burning fossil fuels and cement production in the last 200 years has been absorbed by the Earth's oceans. Scientists at Bristol University say, "We find the future rate of surface ocean acidification and environmental pressure on marine calcifiers very likely unprecedented in the past 65 million years." The scientists add that the situation in the deep sea is of even "greater concern".

One study - "Dynamic patterns and ecological impacts of declining ocean pH in a high-resolution multi-year dataset" - concludes that in some coastal regions the pH is dropping 10 times faster than originally predicted.

"Current evidence suggests that coral calcification rates could decline by a third at a 560-ppm level. Even at 450 ppm, "large areas of the polar oceans will have become corrosive to shells of key marine calcifiers." In addition, despite how rapidly the oceans are becoming more acidic - more rapid than anything seen in millions of years - recovery from such an imbalance will take thousands of years."

Read more at Suite101: Monaco Declaration Warns of Ocean Acidification: Scientists Urge Policymakers to Take Steps Against Imminent Danger http://oceanography.suite101.com/article.cfm/monaco_declaration_warns_of_ocean_acidification#ixzz0bQUc8eRq
03:50 PM on 01/01/2010
I want to see the published, peer reviewed paper. Not just a Guardian article quoting unnamed scientists who "...cannot talk about their unpublished results..."

How else can their work be critically examined?
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realpolitic
When in Rome.......
11:45 PM on 01/01/2010
It says they are scientists from Bristol University. You must have not looked very hard!

We find the future rate of surface ocean acidification and environmental pressure on marine calcifiers very likely unprecedented in the past 65 millions years. However, of greater concern is the situation in the deep sea. Because (a) the rates of acidification between past (PETM) and future are comparable, and (b) there was widespread extinction of benthic organisms during the PETM, particular amongst calcifying foraminifera, one must conclude that a similar level of extinction is more likely than not in the future. On this basis we identify a cumulative upper limit to fossil fuel consumption of 1000-2000 PgC and a deep sea acidification of no more than 0.2 pH units to avoid ‘dangerous’ ocean acidification."

http://www.iop.org/EJ/article/1755-1315/6/7/072005/ees9_6_072005.pdf?request-id=9363f918-63fd-4c98-b882-882fb6d6d5e2


"Evidence indicates that emissions of carbon dioxide from human activities over the past 200 years have already led to a reduction in the average pH of surface seawater of 0.1 units and could fall by 0.5 units by the year 2100. This pH is probably lower than has been experienced for hundreds of millennia and, critically, at a rate of change probably 100 times greater than at any time over this period."

http://royalsociety.org/Ocean-acidification-due-to-increasing-atmospheric-carbon-dioxide/

http://www.us-ocb.org/publications/Royal_Soc_OA.pdf
01:16 PM on 12/22/2009
We are all DOOMED! Quick attach fart recyclers on all humans immediately , this is our only hope!
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realpolitic
When in Rome.......
08:05 AM on 12/30/2009
You are only doomed by living in ignorance!
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10:48 AM on 12/21/2009
What you warmers couldn't win the policy debate on one issue based on the "science" so now you switch to a new issue with more bogus science?
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realpolitic
When in Rome.......
07:55 AM on 12/30/2009
Where is the science bogus?
07:59 PM on 12/20/2009
"Ocean Acidification" is pseudoscientific hogwash.

What the scaremongers don't mention is that the ocean pH drops from ~8.2 at the surface down to ~7.6 at 800 meters down. When the deep ocean waters upwell (due to thermohaline currents and coastal wind conditions) the lower pH water mixes with the surface water and lowers the pH. This effect (and biological processes) drives the variation of pH in the ocean - not dissolving atmospheric CO2.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thermohaline_circulation

http://aslo.org/lo/toc/vol_13/issue_4/0688.pdf
12:26 PM on 12/21/2009
Thank you. The is absolutely no acidity issue that can be raised here.
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realpolitic
When in Rome.......
08:06 AM on 12/30/2009
Yes, the scientists are wrong and you an anonymous Huff Post blogger are correct. Oh, if only the world worked that way!
03:58 PM on 01/01/2010
Two logical fallacies expertly executed in one sentence - sweet!

http://www.nizkor.org/features/fallacies/appeal-to-authority.html

http://www.nizkor.org/features/fallacies/personal-attack.html
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realpolitic
When in Rome.......
07:58 AM on 12/30/2009
Where are coral reefs in deep waters or shallows? What's stopping the acidification process from going deeper and deeper and the ocean absorbs more co2? You conservatives seem to not think at all. Pretend that Rush Limbaugh told you it is ok to believe in climate change science. What then?
02:40 PM on 01/01/2010
Realpolitic - do the research. The facts are out there for anyone to see (if they can get past their ideology.)

If you look into the REAL science of it and not the ideological tripe put out by the climate change fear mongers you will find that REALITY is quite different from what you are spoon fed.

FACT - Ocean pH drops from ~8.2 at the surface to ~7.6 at ~800 meters down.

FACT - When this deep ocean water upwells due to coastal wind conditions and thermohaline currents it causes local areas of lower pH.

FACT - The dissolution of CO2 is NOT causing these local areas of low pH despite what the climate change alarmists are saying.

FACT - The 150% increase in acidity that is refered to in the article corresponds to a change in pH from 8.2 to 8.0. This is well within the normal variations seen in ocean acidity - Additionally, this is not based on an understanding of the ocean's biological and circulatory dynamics. (I read the paper to which the article refers.)

FACT - Rush Limbaugh has no bearing on issue at hand, nor my political leanings. Unless of course 'ocean acidification' is just another Trojan Horse for enlightened social change... Then by all means sacrifice the truth on the altar of political expediency...
08:55 AM on 12/20/2009
There's a good movie about ocean acidification making the rounds these days. I saw it recently and picked up a copy for myself. Check it out: "A Sea Change" http://www.aseachange.net/ .
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Richard2
05:38 PM on 12/19/2009
"We see a train wreck coming." Another train wreck, like Global Warming, and Climate Change. Using scare tactics on the public isn't going to work this time. Sitting there in Monterey, California, it should be easy to check on the sea level changes at the tide station there. The sea level has gone down since 1998, and most recently was lower than peak years in the 1980s and 1990s.

This is not exactly what all the news stories said about the threat of rising sea levels. This is not what the computer climate models, with their secret code, predicted.

Climate science needs transparency, and full disclosure of methodologies and computer code records. People who are concerned with the ph factor in the oceans need to show people their raw data, analysis notes, and computer code.

Otherwise, this is just another scare story like global warming.
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StephenBP
What's he building in there?
11:44 AM on 12/20/2009
"I don't see no stinkin' train wreck coming...." said the drunk as he staggered into the train tunnel, and he was right. The train kept going, right over him in fact.

"Using scare tactics". Why do deniers label scientific observations as scare tactics? Are they scared by the realization that they don't understand their world very well?

BTW, if I wanted to look at rising sea levels, I would be sure to use the most stable datum points that I could. That's why I wouldn't limit my observations to one tide station in geologically unstable California. There is, you know, a much bigger world out there. If the land rises, the sea level appears to be going down.

Climate science does need transparency. Lets make sure we apply that rule to the dirty energy apologists who have injected themselves into the climate debate. These loud denialists who insist on bringing baseless accusations and no science to a scientific discussion need to reveal who funds them, what drives them, and why we should trust them or listen to them.
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BayArea24
Happiness = Dynamic Tranquility. Eli Siegel, Poet
06:17 PM on 12/20/2009
well said. thank you, StephenBP
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realpolitic
When in Rome.......
08:08 AM on 12/30/2009
He does not understand about the land being unstable and the sea then appearing to rise part of your answer! Deniers do not understand so many things.
10:08 PM on 12/18/2009
Hmm... that's odd. The Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution seems to disagree with these findings: http://www.whoi.edu/page.do?pid=7545&tid=282&cid=63809&ct=162

But what do they know, right?
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Tony Dickey
Futurist-Historian-Astrologer
11:31 PM on 12/18/2009
Nice try Sparky! From the article:

The “take-home message, “ says Cohen, is that “we can’t assume that elevated CO2 causes a proportionate decline in calcification of all calcifying organisms.” WHOI and the National Science Foundation funded the work.

Conversely, some organisms—such as the soft clam and the oyster—showed a clear reduction in calcification in proportion to increases in CO2. In the most extreme finding, Ries, Cohen and WHOI Associate Scientist Daniel C. McCorkle exposed creatures to CO2 levels more than seven times the current level.

This led to the dissolving of aragonite—the form of calcium carbonate produced by corals and some other marine calcifiers. Under such exposure, hard and soft clams, conchs, periwinkles, whelks and tropical urchins began to lose their shells. “If this dissolution process continued for sufficient time, then these organisms could lose their shell completely,” Ries said, “rendering them defenseless to predators.”

Bottom line? Science is not black and white. Just because we don't know everything about, evidence suggests SOME creatures will gain, others will lose. Extending this, do we know how altering the food chain will affect the eco-balance? NO. Either way, upsetting that balance probably offers more peril than not.
12:39 AM on 12/19/2009
Well we're not talking about 7 times the current level of CO2, are we? That was an experiment that produced adverse effects under extreme conditions. Did you even read the part you quoted?
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ggm68
www.galemead.com
08:31 PM on 12/18/2009
For an excellent short film on the subject of ocean acidification, check out Acid Test, from NRDC:

http://www.nrdc.org/oceans/acidification/aboutthefilm.asp
07:57 PM on 12/18/2009
From the ScienceDaily (Aug. 14, 2009) — The same things that make Alaska's marine waters among the most productive in the world may also make them the most vulnerable to ocean acidification. According to new findings by a University of Alaska Fairbanks scientist, Alaska's oceans are becoming increasingly acidic, which could damage Alaska's king crab and salmon fisheries.

This spring, chemical oceanographer Jeremy Mathis returned from a cruise armed with seawater samples collected from the depths of the Gulf of Alaska. When he tested the samples' acidity in his lab, the results were higher than expected. They show that ocean acidification is likely more severe and is happening more rapidly in Alaska than in tropical waters. The results also matched his recent findings in the Chukchi and Bering Seas.

"It seems like everywhere we look in Alaska's coastal oceans, we see signs of increased ocean acidification," said Mathis.
05:40 PM on 12/18/2009
Let's play devil's advocate.

Maybe everyone ought to research volcanoes in the ocean and find out how much warming is being done that way.

Mother nature, with the help of the gravitational pull of our moon and solar system seems to be kneeding our crust such that we seem to be experiencing increased earthquakes and maybe even increased volcanic activity.
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Daphydd
Lets play some music
07:36 PM on 12/18/2009
I recommend that you do a little research before speculating on such topics. I have a couple of degrees in geophysics with emphasis on seismology and volcanology, and I am now an oceanographer. I have never heard any convincing evidence that lunar, solar, or other tides ("gravitational pull" as you say) affect earthquakes. This is often the basis of crackpot earthquake predictions. Likewise I know of no evidence that undersea volcanism is increasing in intensity. But I assure you that if these were important effects, scientists would be well aware of them.
05:16 PM on 12/18/2009
Anoxic oceans would eventually be a return to prehistoric ecology. A time when the sea was filled with jelly-fish and other creatures who can thrive in those waters.
05:02 PM on 12/18/2009
Wow, just finish watching this documentary on climate change put out by the BBC, it is some very, very, very, very interesting stuff. I urge people to check it out...it may change your perception of what is really going on!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IeBTy-_ttZ0&feature=related
04:13 PM on 12/20/2009
Thanks. Good video.
07:41 PM on 01/01/2010
Interesting!

I think it is a little "alarmy" though (queue scary music...)

The researchers have shown that the Atlantic conveyor has turned on and off many times in the past - way before anthropogenic CO2.

This may be a real problem, but if it has happened many times before, is it really due to anthropogenic CO2?
04:36 PM on 12/18/2009
If shellfish actually LOSE their shells, will they then become kosher?
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04:06 PM on 12/18/2009
This is the most serious issue. Marine organisms with calcium-carbonate shells will cease to exist, and in turn collapse many food-chains which will be devastating.